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2023-03-21 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
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Ukrainian Perspective: Invasion of Ukraine: March 20th, 2023
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Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Korrespondent] 23:06 An explosion in Dzhankoy in the north of Crimea destroyed Russian Caliber NK cruise missiles during their transportation by rail , the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine reported. Intelligence recalled that Caliber NK are missiles designed for launches from surface ships of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation. "The mysterious" bavovna "continues the process of demilitarization of Russia and prepares the Ukrainian peninsula of Crimea for de-occupation," the GUR said.
23:03 Ukrainian Foreign Ministry spokesman Oleg Nikolenko refuted Putin's statement that only 45% of the grain within the framework of the grain initiative was delivered to European countries and only 3% to Africa. According to the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry, since August 1, 2022, Ukraine has exported 25.1 million tons of agricultural products through the grain corridor to 45 countries of the world:
- Africa - 2.9 million tons (11.6%)
- Asia - 12.1 million tons (48.2%)
- Europe - 10.1 million tons (40.2%)
In addition, part of the Ukrainian grain purchased by the “well-fed countries” of Europe is sent as humanitarian re-export to Africa and Asia. Therefore, the real statistics of exports to the African continent is even higher than 11.6%. Not to mention the fact that about 50% of the production goes to support Asian countries, Nikolenko emphasized.
"Ukraine will continue to faithfully adhere to its obligations as one of the guarantors of global food security. We are also grateful to the UN and Turkey, as well as other partners for their efforts in the context of extending the grain agreement for 120 days," the Foreign Ministry spokesman added.
22:51 Deputy Defense Minister Anna Malyar said that this week marks the second month since the intensification of the fighting for Bakhmut, and named the commanders in charge of the city's defense:
- the head of the defense of Bakhmut, Brigadier General Andrey Gnatov,
- the head of the defense of the eastern front, whose area of responsibility includes Bakhmut, the commander of the OSGV Khortitsa, Colonel General Alexander Syrsky,
- also part of the eastern front is led by the commander of OSGV Tavria, Brigadier General Alexander Tarnavsky,
- directly in Bakhmut, the brigade commander of the 93rd brigade, Colonel Palisa Pavel, and the brigade commander of the 3rd brigade of the National Guard, Colonel Alexander Pivnenko, are defending.
22:47 Explosions are heard in Dzhankoy, local publics report a drone attack. The "head" of Crimea, Sergey Aksyonov, announced the work of air defense, allegedly the wreckage damaged the household and the store, one person was injured.
22:38 Putin allegedly visited the occupied Mariupol. Anyway, Russian propagandists have published about this video. The military intelligence of Ukraine cannot confirm that the Russian dictator personally visited the temporarily occupied city, and not a person who looks like him. A number of anonymous Telegram channels also write about this. For more details, see the article Putin in Mariupol: everyone doubts that the real one .
21:49 Zelensky, in an evening video message, called the EU decision to speed up the supply of shells for Ukrainian artillery a "strategic step": "The weight of this decision is 2 billion euros. Both an urgent supply and the production of ammunition are envisaged. This is a strategic step. Something that adds confidence in our unity, in the unchanging movement towards victory over the terrorist state."
21:41 Chinese leader Xi Jinping arrived in Russia on a working visit. This is the first visit by a Chinese leader to Russia since the Kremlin launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, and just days after the International Criminal Court in The Hague accused the Russian president of war crimes and issued a warrant for his arrest. More details - in the material Xi will put pressure on Putin?
21:36 The military intelligence of Ukraine is not sure that it was Putin who came to Mariupol, spokesman for the Main Intelligence Directorate Andrei Yusov said: "We have no evidence that this man was Vladimir Putin. A man who looks like Putin is indeed recorded in these frames. Now There are discussions in various expert circles about whether Putin himself is alive in principle.
Yusov stressed that if the real Putin is alive, then he can usually be seen at a long table, at a great distance from living people: “He has one hand trembling. with residents in the yards. It's a good direction."
According to Yusov, it no longer matters much whether the real Putin is alive or not, since Russia has a "collective Putin."
20:57 Zelensky said that during a conversation with Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar, he thanked for joining the Core Group to create a special tribunal on Russian aggression. We also talked about the Ukrainian formula for peace, about the intensification of cooperation in the humanitarian area.
20:53 Hungary has blocked a joint statement by the EU member states on the issuance of an arrest warrant by the International Criminal Court for Putin, Bloomberg reports. It was because of the Budapest veto that Borrell published the statement in his own name.
20:18 Zelensky said that he "had, as always, a meaningful, friendly conversation" with Prime Minister of the Netherlands Mark Rutte, which "will have further development in strengthening the defense capability of Ukraine."
19:41 Blinken criticized Xi Jinping's visit to Putin: "The fact that President Xi came to Russia a few days after the International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant for President Putin suggests that China does not feel responsible for hold the Kremlin accountable for the atrocities committed in Ukraine, and rather than condemn them, it would rather provide diplomatic cover for Russia to continue committing the same crimes."
19:37 Zelensky said that he had a conversation with Austrian Chancellor Karl Nehammer: "He thanked Austria for joining the Core Group for the creation of a special tribunal on Russia's aggression, for humanitarian support for Ukraine. We discussed key areas for strengthening assistance, in particular in the treatment of Ukrainians."
19:34 Prigozhin's press service published his letter to Shoigu with a request to take "measures to prevent the PMC Wagner from being cut off from the main forces of the RF Armed Forces, which will lead to negative consequences for the NVO." Prigozhin said that his mercenaries currently allegedly control about 70% of Bakhmut and continue their offensive. However, the Armed Forces of Ukraine, "according to available information", in late March - early April "plan to launch a large-scale offensive and deliver flank cut-off strikes in order to cut off Wagner PMC units from the main forces of the RF Armed Forces."
7:26 p.m. Putin's arrest warrant is for life, International Criminal Court prosecutor Karim Khan told BBC Radio 4: "He will remain an alleged perpetrator until he is tried or brought to trial and acquitted. This seems extreme unlikely, so he will remain an alleged perpetrator for the rest of his life."
18:49 A ceasefire in Ukraine is unacceptable at the moment, Blinken said: "A ceasefire now without a long-term solution will allow President Putin to rest and change his troops, and then resume the war at a more favorable time for Russia. The world should not be deceived by Russia's tactical move backed by China or any other country to freeze the war on their own terms."
18:45 An agreement on the joint purchase of 1 million ammunition for Ukraine was signed by 17 of the 27 EU countries, as well as Norway, the European Defense Fund said in a statement. The agreement was signed by: Austria, Belgium, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Sweden and Norway.
Ten countries did not sign the document: Hungary, Bulgaria, Spain, Poland, Slovenia, Lithuania, Latvia, Italy, Denmark and Ireland. All of them, except Hungary, expressed their intention to join the initiative shortly after the implementation of national procedures. Budapest was categorically against it.
18:27 The Rada allowed for the period of martial law to accept for military service under a contract and give the initial officer rank to fighters without military higher education, but with combat experience. To do this, the military had to do military service in the combat zone for at least six months.
18:09 Borrell commented on the decision of the European Union to provide Ukraine with 1 million ammunition: "A historic decision. At my suggestion, Member States agreed to supply a million artillery ammunition over the next 12 months. We have three approaches: 1) one billion euros for immediate delivery; 2) one billion euros for joint purchases; 3) an instruction to increase production capacity."
17:58 Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council Oleksiy Danilov in an interview with Interfax-Ukraine denied Politico's information about 100,000 dead Ukrainian military: "I declare to you with full responsibility that we do not have 100,000 losses among the military. This is impossible. Our military knows the exact figure, knows President During the war, this is classified information, but 100,000 is absolutely untrue." According to him, the ratio of losses is now 1 to 7, 1 to 8, in some cases 1 to 10 compared to Russian ones.
Speaking about the situation in Bakhmut, Danilov noted that the Armed Forces of Ukraine had already disrupted the third offensive plan for the invaders, because of which "the Russians cannot move on and throw their people into Bakhmut like a cauldron."
17:43 US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken announced a new $350 million military aid package for Ukraine. It will include, in particular, ammunition for HIMARS and Bradley, HARM missiles, anti-tank weapons and river boats.
17:22 Germany has begun deliveries of Marder infantry fighting vehicles to Ukraine, said Defense Minister Boris Pistorius. According to him, the BMPs are already on their way. At the same time, Pistorius did not specify how many cars and when they will be delivered to Ukraine. Earlier it was reported that Germany was ready to transfer up to 40 Marder infantry fighting vehicles to Ukraine.
17:09 Estonian Defense Minister Hanno Pevkur confirmed that the EU Council of Foreign Ministers, with the participation of the defense ministers of the member states, supported the proposal to allocate 1 million 155 mm ammunition to Ukraine within 12 months from its stocks and contracted ammunition.
17:03 Turkey, after increasing pressure from the United States and Europe, has stopped the transit of goods to Russia that fell under Western sanctions since March 1, said a senior Turkish export official and diplomat, Cetin Tekcelioglu. The Turkish government has given the companies a list of banned foreign goods and ordered them not to ship them to Russia, no matter what country they come from, he said.
16:41 Norway has handed over eight Leopard 2A4 tanks, four armored recovery vehicles and one mobile counter-battery radar to Ukraine, the country's Defense Ministry said.
16:20 During the last air raid in the airspace north of Kiev, an enemy drone was shot down, the city military administration said.
16:14 The United States will announce a new package of military assistance to Ukraine today, Voice of America reports, citing two Pentagon officials. They specified that the package would include missiles for HIMARS, 155mm howitzer ammunition and 25mm ammunition.
16:01 At a meeting with Xi Jinping, Putin said that he had carefully read the "peace plan." He noted that Beijing's plan can be discussed, Russia "is always open to the negotiation process."
15:59 In Kiev, from March 27, alcoholic beverages in stores and retail chains will be allowed to sell from 11:00 to 21:00 - the city's Defense Council made the corresponding decision, the Kyiv City State Administration reported.
15:47 Putin threatens to withdraw from the grain agreement in 60 days. According to him, "the question of Russia's further participation in the grain deal will be decided depending on our position taken into account." He also again stated that most of the grain along the Black Sea corridor allegedly goes to "well-fed countries", and not to Africa. The head of the Kremlin promised that if Russia withdraws from the grain initiative, the country will supply grain "to countries in Africa in particular need" for free.
15:41 Hungary will not participate in the co-financing of the European Union for the purchase of ammunition for Ukraine, Foreign Minister Peter Szijjártó said following a meeting in Brussels.
15:12 The UK is ready to replace Poland with MiG-29 fighters, which it plans to transfer to Ukraine, Deputy Defense Minister James Hippie said: "We will take Poland's request to fill in the gaps very positively. We did this when Warsaw first delivered T-72 tanks to Ukraine, and we sent Challenger 2 tanks to Poland. The same goes for fighters." The hippie added that no such request had yet been received from Warsaw.
14:57 The Verkhovna Rada adopted an appeal to the parties to the Rome Statute to take all possible measures to implement the decision of the International Criminal Court to issue a warrant for Putin's arrest.
14:40 The EU Foreign Ministers have approved a plan for the supply of ammunition to Ukraine, Radio Liberty's editor for Europe, Rikard Jozwiak, said.
14:16 Kiev expects that Beijing will use its influence on Moscow to force it to stop its aggressive war against Ukraine, Foreign Ministry spokesman Oleg Nikolenko said in a commentary to the UP, commenting on Xi Jinping's visit to Russia. "As Minister Kuleba stressed in a telephone conversation with his Chinese counterpart last week, restoring Ukraine's territorial integrity should be at the center of all diplomatic efforts," Nikolenko said.
14:01 Ukraine received four Su-25 attack aircraft from North Macedonia, according to the British specialized publication Janes, citing the country's Ministry of Defense. We are talking about aircraft that North Macedonia bought from Ukraine in 2001, and already in 2004 decommissioned. These Su-25s will most likely go for spare parts. When exactly they were transferred is not specified.
In addition, North Macedonia agreed on March 14 a new defense assistance package for Ukraine, the details of which have not yet been disclosed. Macedonian media also write that the country is considering the transfer of 12 Mi-24 helicopters to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
13:52 The head of the Kiev city military administration, Sergei Popko, signed an order to change the curfew in the capital: from March 26, it will operate from 00:00 to 05:00 daily.
13:40 The Russians are trying to encircle Avdiivka, Alexei Dmitrashkovsky, spokesman for the defense forces of the Taurida direction, said: “The enemy is now constantly trying to encircle Avdiivka. say that not everything is so good in the Russian units attacking in this direction. Over the past day, the enemy has lost about three companies of personnel."
According to him, the assaults on Avdiivka are of the same type and predictable, and the invaders use "the last reserves they have."
13:37 The Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation opened a criminal case against the prosecutor and judges of the International Criminal Court. The Investigative Committee noted that the prosecution of the President of Russia and the Children's Ombudsman by the court "is obviously illegal, since there are no grounds for criminal liability."
13:30 The Russian Foreign Ministry said that Moscow "made a decision" to reduce the period of the next prolongation of the grain agreement to 60 days, that is, until May 18. The ministry said that this position was officially communicated to the Turkish and Ukrainian sides, as well as the UN. "There were no formal objections. Thus, the agreement continues to operate for the next two months. Without progress in the implementation of the Russian part of the deal, Russia's participation in it will be suspended," the Russian Foreign Ministry said.
13:19 The State Bureau of Investigation has completed a pre-trial investigation against the former head of the SBU Department in the Kharkiv region Roman Dudin - he faces life imprisonment for treason. The investigation established that on the eve of February 24, 2022, he knew about the high probability of a full-scale offensive by the Russian Federation, but instead of preparing for the invasion, he actually engaged in sabotage.
In particular, Dudin organized an attempt to remove the head of the Kharkiv OVA from his duties in order to seize state power in the region. He also discredited the current authorities of Kharkov and the region through the media, tried to paralyze the work of the security agencies. Dudin deliberately created conditions for the surrender of weapons and ammunition to the enemy and arbitrarily left the place of service.
13:03 The Russians fired on the village of Nikolskoye, Daryev community, Kherson region, at least five residential buildings were damaged, at least two people were injured, the OVA reported.
12:36 Collaborator Serhiy Moskalenko, who was liquidated the other day in Nova Kakhovka, was the organizer of torture in the occupied Kherson region, the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine reports. He was a resident of Nova Kakhovka and the owner of a local security firm. During the occupation, he cooperated with the Russians and received the position of the so-called "chief of the pre-trial detention center", where captured Ukrainians were tortured.
12:32 Xi Jinping arrived in Moscow. Peskov said that the official meeting ceremony between Putin and the head of China will begin tomorrow at 15:00, and today they will hold an informal meeting.
The Chinese leader was met at Vnukovo by Russian Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Chernyshenko and a military band. Xi Jinping himself, upon his arrival, expressed confidence that his visit "would be fruitful and would give a new impetus to the development of relations with Russia."
12:15 Podolyak ruled out the possibility of negotiations with the current Russian elite: "The legal fixation of the "acting president of the Russian Federation" as an unconditional international criminal directly means: 1. No negotiations with the current Russian elite 2. No return of the Russian Federation to world politics in a pre-war status. 3. No lifting sanctions as long as "Putin's face" represents Russia."
11:51 Danilov commented on China's "peace plan": "The formula for the successful implementation of China's "peace plan". The first and main point is the surrender or withdrawal of Russian occupation troops from the territory of Ukraine in accordance with international law, the UN Charter. In order to restore sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity".
11:24 The Supreme Anti-Corruption Court decided to confiscate the Ukrainian assets of the Russian oligarch Arkady Rotenberg, including the Ocean Plaza shopping center in Kiev. The decision will take effect ten days later, unless the defendant wants to appeal it on appeal.
“But they have no chance of success,” commented People’s Deputy David Arakhamia. “The property of Putin’s close friend will become the property of the state and will be transferred to the management of the State Property Fund. We warned that Russian oligarchs would pay for crimes against Ukraine. Mechanisms to attract Russians come into play legal liability."
11:19 The International Criminal Court, which issued a warrant for Putin's arrest, should take a "fair position" and "respect the immunity of leaders of states in accordance with international law," Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin said. He also stressed that "China will continue to take an objective and fair position in the Ukrainian crisis and play a constructive role in the peace talks."
11:17 The tactics of missile terror have already failed, although Russia is not going to give up this tool of intimidation, Andriy Yusov, spokesman for the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, said. He drew attention to the increase in the intervals between attacks and added that Kalibr, Iskander and Daggers are not the weapons that the enemy can afford to bombard Ukraine. But the Russian Federation still has a lot of obsolete missile weapons, especially the S-300, Yusov recalled.
10:59 The media noticed that on the propaganda video, where allegedly Putin communicates with the residents of Mariupol, a woman's cry is heard from afar: "It's all not true, it's all for show!"
10:24 British intelligence reports that over the past three weeks, Russian forces have been gradually advancing around Avdiivka, and Avdiivka Coke will become a key area for future battles. According to analysts, the Russian operation was mainly carried out by the "DPR" 1st Army Corps, locals who know the area well.
At the same time, the tactical situation in intelligence is called a similar situation in Bakhmut. Supply lines to the west there are increasingly threatened by the Russians.
10:17 In a military unit in the Chernihiv region on March 18, during regular firing, a shell detonated, killing four servicemen. A criminal case has been registered on the fact of violation of the rules for handling weapons, the State Bureau of Investigation reported.
09:53 4,000 Russian military are now based in Belarus, mostly mobilized, Sergei Naev, Commander of the Joint Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, said in an interview with RBC-Ukraine. They undergo training at Belarusian training grounds, after which they are sent by echelons to the east and south of Ukraine. Belarusian troops can only conduct defensive operations, they have no strike potential, so the threat of an offensive from Belarus is low today, Naev noted.
09:16 In the Kherson region over the past day, as a result of Russian shelling, six people were injured. In the Donetsk region, two wounded, according to the IVA.
08:52 In Russia, employees of the Presidential Administration were asked to get rid of the iPhone by the end of March because of the "threat of espionage," Kommersant writes, citing its sources. At the same time, it is possible that new "safe" telephones will be purchased for the AP employees.
08:45 The General Staff announced the approximate losses of the Russian Federation as of the morning of March 20.
- personnel - about 165,610 (+700) people liquidated,
- tanks - 3537 (+5),
- armored combat vehicles - 6869 (+16),
- artillery systems - 2577 (+9),
- MLRS - 507 (+0),
- air defense systems - 270 (+2),
- aircraft - 305 (+0),
- helicopters - 290 (+0),
- UAV operational-tactical level - 2160 (+1),
- cruise missiles - 907 (+0),
- ships/boats - 18 (+0),
- automotive equipment and tankers - 5416 (+8),
- special equipment - 265 (+3).
08:26 The Russian army continues to conduct offensive operations in the Limansky, Bakhmutsky, Avdeevsky, Maryinsky and Shakhtyorsky directions. Over the past day, the Defense Forces repelled 69 enemy attacks in the indicated directions. Bakhmut remains the epicenter of hostilities, the General Staff said in a morning report .
In the occupied Kherson region, Russian invaders at checkpoints threaten local residents with imprisonment and violent actions if they do not have Russian passports during the next document check.
07:21 600 Ukrainian soldiers have already completed training in Estonia, Defense Minister Hanno Pevkur said in an interview with the Kyiv Independent: "We trained 600 Ukrainian infantrymen. We conducted training for one company at a time, three times." In addition, according to the minister, doctors, riflemen and some other military specialties were trained in Estonia.
06:03 The American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) believes that the Russian "big offensive" is coming to its climax without bringing the Russian Federation significant military victories. In particular, the Russians never captured Bakhmut, in addition, they have problems with the offensive in the area of Avdiivka and Vugledar. The recent offensive on Avdiivka resulted in heavy Russian casualties, equivalent to one company, according to ISW.
And while trying to strengthen the group near Ugledar, the Russians are weakening in other areas. Thus, the 155th Marine Brigade suffered catastrophic losses in manpower and equipment during the constant unsuccessful attacks on Ugledar in November and February, and the Russian military leadership is likely to rely heavily on the reserve units of the 98th Airborne Division, to make up for these losses. Also, some units of the 8th Airborne Division, which is located in the Kremennaya Luhansk region, are being moved to the Vuhledar area. Analysts see such movements as "an act of desperation."
05:49 "DPR Ombudsman" Daria Morozova complained that on March 17 she was not allowed to speak at a meeting of the UN Security Council on the "humanitarian situation" in Ukraine. US Ambassador to the UN Linda Thomas-Greenfield spoke out against giving Morozova the floor and called for a procedural vote. As a result, four countries voted for Morozova's participation - Russia, China, Brazil and Ghana. Eight countries were against, including the USA, Britain, France.
05:35 A unilateral agenda for a Xi Jinping-Putin meeting "could harm Ukraine," said White House National Security Council strategic communications coordinator John Kirby: "The Chinese peace plan that will be presented to Putin could include some type of ceasefire that would simply allow the Russian Federation regroup their forces for further attacks... The ceasefire is effectively a ratification of the Russian conquest."
The US also expressed concern that the "borderless" cooperation between Putin and Xi could deepen as a result of the talks.
01:47 Czech President Petr Pavel believes that Ukraine will have only one attempt to carry out a large counteroffensive, and if it fails, it will be extremely difficult to obtain funding for the next attempt. "The window of opportunity is open this year. It will be very difficult to maintain the current level of assistance after next winter," Pavel stressed.
00:50 On March 20, EU foreign ministers will sign a plan for the supply of ammunition for Ukraine for the year ahead, Radio Liberty journalist Rikard Jozwiak reports. According to him, we are talking about the supply of 1 million artillery shells to Kyiv over the next 12 months. At the same time, the journalist noted the "impressive diplomatic work" of Estonia, which laid the foundation for this case.
00:18 On the eve of his visit to Russia, Chinese President Xi Jinping also wrote an author's article for the Russian media, in which he stated that Beijing "always takes an objective and impartial position on the Ukrainian crisis, makes active efforts to promote reconciliation and peace negotiations."
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