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2022-11-19 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Ukrainian Perspective: Invasion of Ukraine: November 18th, 2022
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Korrespondent] 23:38 Zelensky said that "super-violent" hostilities in the Donetsk region are still ongoing, there have been no softening of the fighting or respite: "Only yesterday, about a hundred Russian attacks were repulsed in the Donetsk region. All our soldiers who hold positions in the Donbass are real heroes.”

23:36 Zelensky said in an evening video message that the difficult situation with energy supply persists in 17 regions and the capital: "Kyiv and Kiev, it is very difficult for the Odesa region, and also Vinnytsia and Ternopil regions ..."

23:01 The head of the Zaporizhzhya OVA Alexander Starukh announced a missile attack on an industrial infrastructure facility in Zaporozhye.

22:36 In September and October 2022, the number of prisoners in Russian correctional colonies decreased by 23 thousand people. There have never been such sharp jumps since 2010: even the most massive amnesty in recent years released a smaller number of Russians in such a short time. The reduction in the prison population is taking place against the backdrop of the recruitment of prisoners to participate in the war in the Wagner PMC detachments, which exist entirely outside the legal field, writes Mediazona.
It will no doubt comfort some and distress others to know how many of those convict-soldiers do or do not survive the experience.
22:08 DTEK Executive Director Dmitry Sakharuk admits that a complete power outage in Kiev is possible, but it will not last long. This can only happen due to significant destruction of generation facilities and substations. At the same time, Sakharuk considers the scenario of a complete blackout in Kyiv and Ukraine as a whole unlikely.

21:43 Ukrenergo reports that on Saturday, November 19, scheduled shutdowns will apply in all regions of Ukraine from 00:00 to 02:00 and from 08:00 to 24:00. Additional emergency shutdowns are not expected.

21:16 In Kherson, the first points of privacy appeared, where you can warm up, charge your phone, access the Internet, eat or drink hot, said the head of the OVA Yaroslav Yanushevich.

20:28 Lviv may find itself in a situation where light and heat will be absent not for one day, but for several weeks, Mayor Andriy Sadovy said: “We need to prepare for this. Lviv residents should realize that the realities we are facing now are commonplace for many communities in the east and south of Ukraine for many months."

20:07 The Biden administration is working with Congress to secure more aid for Ukraine, said John Kirby, coordinator for strategic communications at the White House National Security Council.

19:59 DTEK announced that Ukraine managed to balance the energy system, so Kiev is returning to stabilization shutdowns on schedule.

19:56 For four months of the visa regime with the Russian Federation, ten Russians have received the right to enter Ukraine, the Foreign Ministry said in response to a request from hromadske. Visas for Russians were issued by foreign diplomatic institutions of Ukraine.

19:19 Blinken said that the extension of the agreement on the export of Ukrainian agricultural products indicates that Russia understands the consequences of its refusal: "Together we sent a clear signal to President Putin that he should extend the Black Sea Grain Initiative, which expires on Saturday."

19:02 After Russia blocked the export of grain from the ports of the Black Sea region, the countries of the African continent began to gradually change their attitude towards the Russian Federation and direct the policy vector to support Ukraine, Zelensky said during a conversation with the student community of Ireland.

18:53 Ukraine has not exported electricity since October 11, and all reports that supplies abroad allegedly continue are fake or deliberate IPSO, Ukrenergo said. “This is an absolute lie and deliberate disinformation. The purpose of the distributors is to stir up a society exhausted by power outages and divert attention from Russian missile strikes, due to which Ukrainians have power outages,” the company stressed.

18:49 Ukroboronprom announced that it would produce and develop heavy weapons and military equipment together with at least six NATO member countries. In particular, we are talking about countries such as Poland, the Czech Republic, France, Denmark and several others, agreements with which do not imply disclosure of data.

"We are creating joint defense enterprises, building closed-cycle ammunition production lines, jointly producing armored vehicles and multiple launch rocket systems, and jointly developing new high-tech weapons. To do this, we use both existing capacities and newly created ones in safe places," the source said. Ukroboronprom.

18:44 The liberation of Kherson deprived the Russians of the only significant achievement of the war - the capture of the Ukrainian regional center. In the Kherson region, the front is now passing along the Dnieper, but there are already reports of the actions of the Ukrainian military on the left bank of the river. About what to expect next and how the liberation of Kherson will change the situation on other fronts - will there be no Pause in the material?

18:15 Since the beginning of the full-scale war, Ukraine has received more than $23 billion in international financial assistance. Of these, 4.8 billion from the EU and 8.5 billion from the United States, Shmyhal said. According to him, these funds finance critical budget expenditures, in particular, payments to state employees, pensioners, migrants, recipients of subsidies, and communities are supported. The prime minister also said that the Cabinet of Ministers approved a $4.5 billion grant from the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development and the International Development Association.

18:06 Hawk air defense systems will soon be on combat duty, Yuri Ignat, spokesman for the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, said: “NASAMS and IRIS-T are already working at the front. We expect that the Hawk system, which is now being prepared to become combat orders of the Air Force. Thus, we will strengthen the existing air defense system."

17:43 Zelensky said that he had spoken with Erdogan: "We welcomed the extension of the grain agreement. Thank you for supporting our Grain from Ukraine initiative. Ukraine will remain the guarantor of food stability. We also talked with Mr. Erdogan about security and energy cooperation."

17:39 In Ukraine, 30% of the territory is mined - this is comparable to the double area of ​​Austria, said the head of the State Emergency Service Serhiy Kruk. According to him, now the work of the State Emergency Service is focused on the liberated territories: "We are now working most actively in the Kherson region. The territory that requires demining is 8,000 square kilometers, of which 7,000 are Kherson regions, and about 1,500 are Mykolaiv regions."

16:57 In Volnyansk, Zaporozhye region, after yesterday's night strike on a residential building, the bodies of ten dead have already been removed from the rubble, three of them are children, the regional prosecutor's office said.

16:28 By order of Ukrenergo, on November 18, emergency power outages occur in Kiev, stabilization shutdown schedules do not work, the Kyiv City State Administration reported.

16:24 The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation stated that the Armed Forces of Ukraine allegedly killed more than ten "immobilized Russian servicemen" with direct shots to the head. Moscow refers to a certain video with the alleged execution of Russian prisoners of war in Makeyevka, which they are going to send to "international organizations" demanding an investigation.

16:15 Ukraine expects to receive 3 billion euros from the EU macro-financial assistance package of 9 billion euros at the beginning of next year, these funds will be included in the package for 18 billion euros for 2023, Shmyhal said.

15:43 The city council, in response to a petition about the inappropriateness of installing a New Year tree in martial law, said that the decision to establish the main Christmas tree would be made only after consultations with the defense forces, and if it was installed, then only at the expense of patrons.

15:30 The Trumpist wing of the Republican Party is promoting a controversial bill to audit military aid for Ukraine. More details - in the material Not a penny for Kiev?

15:26 Zelensky said that during a meeting with the Executive Vice President of the European Commission Valdis Dombrovskis, he discussed issues of urgent financial support for Ukraine until the end of this year and the coordination of plans for 2023. Separately, we talked about the Fast Recovery Plan for housing and social infrastructure facilities and the involvement of the European Commission in the launch of the Ukraine Recovery Fund. In particular, by working out a mechanism for using frozen Russian assets in the EU.

15:23 Meduza writes, citing sources close to the Putin administration and the Russian government, that the retreat from Kherson was a "very painful event" for the Russian elites. An interlocutor close to entrepreneurs from Putin's inner circle spoke even harsher: "There is an understanding that we have lost the real war. People are starting to think about how to live on, what place they would like to take in the future, what bet to make, what to play on." According to him, on the one hand, there will be revanchist sentiments, on the other hand, there will be a request for normalization and stabilization.

15:19 Kiev has switched to stabilization power outages, but the city authorities are preparing for different scenarios, including a complete shutdown, said the first deputy head of the Kyiv City State Administration Nikolay Povoroznyk: "We are preparing for different scenarios, including a complete shutdown. But now we switched to stabilization shutdowns, the light will be turned off according to a schedule of no more than four hours. But due to lower temperatures, power consumption is increasing significantly. Therefore, now more than ever we need to save electricity. Because an increase in consumption can lead to emergency shutdowns if the system cannot cope" .

15:11 Shmyhal said that due to Russian shelling, almost half of the energy system of Ukraine was disabled. He stressed that Ukraine needs additional support from partners - both in the energy sector, the supply of additional equipment, and financial resources for the purchase of additional volumes of gas and other support for the energy sector.

15:08 Kuleba said that Ukrainian specialists are already working at the site of the missile crash in Poland: "Ukrainian specialists are already working at the site of the tragedy in Pszewoduv, which occurred due to Russian missile terror against Ukraine. I am grateful to the Polish side for providing them with access. We will continue our cooperation is open and constructive, as the closest friends do."

15:01 The SBU detained a "high-ranking" collaborator who headed the "apparatus" of the occupation administration in the liberated region of Mykolaiv region. After the area was liberated, she tried to hide in the uncontrolled territory in southern Ukraine, but did not have time.

14:48 Orban said that Hungary supports Ukraine, but does not want to put its interests above its own, therefore it opposes a common loan from the EU countries.

14:21 Podolyak once again stated that Ukraine will not make any territorial compromises with Russia: “Understand: any territorial“ compromises ”will not bring peace, but will increase the victims. Any concessions by the Russian Federation will become Putin’s victory, legalize murders and make war a tool international relations. That would mean a cross on international law. Does anyone really want this?"

13:44 In Nikolaev, water will appear after the restoration of electricity in the Kherson region, said the head of the OVA Vitaly Kim. According to him, this should happen "in the coming weeks."

13:25 "Head" of Crimea Sergei Aksyonov said that work is underway on the peninsula to create military fortifications: "Fortification work is being carried out on the territory of Crimea, aimed at guaranteeing the security of Crimeans." At the same time, he added that the security of the Crimea will be primarily ensured by "events in the Kherson region."

13:21 Macron at the APEC summit called on the participating countries to put pressure on Russia to stop the war in Ukraine: "This war is also your problem, because it will create many problems, destabilization ... Help us convey this message to Russia: stop the war, respect the international order, get back to the negotiating table."

13:14 Participants of the ministerial meeting of APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation) adopted a joint statement condemning Russia's actions in Ukraine. The Russian Federation traditionally inserted that "there were other opinions."

12:46 Reznikov said that the Ministry of Defense not only provided for the current needs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but also maintains a reserve for the army. In particular, there are more than 200,000 body armor and more than 100,000 helmets in reserve. Next year, Ukraine will be able to independently provide all the needs of the defense forces for these things, the minister said.

12:29 The Ministry of Emergency Situations of the Russian Federation announced that more than 4.79 million refugees from Ukraine and Donbass have arrived in Russia since February, including more than 712 thousand children. According to Moscow, more than 850 temporary accommodation centers have been deployed in 59 regions of the country, more than 41,000 refugees, including more than 12,000 children, live in them.

12:27 Macron expressed hope for holding "significant peace talks" on Ukraine after the G20 summit. He also would like permanent members of the UN Security Council and representatives of European countries "to be part" of the talks between Russia and Ukraine.

12:25 The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation reported that yesterday's strikes on Ukraine allegedly hit "production facilities for the manufacture of missiles, destroyed an arsenal with artillery supplied by Western countries prepared for sending to the troops," as well as "violated the transfer of Ukrainian reserves and the delivery of foreign weapons to combat areas action."

12:22 Erdogan, in a conversation with Putin, discussed bilateral relations and a grain deal, stressed the importance of peace talks on Ukraine, his office said.

12:16 Zelensky, by his decree, introduced Supreme Commander-in-Chief Minister of Infrastructure Alexander Kubrakov and Deputy Head of the Office of the President Roman Mashovets to the Headquarters.

12:11 From December 1, Turkey will close the Bosphorus and Dardanelles for Russian ships carrying oil if they do not have an insurance policy, writes Bloomberg. Turkey is tacitly joining new sanctions on Russian oil, including a price ceiling and a ban on tanker insurance.

12:08 The EU has frozen Russian assets totaling 68 billion euros, writes Politico with reference to an internal document of the European Commission. The main part of the assets was frozen in Belgium - 50 billion euros. This country, as well as Luxembourg, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Austria and France account for more than 90% of the frozen assets. At the same time, almost 34 billion out of 68 billion can be the national reserves of the Russian Federation.

11:35 Damage to Ukraine's key infrastructure from Russian strikes since the start of the war could exceed $100 billion, Finance Minister Sergei Marchenko said in an interview with Bloomberg. At the same time, he clarified that it is difficult to name a specific figure, since the infrastructure is attacked daily.

According to the minister, currently Ukraine's budget deficit is $5 billion a month. At the same time, next year Kyiv hopes to reduce this figure to 3 billion.

11:31 The Swedish prosecutor, who is investigating the damage to the Nord Stream gas pipelines, confirmed that the incident was a sabotage, as traces of explosives were found at the site.

11:26 Defense Express writes, citing sources, that one of the two cruise missiles shot down over Kiev on November 17 was equipped with a nuclear warhead simulator. According to the publication, it was a cruise missile of the Kh-55 type, in which, instead of a warhead, a unit was "screwed" that acted as a simulator of a nuclear warhead.

11:03 Border guards, together with the SBU and the National Police, liquidated the distribution channel for captured weapons and ammunition. The organizer of the criminal business turned out to be a local resident of Mykolaiv region. He looked for weapons from the areas of warfare left by the invaders. In the future, the person involved in the case sold trophies on the black market.

10:40 On Friday, November 18, schedules of hourly power outages are applied throughout Ukraine throughout the day, and additional emergency shutdowns are also possible, Ukrenergo reported.

10:34 European Commission Executive Vice-President Valdis Dombrovskis said that he arrived on a visit to Kiev: "Arrived in Kiev to discuss EU support for Ukraine, focus on emergency financial support and our plans for 2023." He also plans to discuss with Zelensky and Shmyhal specific steps for closer economic integration between the EU and Ukraine.

10:31 Ukrzaliznytsia resumes regular passenger service with Kherson: the first flight will depart from Kiev on Friday, November 18. The train will depart from Kyiv on even numbers, and from Kherson - on odd numbers.

10:17 The American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) admits that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be able to disrupt the efforts of the Russians to strengthen and maintain their positions in the occupied part of the Kherson region, although it will probably be more difficult for Ukrainian forces to achieve such serious results in the eastern part of the region.

The limited number of high-quality roads and railways in the area, especially connecting Crimea to the mainland, creates potential bottlenecks that could be vulnerable to efforts by Ukraine to block them. This, accordingly, will gradually worsen the Russian ability to continue to supply its group in the eastern part of the Kherson region, as well as in other regions of southern Ukraine, ISW experts say.

09:48 In Volnyansk, Zaporozhye region, the number of deaths as a result of yesterday's night strike on a residential building has increased to nine people, emergency rescue work continues, the President's Office reported.

09:29 Slovak Defense Minister Yaroslav Nagy announced that the seventh Zuzana 2 self-propelled artillery mount has arrived in Ukraine.

09:23 Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov said that dialogue with the United States on Ukraine now "simply cannot be, given the radically opposite positions."

09:16 The General Staff announced the approximate losses of the enemy on the morning of November 18. The enemy suffered the greatest losses in the Limansky and Avdeevsky directions.

  • personnel - about 83,460 (+350) people liquidated,

  • tanks - 2879 (+1),

  • armored combat vehicles - 5808 (+4),

  • artillery systems - 1865 (+5),

  • MLRS - 393 (+0),

  • air defense systems - 209 (+0),

  • aircraft - 278 (+0),

  • helicopters - 261 (+0),

  • UAV operational-tactical level - 1536 (+5),

  • cruise missiles - 480 (+6),

  • ships/boats - 16 (+0),

  • automotive equipment and tankers - 4366 (+4),

  • special equipment - 161 (+1).

09:06 British intelligence suggests that Russia may try to use part of the forces withdrawn from the Kherson region to strengthen and expand its offensive operations in the Bakhmut region of the Donetsk region. After the withdrawal of troops from the right bank of the Dnieper, Russian forces continue to prioritize the re-equipment, reorganization and preparation of defense in most parts of Ukraine.

New trench systems have been built near the border with Crimea, as well as near the Seversky Donets River between the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. Some of these locations are up to 60km from the current front line, suggesting that Russian strategists are preparing for further major Ukrainian breakthroughs, analysts say.

08:38 In the Donetsk region over the past day, as a result of Russian shelling, one civilian was killed - in Bakhmut. Four more people were injured in the region, Pavel Kirilenko, head of the OVA, said.

08:05 Over the past day, units of the Defense Forces repelled attacks by invaders in the areas of the settlements of Novoselovskoye and Stelmakhivka in the Luhansk region and Belogorovka, Verkhnekamenskoye, Disputed, Experienced, Pervomayskoye, Vodyanoye and Novomikhailovka in the Donetsk region, the General Staff said in the morning report .

In the Belgorod region, an active recruitment of workers from industrial enterprises to PMC Wagner has begun. Thus, by agreement with the leadership of the Oskol Electrometallurgical Plant, military-age workers will be involved in military training on the basis of PMC Wagner for a period of 30 days with pay. The collections are planned to be carried out in batches of 25% of employees. Upon completion, participants will be asked to sign a contract with a private military company.

In the Lugansk region, due to significant losses of personnel and an insufficient number of medical personnel in the units of the occupiers, by order of the Ministry of Health, employees of medical institutions in the region were ordered to register with the military for further staffing of vacant positions.

06:22 Australian billionaire Andrew Forrest created an investment fund to help and restore Ukraine and invested $500 million in it. It is expected that the size of the fund will be at least 25 billion dollars, and in the future it will grow to 100 billion, writes the BBC. The money will go to Ukraine's energy infrastructure, including renewable energy.

00:17 The fall of a rocket on the territory of Poland did not affect relations between Kiev and Warsaw, said the head of the Bureau of International Policy under the President of Poland, Jakub Kumoch. He stressed that Poland was not attacked, but a tragic incident occurred. "Of course, Russia is to blame for terrorizing Ukraine," he added. Kumoh also expects that the results of the investigation into the missile hit in the village of Pshevoduv will be announced in the coming days.

Posted by badanov 2022-11-19 00:00|| || Front Page|| [11 views ]  Top

#1 In September and October 2022, the number of prisoners in Russian correctional colonies decreased by 23 thousand people.

France24 report (in French) said 30-35,000 convicts are now fighting for Wagner. Of the first (or ealry) 500, 498 are dead and 2 wounded. Chances of lasting 6 months = ~0%. Plus Prigozhin saves a fortune in salaries. New yacht, baby!

HiMARS are going after train bridges/tracks in E. Ukr coming from Russia. Several obvious choke points. Trying to replicate the Kherson logistical failure in southern Ukraine.
Posted by Slealet Unong6139 2022-11-19 02:25||   2022-11-19 02:25|| Front Page Top

#2  Chances of lasting 6 months = ~0%.

Ask a question at Rantburg, and someone assuredly will know the answer. :-)
Posted by trailing wife 2022-11-19 09:29||   2022-11-19 09:29|| Front Page Top

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