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2023-02-13 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
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Ukrainian Perspective: Invasion of Ukraine: February 12th, 2023
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Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Korrespondent] 22:22 Kuleba announced "big events" on the anniversary of the full-scale invasion of the Russian Federation: "There will be many important political signals, there will be decisions on sanctions, weapons, there will be symbols of unity, and this will happen at all levels. I will say this: Russia will remember how the world celebrates anniversary of its full-scale aggression against Ukraine".
22:16 On the evening of February 12, the Russians launched a reconnaissance UAV and several balloons with corner reflectors into the Dnipropetrovsk region, the command of the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported. Air defense worked on the enemy drone, the result is being specified.
Air Force spokesman Yuri Ignat specified that the Russians are launching drones to study air defense: "They started attacking in small groups in the evening. They are studying the work of our air defense, and reconnaissance drones may appear to inspect the consequences of strikes."
21:15 Zelensky, in an evening video message, stressed that today's sanctions against 200 people concern mainly those who work for the nuclear industry of the Russian Federation: "And we are doing everything to ensure that sanctions against the Russian nuclear industry become part of the global sanctions against Russia for the war. This But there was a time when other restrictions against Russia seemed difficult to implement - for example, on oil and oil products... Russia's radiation blackmail of the world must be punished. We will also talk about this at various diplomatic levels next week".
20:37 Since November 2022, Iran has supplied Russia with 18 attack drones of a new type: 12 Shahed-129 and Shahed-191, as well as six Mohajer-6 units, The Guardian writes, citing its sources. According to the publication, these drones were chosen by the Russian military delegation during its secret visit to Tehran.
19:54 To finalize the war, Ukraine must destroy 5,000 Russian soldiers a day, Podolyak said: “Russia has accumulated a lot of manpower, which, unfortunately, we need to destroy as quickly as possible. That is, we need to do not a thousand“ funerals ”a day for Russia, but 2,500, 3,000, and better - 5,000. Only this can begin to finalize this war. Only destruction, destruction and destruction."
| Is that realistic? We’re told Wagner has lost three fourths of the 40,000 prisoners they started with, but prisoner volunteers are not the same as recruits. |
Podolyak added that long-range missiles, tanks and aircraft are needed to quickly eliminate the invaders: “These are the three tools that we urgently need at this stage. We also need 155 mm caliber shells, we need missiles for air defense. And they will also talk about this on Rammstein.
18:48 The Russian army is concentrating its main efforts on conducting offensive operations in the Kupyansky, Limansky, Bakhmutsky, Avdeevsky and Novopavlovsky directions. It is strengthening its grouping of troops in the Limansky and Bakhmutsky directions, actively using aviation to strike at the positions of Ukrainian troops, the General Staff said in an evening summary.
In the Kherson region, the invaders are forcing pensioners to obtain Russian passports, threatening to stop paying pensions.
| A good reason not to rely on any government retirement income... |
16:27 The Swiss bank Credit Suisse has blocked Russian assets worth more than $19 billion, which is one third of all declared Russian assets in Switzerland, according to Sonntags Zeitung. Of this amount, only 4.32 billion dollars belong to persons who were previously included in the sanctions list by the Swiss authorities, the remaining 14.7 billion dollars relate to persons who were sanctioned in other states. In addition, Credit Suisse froze the funds of the Russian Central Bank.
15:34 Pakistan sent Ukraine more than 10,000 rockets for the Grad MLRS, the Indian edition of The Economic Times reported, citing its sources. The shells will be sent through the German port of Emden with subsequent transit through Poland.
15:06 From Monday, February 13, the military will close access to Bakhmut for all civilians, including volunteers, said the commander of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with the call sign Madyar. It will be possible to get to Bakhmut only with special passes. The purpose of the ban is to ensure the safety of civilians from enemy sabotage groups that penetrate the city. At the same time, the military themselves will help the local residents who remain in Bakhmut.
According to the military, street fighting continues on the outskirts of the eastern and southern parts of Bakhmut, the enemy is trying to surround the city from the flanks.
14:43 Near the village of Novoraysk, Beryslav district, Kherson region, two people who were driving a civilian car along a field road were blown up by a Russian mine. Both died on the spot, the OVA said.
14:28 If Russia continues a new round of mobilization, it will suffer from the same problems that the previous wave revealed, including a lack of modern equipment in working condition and a sufficient number of combat-ready officers, training a huge influx of unprepared people, Vadym Skibitsky, a representative of the military intelligence of Ukraine, said in an interview The Wall Street Journal. According to him, the Russian Federation is preparing for a second wave of mobilization, but will probably delay it because it has not overcome all the difficulties that it experienced during the first wave. "They were not ready then for such a large-scale mobilization, and they are not ready now," the representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine is convinced.
13:35 Even if Russia launches a nuclear strike on Ukraine, 89% of Ukrainians intend to continue hostilities, a survey commissioned by the Munich Security Conference showed. In addition, 85% of Ukrainians surveyed do not consider the withdrawal of the Russian Federation to the front line as of February 24 an acceptable basis for a ceasefire. At the same time, 75% of respondents believe that Ukraine will never be safe without Western guarantees.
12:59 Zelensky put into effect the decision of the National Security and Defense Council to impose sanctions against 200 individuals associated with the Russian Federation. The restrictions apply mainly to citizens of Russia. The list, in particular, included one of Putin's closest aides in foreign economic policy, Yuri Ushakov, as well as Ukrainian collaborator Andrei Chernichuk, whom Rosatom appointed as the "general director" of the Zaporizhzhya NPP.
12:13 The Russians probably attracted foreign mercenaries to organize a drone attack on the territory of Ukraine, the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense reported, citing the interception of the conversations of the occupiers during a massive attack on February 10. The interlocutors communicated in a dialect of the Kurdish language interspersed with words in Farsi. This intercept may indicate that Kurdish mercenaries with experience in the combat use of Shahed are also fighting on the side of the Russians, intelligence notes and recalls that during their operations in Syria, Russian troops have already attracted armed detachments consisting of Kurdish and Afghan mercenaries.
12:07 On February 11, the Armed Forces of Ukraine hit two boats that the Russians were preparing to maneuver sabotage and reconnaissance groups in the Dnieper Delta, spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces Natalya Gumenyuk said. She also said that there was no deployment of forces behind enemy lines that could launch an attack on the right-bank Kherson region. At the same time, a certain concentration of troops is located in the Zaporozhye direction, but the situation there is under control.
11:52 Duda said that Russia can defeat Ukraine if Kiev does not receive military equipment in the coming weeks. According to him, Putin can win, "and we don't know where he will stop."
11:29 Electricity consumption in Ukraine remains high, but there is no shortage of power today, Ukrenergo reported. Consumption limits have not been set to date, but in the event of an increase in consumption, emergency shutdowns may be applied. In particular, this applies to Odessa, Kyiv, Khmelnytsky, Zhytomyr regions and the city of Kyiv. Ukrenergo stressed that the removal of consumption limits applies only to the day of February 12, and with the start of the working week, the restrictions may return.
11:13 The Russians fired on Nikopol from barrel artillery in the morning - one person was killed, one was wounded. Four high-rise buildings, a water utility and a college building were damaged in the city, said Serhiy Lysak, head of the Dnepropetrovsk OVA.
10:40 The American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) states that the Russian military failed to quickly prepare those mobilized for effective offensive operations. According to analysts, the tactical failures of the Russian troops near Ugledar have further weakened the belief of the Russian ultra-nationalist community that the Russian Federation is capable of launching a decisive offensive operation.
ISW notes that the Russian military command deploys its most elite units in the Bakhmut area in small groups, using the tactics of infiltrating the city. This tactic appears to facilitate a significant advance of Russian forces in Bakhmut, which could result in operational advantages if Ukrainian forces decide to retreat from there.
At the same time, this tactic is more suited to dense urban environments, so analysts say the Russian military is unlikely to be able to expand its offensive from the Bakhmut area to a wider area. In addition, Russian troops lack the elite formations needed to carry out a larger offensive in eastern Ukraine in the same way.
10:27 The Russians recently organized several powerful attacks in the Kremensk direction, suffered significant losses and retreated to replenish, said the head of the Lugansk OVA, Sergei Gaidai. According to him, the enemy is shelling Ukrainian positions in Belogorovka from tanks, heavy artillery and aircraft. And in the occupied territories, the Russians check smartphones even in children.
09:58 British intelligence believes that Russia over the past two weeks has suffered the greatest losses since the military invasion of Ukraine. Analysts cite Russian casualty statistics according to the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and note that although they cannot verify the numbers, "the trends illustrating the data are probably accurate."
According to intelligence estimates, the average value of the Russian casualty data for the last week was 824 deaths per day, which is four times higher than the figure for June-July 2022. The increase in Russian casualties is likely due to a number of factors, including a lack of trained personnel, coordination and resources at the front - examples of this are Ugledar and Bakhmut, analysts say.
09:42 On the evening of February 11, the Russians attacked the critical infrastructure of Ukraine with loitering ammunition in the southeast direction, the command of the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported. Launches of "Shaheds" were made from the eastern coast of the Sea of Azov. Ukrainian forces shot down four Shahed-136/131 kamikaze attack drones and one Orlan-10 operational-tactical UAV.
09:29 In the Donetsk region over the past day, as a result of Russian shelling, one person died - in Bakhmut. Ten more people were injured in the region, Pavel Kirilenko, head of the OVA, said.
09:11 Late in the evening on February 11, the Russians launched rocket attacks on Kharkov, one of the enterprises was damaged, and a large-scale fire broke out. Also, one rocket hit the Novaya Poshta depot, one person was injured, Oleg Sinegubov, head of the OVA, said.
Over the past day, the enemy also fired artillery, mortars and aviation on the border settlements of the Chuguevsky and Kupyansky districts. In Volchansk, 13 residential buildings and outbuildings were destroyed, the building of the National Police was damaged, people were not injured.
08:53 The General Staff announced the approximate losses of the Russians as of the morning of February 12.
- personnel - about 137,780 (+900) people liquidated,
- tanks - 3280 (+13),
- armored combat vehicles - 6488 (+14),
- artillery systems - 2287 (+17),
- MLRS - 465 (+2),
- air defense systems - 234 (+0),
- aircraft - 296 (+1),
- helicopters - 286 (+0),
- UAV operational-tactical level - 2007 (+10),
- cruise missiles - 857 (+0),
- ships/boats - 18 (+0),
- automotive equipment and tankers - 5148 (+14),
- special equipment - 215 (+1).
08:37 During the unsuccessful assaults on Vugledar and Avdiivka, the Russians lost 103 pieces of equipment in three days on February 8-10, including 36 tanks, analysts of the Oryx project calculated. According to them, Ukraine lost 20 pieces of equipment during the same period, including two tanks. Thus, the ratio of losses by the evening of February 10 was about 5:1. The overall ratio of equipment losses by Russia and Ukraine, according to Oryx, is 9189 and 2941, or 3.12 to 1.
08:24 The Russian army continues to focus its main efforts on offensive operations in the Kupyansky, Limansky, Bakhmutsky, Avdeevsky and Novopavlovsky directions. It actively uses operational-tactical and army aviation to strike at the positions of Ukrainian troops, the General Staff said in a morning summary .
Over the past day, units of the Defense Forces of Ukraine repelled attacks by Russians in the areas of Belogorivka and Serebryansky forestry in the Luhansk region and Torsky, Fedorovka, Bakhmut, Ivanovsky, Chasov Yar, Pervomaisky, Pobeda, Maryinka and Vugledar in the Donetsk region.
In Brilovka and Novokievka, Kherson region, the occupying "local administration" takes away housing from the local population. Servicemen of the Russian troops actively go from house to house and check the presence of residence permits and documents on the ownership of housing. Abandoned houses are sealed with a message that they have passed into the ownership of the "local administration".
07:39 A new military training ground and a military camp will be built in the Gomel region of Belarus, near the border with Ukraine, reports Belaruski Gayun. The landfill is planned to be built in 2023-2025, $11 million will be spent on this.
06:33 Crimean partisans appealed through the telegram channel Crimea - the land of partisan glory to the local population with a request to report on the places of accumulation of Russian troops and equipment, especially in the north of the peninsula. Their location with exact coordinates and preferably with a photo and a description of the equipment are asked to be sent to the chatbot.
06:05 Russian intelligence agencies have stepped up the recruitment of spies in the UK to sow chaos in the country, writes The Sun. The journalists claim they received emails from sources close to the Kremlin. These letters say that the Kremlin is looking for people "capable of committing sabotage for large sums of money."
05:14 In Ukraine, they intend to organize a joint production of military equipment and weapons with the UK under a license - such plans are discussed by high-ranking officials of the defense industry of the two countries, The Daily Telegraph writes, citing sources. According to the publication, representatives of Britain have already visited Ukraine to discuss the issue of production.
Previously, we are talking about the creation of joint ventures that will produce weapons and vehicles. The publication notes that a number of other countries are conducting similar negotiations with Ukraine. British companies are striving to get ahead of competitors from Germany and France.
01:12 Reznikov said that Ukraine has deprived Russia of dominance in the Black Sea, and this makes the risk of capturing Odessa minimal. According to the minister, Ukraine did this, in particular, by successfully using its own Neptunes, with the help of which the cruiser Moskva was sunk. “Plus, the Harpoon anti-ship systems are serving, so I don’t see any chance for them to approach Odessa from the sea,” he added.
Reznikov recalled that they failed to approach by land last time, and by now the Russians have already been thrown back to the left bank of the Dnieper, which in itself, with destroyed bridges and crossings, is a powerful natural protective barrier. "As for the left-bank territories of southern Ukraine, the enemy grouping there has the ability to replenish with weapons, equipment, and people, so the situation there, of course, is more tense," the head of the Defense Ministry added.
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