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2023-03-13 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Ukrainian Perspective: Invasion of Ukraine: March 12th, 2023
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Korrespondent] 22:37 Partisans of the ATESH movement announced that they had blown up the railway line between the villages of Abrikosovka and Radensk in the occupied Kherson region.

21:56 In Moldova, a pro-Russian network created to destabilize the country has been exposed, police chief Viorel Cernautanu said. He said that the operation took place on March 11, the suspects arrived in the country from Russia "with a very specific task." After the raids, 25 people were interrogated and seven were arrested.

20:31 In less than one week - for the period from March 6 - and only in one Bakhmut direction, the Ukrainian Defense Forces managed to destroy more than 1,100 enemy soldiers, Zelensky said: "These are irretrievable losses of Russia, losses right there, near Bakhmut. Plus, how at least 1,500 sanitary enemy losses are injuries that are incompatible for them with the continuation of the fighting. Plus, dozens of enemy equipment were destroyed. Plus, more than ten Russian ammunition depots were burned."

20:28 Zelensky commented on the decision to stop renting the premises of the Kiev-Pechersk Lavra for the monks of the UOC-MP: "There is a movement to strengthen our spiritual independence. The society sees this. And I see the approval of the Ukrainians of these steps of ours - absolutely legal. And we will continue our movement We will not allow a terrorist state to have any opportunity to manipulate the spirituality of our people, destroy Ukrainian shrines - our laurels - or steal any valuables from them."

20:15 Zelensky said in an evening video message that today he awarded the title of Hero of Ukraine to Alexander Matsievsky: "To a soldier. A man who will be known to all Ukrainians. A man who will be remembered forever. For his courage, for his confidence - in Ukraine - and for his "Glory to Ukraine!".

20:12 India, after discussions with the United States and the G7 countries, decided to stick to $60 price ceilings for Russian oil, Bloomberg reports.

19:47 The SBU finally confirmed the identity of the Ukrainian soldier, whom the Russians shot after the words "Glory to Ukraine!". Investigators established that he was a sniper of the 163rd battalion of the 119th separate brigade of the Chernihiv Oblast Troops Oleksandr Matsiyevsky. He was called up for military service in March 2022, and since the end of December he was considered missing near the village of Krasnaya Gora, Donetsk region. According to the SBU, Matsievsky was shot on December 30, 2022, his body was returned home in February 2023.

18:56 Czech President Petr Pavel will visit Ukraine in April, his press secretary said following Pavel's first conversation with Zelensky.

18:38 About ten citizens of Estonia are fighting on the side of the Russian Federation and about the same number on the side of Ukraine, said Estonian Defense Minister Hanno Pevkur. According to the minister, upon arrival home, the Estonians who helped Russia will face criminal punishment, since "participation in the war on the side of the aggressor is punishable in Estonia."

18:29 Ukraine has started the second sowing campaign during the war - the first 16,000 hectares of grain have been sown, Shmyhal said. He added that the government is working to continue the grain initiative and expand the transshipment of the Danube ports, the passage of the Ukrainian-Polish border for agricultural products has already been simplified.

18:07 The Defense Council of the Kherson region decided to cancel the "dry law" for one month and help restore the region's economy, said the head of the OVA, Alexander Prokudin. From March 15, the sale of alcoholic beverages is allowed at wholesale, retail and restaurant facilities from 10:00 to 15:00. The sale of alcohol to military and law enforcement officials remains prohibited.

16:20 Zelensky said that he had a conversation with Czech President Petr Pavel: "I informed about the situation at the front, our security needs. We talked about Ukraine's movement to the European Union. We agreed to continue to actively cooperate."

15:23 Three pro-Russian politicians were arrested in Estonia, one of whom recently traveled to the occupied Donetsk and Mariupol. They were convicted under Article 235 of the Penal Code (creating or maintaining relations with a foreign state for the purpose of committing a crime). The decision can still be appealed to the Tallinn District Court.

On the night of March 10, the security police detained three men on suspicion of creating links against Estonia. Two of them - the leader of the Koos movement Aivo Peterson and Dmitry Rootsi - are Estonian citizens, another one - Andrey Andronov - is a Russian citizen with a permanent residence permit in Estonia. Peterson, in his statements, has repeatedly supported the actions of the Russian Federation, and recently visited the occupied territories of Ukraine, in particular, Donetsk and Mariupol. There he recorded several videos, where he hinted that Russia "is not worth messing with."

15:11 In the Lugansk region, the Russians are constantly experimenting with battle tactics, said the head of the OVA Sergey Gaidai: "Kremennaya, Belogorovka, Svatovo ... What is happening there is an attempt not just to storm our positions head-on. The Russians are experimenting. they go heavy, up to 10-12 units, then three infantry fighting vehicles go, and infantry goes between them, or the tank stands in the depths of the forest and just shoots positions, or sometimes they just launch three companies to assault. Russians have become much more.

13:35 In an interview with Bild, Kuleba called publications about a "pro-Ukrainian group", allegedly involved in sabotage on Nord Stream, a coordinated action: "When three newspapers publish articles on the same topic for two days, this is a coordinated action."

The Foreign Minister also said that he intends to discuss this topic with his German colleague Annalena Burbock: "I look forward to talking about this, as well as other issues. Annalena Burbock commented on this, and I agree with her. We must wait for the conclusions of the official investigation, because what is happening now is a kind of labeling."

12:49 The German government does not sign contracts with the industry for the production of ammunition for Ukraine, Kuleba said in an interview with Bild: "We sat down with Ukrainian representatives and the German armed industry, and the German industry in my presence demanded one thing from the German government: signed contracts. Therefore, The problem is with the government."

The head of the Foreign Ministry also said that Ukraine will not receive fighter jets from the West in the near future: “I do not expect the delivery of fighter jets to take place in the near future, because this is a very difficult task in terms of logistics and technology. Therefore, we advise you to start training Ukrainian pilots on Western aircraft now, so that when a decision is made on the provision of aircraft, not to waste time and many months on training.

12:27 In order to reduce the number of Russian shelling of the right-bank Kherson region, the Defense Forces of Ukraine are trying to push the Russian army back at least 20 km from the water's edge, said Natalya Gumenyuk, speaker of OK Pivden. According to her, the Ukrainian military is constantly destroying the firing positions of the Russians, but the invaders often deploy new ones among the houses of local residents in the temporarily occupied territories.

Gumenyuk also noted that the Russians are deliberately shelling civilian infrastructure in the temporarily occupied territories in order to blame the UAF for the attack and intimidate people.

11:20 British intelligence notes that Russia continues to suffer extremely heavy losses in the war against Ukraine, but these losses vary greatly by region of the country. So, they are almost invisible in Moscow and St. Petersburg, while in many eastern regions the mortality rate as a percentage of the population is 30 or more times higher than in the capital of the Russian Federation. Ethnic minorities suffer the most. Thus, in Astrakhan, about 75% of the victims are Kazakh and Tatar minorities.

10:38 A massive missile attack on March 9 had as one of its goals the search for Patriot air defense installations, Natalya Gumenyuk, speaker of OK Pivden, said. So, at first, the Russians launched kamikaze drones, firing at certain objects and distracting Ukrainian air defense. This was followed by a massive strike of missiles of various bases, which had already been used. Behind them - drones already to check the results of the strikes. And finally, a new wave of missiles, including Kinzhal, which the Ukrainian air defense forces cannot yet shoot down.

"It is clear that the enemy used such tactics in order to attribute at least some victories to themselves. And to test our readiness to respond to them. Such preliminary information that Ukraine was already equipped with Patriot systems played a significant role in this. And they tried to see if this is really the case," Gumenyuk explained.

09:45 This month, the Rada plans to make changes to the state budget-2023, increasing military spending by more than 500 billion hryvnias. This is the largest increase in the budget in the history of Ukraine, said MP Yaroslav Zheleznyak.

09:19 In the Donetsk region over the past day, as a result of Russian shelling, two people were killed (in Konstantinovka and Thin), four more were injured. In the Kherson region, three people were killed and three wounded, according to the IVA.

09:11 The "authorities" of the occupied Nova Kakhovka said that Ukrainian troops allegedly launched a massive artillery strike on the Sokol microdistrict in the morning.

08:49 The General Staff announced the approximate losses of the Russian Federation as of the morning of March 12.

  • personnel - 159,090 (+1090) people liquidated,

  • tanks - 3466 (+8),

  • armored combat vehicles - 6769 (+7),

  • artillery systems - 2487 (+4),

  • MLRS - 493 (+0),

  • air defense systems - 259 (+2),

  • aircraft - 304 (+0),

  • helicopters - 289 (+0),

  • UAV operational-tactical level - 2108 (+0),

  • cruise missiles - 907 (+0),

  • ships/boats - 18 (+0),

  • automotive equipment and tankers - 5348 (+4),

  • special equipment - 242 (+0).

08:36 The Russian army is concentrating its main efforts on conducting offensive operations in the Limansky, Bakhmutsky, Avdeevsky, Maryinsky and Miner directions. Over the past day, the defense forces have repulsed 92 enemy attacks in the indicated directions, the General Staff said in the morning report .

05:27 The American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) notes that Putin has lost control over the Russian information space. In addition, now there is an internal confrontation between key representatives of the inner circle of the head of the Kremlin.

Analysts drew attention to the statements of the Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova, who confirmed that the Kremlin does not yet centrally control the information space of the Russian Federation, and that Putin probably cannot influence this. In particular, Zakharova said that the Kremlin cannot repeat the Stalinist approach to creating a modern analogue of the Soviet Information Bureau for centralized control over the internal information space of Russia because of the struggle between the Kremlin elites.

ISW also notes that after the battle for Bakhmut, Prigozhin is going to turn the Wagner group into a tough ideological elite military organization and start a new wave of recruitment. Recently, PMC Wagner has been expanding recruiting centers throughout Russia, including those focused on recruiting young people.

Posted by badanov 2023-03-13 00:00|| || Front Page|| [16 views ]  Top

#1 back of the envelop calc

Russia has, in past 150 days of Battle for Bakhmat, advanced about 16 miles. So that averages about 600 ft per day. In that time they have lost about 30k soldiers or about 200 per day.

That's gaining about 3' for every soldier lost.
Posted by lord garth 2023-03-13 13:38||   2023-03-13 13:38|| Front Page Top

#2 ^^ This is a knife fight, not a tour of I-10 during rush hour.
Posted by badanov 2023-03-13 20:42||   2023-03-13 20:42|| Front Page Top

#3 The Thunder Run to Baghdad set a record for yards gained on the ground, but they were not assaulting into prepared positions. A better metric for comparison would be WW1 trench warfare, but with better artillery spotting.
Posted by SteveS 2023-03-13 21:37||   2023-03-13 21:37|| Front Page Top

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