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2023-02-04 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
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Ukrainian Perspective: Invasion of Ukraine: Febuary 3rd, 2023
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Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Korrespondent] 22:40 Canada has imposed sanctions against the media group Russia Today, as well as against the deputy editor-in-chief of the media group Dmitry Gornostaev and a number of journalists. In addition, the new sanctions list includes artists, including Nikolai Baskov, Oleg Gazmanov, Alexander Marshal, Polina Gagarina, Nadezhda Babkina and others.
22:08 Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in an interview with CNN that he might consider providing military assistance to Ukraine. About how realistic this is - in the material Iron Dome for Ukraine .
21:42 The Ukraine-EU summit ended in Kiev, in which our country for the first time took part in the status of a candidate for joining the European Union. As part of the meeting, President Volodymyr Zelensky held talks with the head of the European Council, Charles Michel, and the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen. Read more in the material Outcomes of the EU-Ukraine Summit .
21:36 In Izyum, Kharkiv region, seven teenagers found a fragment of an anti-personnel mine "petal" - all the children received shrapnel wounds, five of them were hospitalized, Oleg Sinegubov, head of the OVA, said.
20:30 Zelensky said in an evening video message that Ukraine will achieve its European goals: “Today, I felt very confident in this - during the summit. We are already talking as members of the European community. And we are working to fix this de jure. There is an understanding that negotiations on Ukraine's membership in the European Union can begin this year.There is an understanding by the partners that this year, as in the past, they must invariably strengthen defense support for our state and pressure on Russia.We are preparing for even greater integration of Ukraine into the internal EU market - these are large incomes of Ukrainian companies, more production and jobs in our country, these are incomes of the state and local budgets.
19:44 The new package of military assistance to Ukraine will include long-range GLSDB projectiles , Pentagon spokesman Pat Ryder said. He added that the United States leaves it up to Kyiv to use long-range projectiles to strike at Crimea.
The new package will include:
19:23 Permanent representatives of the EU countries have agreed on a price ceiling for Russian oil products, the Swedish presidency of the EU Council reports. The countries agreed on a price ceiling of $100 per barrel of oil products from the Russian Federation traded at a premium, and $45 per barrel traded at a discount. The European Commission announced that the EU is introducing a price ceiling for Russian oil products together with the G7.
19:18 The Pentagon announced the allocation of a new $ 2.2 billion military assistance package to Ukraine , which will include, in particular, air defense systems, Javelin anti-tank missiles, artillery ammunition, as well as conventional and long-range missiles for HIMARS.
19:15 The European Union supports the Ukrainian formula of peace and will work on the implementation of ten points of this initiative, European Council President Charles Michel said following the 24th Ukraine-EU summit: "The EU and Ukraine have a common goal - to end this war, which will be based on respect sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine. And that is why we support the Ukrainian formula for peace. We will work together with you, with Ukraine, to implement the ten points, as well as the summit on the initiative ... There will be no secure and independent Europe without a secure and independent Ukraine" .
19:13 The process of joining the EU takes different time for each country, there is no clear time frame, President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen said following the Ukraine-EU summit: "This is a process that should be beneficial to everyone. There is no clear time frame, but there is the goals that the candidate member needs to achieve. And after that, the accession negotiations and the accession itself begin ... It all depends on how the candidate country is moving. I am deeply impressed, and I want to note the quality and speed with which you provide the result. It's phenomenal."
19:08 Zelensky said that if Western partners accelerate the supply of long-range weapons, Ukraine will begin to liberate the territories of Donbass seized in 2014: "If weapons, namely long-range weapons, are accelerated, we will not only not move away from Bakhmut, we will begin to de-occupy Donbass, which has been occupied since 2014. We have a clear position on what we need."
19:07 The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of the high danger of Russian air and missile strikes throughout Ukraine. The enemy continues to conduct offensive operations in the Limansky, Bakhmutsky, Avdeevsky and Novopavlovsky directions, suffers heavy losses in personnel and military equipment.
To make up for their losses in manpower, the enemy continues a recruitment campaign among prisoners. Over the past week, up to 1,000 mercenaries have been recruited in correctional institutions of the Novosibirsk region of the Russian Federation.
19:03 The mayor of Slavyansk Vadim Lyakh said that the front line is "slowly, but approaching", and called on local residents to evacuate: "Already knowing from the experience of the summer period of the enemy's offensive operations, the closer the front line is, the more shelling will be, the frequency will increase , and, accordingly, the danger will also grow.
18:50 The European Commission allocates 1 billion euros to Ukraine for the restoration of schools and medical institutions, Ursula von der Leyen said. She also announced the tenth package of sanctions against the Russian Federation, which will cost the aggressor country 10 billion euros - it will affect technology and circumvention of sanctions.
18:32 Following the Ukraine-EU summit, Brussels agreed to provide Ukraine with an interim assessment of the fulfillment of the seven criteria received with the status of a candidate. Previously, the EU insisted that the assessment to be given to Ukraine would appear only in the autumn, which made it impossible to start accession negotiations in 2023. Now the EU has agreed to put the so-called oral report on paper and officially hand it over to Ukraine in the spring.
Zelenskiy said it was Ukraine's goal to start EU membership talks in 2023.
18:26 Estonian Ambassador to Ukraine Kaimo Kuusk and Deputy of the Estonian Parliament Marko Mihkelson, during a meeting with the head of the State Special Communications Service Yuriy Shchigol, handed over nine drones from Estonians to the Ukrainian Army of drones.
18:19 President of the European Council Charles Michel said following the Ukraine-EU summit that the European Union is not afraid of Russia, and the Ukrainian people have chosen freedom and democracy, so the future of Ukraine is with the EU: "We are here with a clear message about two things. The first is a message to the people of Ukraine: The EU will support you with all it can, for as long as it takes. My second message is Ukraine's future with the European Union."
He also stressed that the reform of the courts and the fight against corruption are fundamental conditions for Ukraine's accession to the EU. According to him, over the next months, the European Commission will present reports that will indicate to Ukraine what additional steps it needs to take on its way to the EU.
18:15 Ukrainian tank crews will begin training in Poland in a few days, Polish Minister of Defense Mariusz Blashak said during a joint press conference with Reznikov.
17:51 About 30,000 occupiers are concentrated in Mariupol and the region, Piotr Andryushchenko, an adviser to the mayor of the city, said. According to him, in the last week alone, the military corps of the invaders has increased by 10-15 thousand people. Most of them are stationed in the Mariupol region in the villages according to the tactics of a human shield. In addition, a new unit of Kadyrovites in the amount of 2-3 thousand people entered one of the coastal villages. “Perhaps this is the formation of a detachment for a potential offensive, because, according to our information, no major actions of the Russian Guard are planned either in Mariupol or in the region,” the adviser added.
Active movement of equipment is carried out at night, the enemy is trying to bypass Mariupol. As a result, one gets the impression of actively completing the formation of reserves to continue the attack on Ugledar, Andryushenko noted. The military occupiers themselves are quite talkative with the locals and report on the priority of the attack on Vuhledar and Zaporozhye.
17:29 The Russians today fired at Toretsk, Donetsk region, from Gradov, as a result of which one person was killed, six were injured, the Office of the Prosecutor General said. Three more people were wounded as a result of enemy shelling in Kurakhovka, Pokrovsky district.
17:02 Zelensky said at a press conference following the Ukraine-EU summit that there is no talk of surrendering Bakhmut: " No one will surrender Bakhmut. We will fight as much as we can."
16:52 The SBU exposed officials of the Ministry of Defense for embezzlement of budget money in the amount of more than 5 million hryvnias during the construction of barracks for the military on the territory of the Nikolaev garrison. The former head of the Main Apartment and Maintenance Department of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and a senior officer of the department for technical supervision of construction are involved in the scheme.
16:43 Adviser to the Deputy Minister of Defense was informed of suspicion of embezzlement of 1.7 billion hryvnias in purchases for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the National Police reported. During the war, he entered into an agreement with a private company. Having received the money, the company missed the deadlines and did not deliver part of the goods. Now the official faces up to 12 years in prison with confiscation of property.
Earlier in this case, suspicion was reported to the director of the company and two other defendants. More than 55 million hryvnias and corporate rights of defendants in the amount of more than 50 million dollars were also seized.
16:32 Netanyahu, during negotiations with Macron, said that Israel is ready to transfer "military means" to Ukraine, writes The Times of Israel, citing an official familiar with the details of the conversation. At the same time, the Israeli prime minister added that he intended "not to go too far" so as not to provoke Russia.
16:27 As an alternative to mobilization, the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine began to form the Offensive Guard. We are now recruiting volunteers. More details - in the material New Guard from the Ministry of Internal Affairs .
16:23 Polish Minister of Sports Kamil Bortnichuk said that 40 countries would oppose Russia's participation in the 2024 Olympics. The National Olympic Committee, in turn, confirmed that Ukraine will boycott if Russia and Belarus are admitted.
15:58 Germany is negotiating with Sweden on the supply of IRIS-T launchers for Ukraine, Bloomberg writes, citing its sources. According to them, in addition to launchers, Germany also asked Sweden to transfer missiles for them. Thus, according to Bloomberg, Berlin is sticking to its plan to send three additional IRIS-T systems this year after the first batch arrived in Ukraine in October.
15:54 The Ministry of Internal Affairs revealed the details of the formation of assault brigades of the Offensive Guard for the liberation of Luhansk, Donetsk and Crimea. So, five assault brigades are being created on the basis of the National Guard - Bureviy, Chervona Kalina, Kara-Dag, Rubezh and Spartan. The Azov Regiment is being expanded into a brigade.
In the State Border Service, an assault brigade of the Steel Border is being created, and in the National Police - a brigade of Lyut. All teams are formed exclusively from highly motivated volunteers. He will not perform any rear tasks - "only high-quality training, constant training and participation in operations on the front line," the Ministry of Internal Affairs noted.
15:47 The Russians are introducing total control in Mariupol, said the adviser to the mayor of the city, Petr Andryushchenko. In particular, for two days in a row there is a sweep in the villages near Mariupol in the direction to the north, where the occupiers are stationed. The FSB conducts house-to-house visits with searches, checking correspondence and gadgets. In with. Pavlopol came to checking the phones of first-graders at school.
In the occupation administrations of Mariupol, equipment is being installed to fully control the Internet traffic of employees and visitors. Deployment and configuration should be completed within four weeks. Full control of all gadgets and their traffic is also carried out. The reason is an attempt to overcome the constant leakage of information.
Andryushchenko also clarified that the explosions that were heard in Mariupol on February 2 were in two places: Port City, where several trucks with ammunition were delivered on January 29, and also in the fields outside the city there was "smoke" in the area of another training ground with a large concentration of invaders and equipment. According to Andryushchenko, all messages in local chats about these explosions have been cleared, the occupiers themselves are silent.
15:39 "Head" of Crimea Sergei Aksyonov said that all funds from the sale of the "nationalized" property of Ukrainian businessmen on the occupied peninsula will be used to equip participants in the "special operation".
15:26 The Russians are trying to surround Ugledar from two sides. They managed to advance in the vicinity for a short time, but the Armed Forces of Ukraine threw them back to their previous positions, deputy mayor of the city Maxim Verbovsky told Suspilny.
15:13 The prosecutor's office reported a suspicion to the Russian propagandist blogger Semyon Pegov, who is the author of the WarGonzo project, which justifies the war against Ukraine and the occupation of its territories. He faces up to five years in prison with confiscation of property, the Office of the Prosecutor General said.
15:04 A separate rifle battalion of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is being formed in the Sumy region. Vasily Odarchenko, head of the department for defense work, law enforcement and law enforcement of the Sumy OVA, said that men and women from 18 to 60 years old are invited to serve, both those who have a military specialty and those without relevant experience in the list of positions of officers and sergeants.
14:31 The NBU predicts that the number of Ukrainians abroad in the first quarter of this year will reach 9 million people, and the net return of migrants will begin only in 2024-2025, but will be less than expected.
13:42 Germany has approved the sale of 88 Leopard 1 tanks to Ukraine. A government official said that the manufacturers were granted an export license, writes Politico.
13:37 Since the beginning of the full-scale invasion of the Russian Federation, the NBU has transferred almost 23 billion hryvnias to support the defense forces, including more than 610 million in January. As of February 1, the balance of funds on the special account is more than 1 billion hryvnias. Over the past month, more than 440 million hryvnias were transferred to the special account.
In total, the special account, which the National Bank opened to support the defense forces on February 24, 2022, received more than UAH 23.9 billion in equivalent. Funds were transferred both by citizens and enterprises of Ukraine, and by the international community.
13:16 The Russians continue to pull up weapons to the Kinburn Spit, said the speaker of OK Pivden Natalya Gumenyuk. According to her, last night the Armed Forces of Ukraine destroyed another stronghold of the Russian troops, which they equipped on the Kinburn Spit - these are two pieces of equipment, wounded among the personnel.
12:38 The SBU exposed the deputy head of the Central Military Medical Commission of the Ministry of Defense, who helped dodgers for bribes, on systemic corruption. In particular, SBU officers documented the extortion of $5,000 from a conscript. During searches, law enforcement officers found cash in different currencies totaling more than 5 million hryvnias.
12:17 The maneuvers of the Russian ship group in the Black Sea indicate preparations for entering the combat course, said Natalya Gumenyuk, speaker of OK Pivden. According to her, this morning there were two surface launch vehicles with 16 Kalibr-type missiles at sea, which are ready for use.
12:04 Lithuania has collected 5 million euros to purchase five radars for the Ukrainian air defense system, Lithuanian journalist Andrius Tapinas said.
12:01 Arakhamia urged the SBU to closely monitor corruption manifestations within the Ministry of Defense and immediately "isolate them by legal means, without violating the normal operation of the institution during the war." He stressed that some of the latest scandals around the Ministry of Defense are absolutely justified, and there are already court decisions on them. And some, given the time, facts and circumstances, may well be inspired by our enemy.
Arakhamia said that as a member of the VR Committee on National Security, Defense and Intelligence, he knows many professional, patriotic and devoted to Ukraine people who work in the Ministry of Defense. "I would really not want all these bright people to be slinged with mud because some bastards decided to cash in on the war," he added.
11:49 Peskov called reports that the United States offered Moscow 20% of the territory of Ukraine in exchange for ending the war a "duck". He also called the information about the visit of CIA chief Burns to Moscow in January a "duck".
11:31 SBU liquidated schemes for embezzlement of budgetary funds for the food of the Ukrainian military. The amount of damage caused by the Ministry of Defense as a result of fraud is more than 119.5 million hryvnia. It was established that instead of supplying certain volumes of food products to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the participants in the scheme withdrew funds into the shadows through a number of affiliated companies.
In addition, in the Kyiv region, SBU officers exposed the commander of one of the military units for stealing almost 2.4 million hryvnia allocated for food for personnel.
11:08 The deficit in the energy system on February 3 almost did not change during the day and remains significant, Ukrenergo reported. Network restrictions remain only in the Odessa region. Consumption limits have been brought to all oblenergos. As of the morning, no limits were exceeded, emergency shutdowns were not applied.
Over the past day, the enemy subjected to massive artillery shelling of the energy infrastructure in Kharkiv, Kherson, Sumy, Zaporozhye, and Donetsk regions. The situation is especially difficult after the shelling in the Kherson region. Because of considerable damages some objects and in the next Nikolaev area are de-energized.
11:05 British intelligence reports that the involvement of Russian prisoners from the Wagner group in the war in Ukraine is gradually decreasing. Analysts suggest that Wagnerian prisoner recruitment has declined substantially from its peak in late summer and fall 2022. In particular, according to data from the Federal Penitentiary Service of January 31, the number of prisoners has decreased by 6,000 people since November, while in September-November - by 23 thousand people, and a significant number of these releases could be associated with recruitment into the Wagner group.
In addition, analysts take into account reports from the field from the Ukrainian military, from which it follows that over the past ten days, the Russians have been using the tactics of "human waves" less. Significant tensions between the Wagnerites and the Russian Ministry of Defense are becoming publicly visible, and this competition between factions of the Russian elite is likely to have contributed in part to the decrease in the entry of prisoners into the ranks of the Wagner PMC, intelligence points out.
11:00 Despite the end of the joint tactical flight exercise between Russia and Belarus, the aviation group of the Russian Aerospace Forces has not begun to be deployed to permanently based airfields in Russia. At the same time, the helicopters of the Air Force of the Republic of Belarus began to relocate to their permanent airfields, the monitoring group of Belarus Gayun reports.
Analysts admit that the withdrawal of aircraft and helicopters of the Russian Aerospace Forces may begin in the coming days. Otherwise, this will mean that Russia has decided to strengthen its permanent aviation presence in Belarus. Officially, this can be announced as, for example, "strengthening the aviation component of the regional grouping of troops of the Republic of Belarus and the Russian Federation."
10:58 President of the European Council Charles Michel announced that he had arrived in Kyiv to participate in the 24th EU-Ukraine summit.
10:51 The "authorities" of Crimea said they "nationalized" the property of Akhmetov, Kolomoisky, and other Ukrainian politicians and businessmen, about 500 objects in total.
10:43 The Office of the Prosecutor General reported suspicions to the head of PMC Wagner Yevgeny Prigozhin of encroaching on the territorial integrity of Ukraine. Prosecutor General Andrei Kostin said that Prigozhin is directly responsible for thousands of war crimes and openly admits his role in waging the war against Ukraine.
Kostin assured that ordinary Wagnerites would not escape responsibility either - even those who fled abroad. According to him, prosecutors have already interrogated two such fighters who are in the EU. The verification of involvement in war crimes of another member of the PMC, who is located in Norway, is also ongoing. A corresponding request for investigative actions will soon be sent to the Norwegian prosecutors.
10:29 The intensity of the fighting in eastern Ukraine is an attempt to implement Putin's task of capturing the Donbass, Andrey Yusov, a spokesman for the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, said: "February-March - we expect very active events. The task from Putin is to capture the Donbass by March. Nothing will work. These "The dates have already been postponed many times. The intensity that we are now seeing in the Donbas is an attempt to implement these plans. Not counting the loss of manpower and equipment. The enemy is trying to fulfill the tasks of the dictator. Therefore, yes, there will be active events in the near future."
09:38 In the Kherson region over the past day, two people were killed due to Russian shelling, nine were injured, among them a five-year-old child, the OVA reported.
09:26 The first deliveries of GLSDB precision bombs to Ukraine may begin no earlier than in nine months, Bloomberg writes, citing its source. The nine-month period will begin after the US Air Force concludes a contract with the bomb manufacturer, Boeing. Initially, they will allocate 200 million dollars.
09:22 The next six months in Ukraine will be critical, said CIA director William Burns. According to him, Putin is betting that the West will become politically war-weary. At the same time, the CIA cannot give an assessment of whether Moscow is serious about negotiations.
09:11 Today, at about 4:30 am, the Russians fired at the town of Barvenkovo, Izyumsky district, Kharkiv region. As a result of a shell hitting a private residential building, two people were killed and another was injured, Oleg Sinegubov, head of the OVA, said. Another person was wounded the day before in Volchansk.
09:07 In the Donetsk region over the past day, as a result of Russian shelling, one person died - in Kramatorsk. Eight more people were injured in the region, Pavel Kirilenko, head of the OVA, said.
09:01 A car was blown up in the occupied Energodar - a "police officer" died as a result of the explosion, the local "GU MVD" reported.
According to the mayor of Melitopol, Ivan Fedorov, the blown up car belonged to a former law enforcement officer who, with the advent of the occupiers, began working for them.
08:57 The IMF and Kiev plan to agree on a new aid package in the amount of 14 to 16 billion dollars by the spring, writes the Financial Times.
08:49 The General Staff announced the approximate losses of the enemy as of the morning of February 3.
- personnel - about 129,870 (+840) people liquidated,
- tanks - 3215 (+4),
- armored combat vehicles - 6388 (+6),
- artillery systems - 2215 (+3),
- MLRS - 460 (+2),
- air defense systems - 222 (+0),
- aircraft - 294 (+1),
- helicopters - 284 (+0),
- UAV operational-tactical level - 1952 (+1),
- cruise missiles - 796 (+0),
- ships/boats - 18 (+0),
- automotive equipment and tankers - 5068 (+4),
- special equipment - 202 (+2).
08:21 The enemy, suffering heavy losses, does not stop offensive operations in the Limansky, Bakhmutsky, Avdeevsky and Novopavlovsky directions, the General Staff said in the morning report . Over the past 24 hours, units of the Defense Forces repelled attacks by invaders in the areas of the settlements of Stelmakhivka, Nevskoye and Belogorovka in the Luhansk region and Verkhnekamenskoye, Nikolaevka, Krasnaya Gora, Paraskoveevka, Bakhmut, Ivanovskoye and Kurdyumovka in the Donetsk region.
07:56 The American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) writes that the Kremlin is trying to present the war in Ukraine as an existential threat to the Russians in order to create conditions for a protracted war and get support from the citizens of the Russian Federation themselves, but these attempts are not very successful.
Thus, Putin, in his speech on February 2 on the occasion of the 80th anniversary of the defeat of the Nazi troops by the Red Army in the Battle of Stalingrad, said that the country was once again faced with "a modern manifestation of Nazism." He used false historical parallels to draw an analogy between the SVO in Ukraine and the German-Soviet war. Lavrov also tried to reassure that the war in Ukraine posed a real internal threat. However, all efforts on the part of Russian officials do not lead to the desired effect of motivating Russians to participate in the war, according to ISW.
Analysts also believe that Putin again overestimated the strength of the Russian army, so his big offensive in eastern Ukraine will end prematurely in the spring rainy season and will not be effective.
05:51 In less than a year of the war in Ukraine, Russia has lost about 200 thousand soldiers killed and wounded, writes The New York Times, citing estimates by American and European officials. According to them, the Russian Federation lost a lot of manpower during the stubborn battles for Bakhmut and Soledar. At the same time, analysts state that the death toll is not a deterrent for Putin.
05:16 The authorities of the Bryansk region said that the air defense system repelled an alleged Ukrainian missile attack on the Starodubsky municipal district, four missiles were shot down, there were no casualties and no damage.
04:57 The White House and the CIA denied the report of the Swiss publication Neue Zürcher Zeitung that CIA Director William Burns allegedly offered the Russian Federation and Ukraine a peace plan that provided for the cessation of hostilities in exchange for the Russian Federation maintaining control over part of the Ukrainian territory.
03:56 German authorities have approved the supply of Leopard 1 tanks to Ukraine from industrial stocks and are negotiating the purchase of 15 Gepard tanks from Qatar to be sent to Kiev, Sueddeutsche Zeitung reports. Rheinmetall and Flensburger Fahrzeugbau Gesellschaft want to repair dozens of Leopard 1 tanks and could supply them to Ukraine if Kyiv agrees to buy them.
01:22 Ukrainian troops in anticipation of Western tanks need to play for time and will probably have to move away from Bakhmut to gather resources for the spring offensive, Bloomberg reports, citing an unnamed US official. At the same time, he believes that the retreat from Bakhmut will not have a significant strategic impact on the war.
According to a US official, Ukrainian forces are likely to set up defensive lines very close to where the front line is now. It is expected that from Bakhmut Russia will move towards Slavyansk and Kramatorsk.
00:47 The North Korean authorities intend to send their police and military personnel to the temporarily occupied parts of the Donetsk and Lugansk regions for restoration work, writes the South Korean edition of Daily NK. According to journalists, the DPRK plans to send 300-500 men aged 19 to 27 to Ukraine. They should arrive in the occupied territories at the end of February or at the beginning of March.
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