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2022-11-17 Afghanistan
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Daily Evacuation Brief November 17, 2022
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[AfghanDigest] LAST 24 HOURS
- EXPLOSIONS IN BALKH AND TAKHAR – In separate instances explosions were reported in both Provinces yesterday.
- In Takhar, a roadside bomb was detonated outside the gates of the appeals court in the capital city of Taloqan at approximately 0930hrs local time. It is believed that two Taliban vehicles were destroyed in the blast but no word of casualties has been received. Unconfirmed reports that the vehicles may have been transporting prisoners are circulating on social media. No group has claimed credit for the attack.
- In Mazar-i-Sharif, a hand grenade was detonated and is thought to have injured 5 people. It is not clear who was injured yet and the circumstances surrounding the blast are murky. Mazar-i-Sharif has previously been the scene of accidental grenade detonations as careless Taliban recruits triggered grenades while playing with them. Further information is required.
- MAJOR RAIL PROJECT ON HOLD – European news reports are claiming the Uzbekistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan rail project, long heralded as a major economic investment win by the Taliban, has been placed on hold. The nearly $6 billion dollar project was reportedly suspended due to the Taliban’s recent announcement concerning the implementation of Sharia Law across the National justice system. If confirmed, analysts agree it will be a major blow to the Taliban’s aspirations and will cause further domestic discontent with the regime. Uzbekistan has long played the role of “good cop” with regard to the Taliban. The tectonic shift represents a serious warning to the Taliban regime.
- TALIBAN REAFFIRMS COMMITMENT TO ERADICATING TERROR GROUPS AFTER HERAT OPERATION – The Defense Minister said in an OIC meeting that the Taliban are taking the fight against ISIS-K seriously and pointed to the recent security operations in Kabul and Herat as evidence they seek to eradicate the terror group. Based on troop displacements and border security measures, it seems clear that none of Afghanistan’s neighbors believe the Taliban will be able to contain the threat that ISIS-K and other terror groups known to be in the country may pose to regional states.
- MOSCOW SUMMIT – The Russian-hosted event called for a comprehensive solution to the Afghanistan issue and the consensus seemed to be focused on economic solutions to provide stability. China and Russia levied heavy criticism at the West and the United States in particular for the crisis. Iran’s delegate added to the criticism and called for a regional solution and a rejection of a return of US forces. The summit was universal in calling on the Taliban to form an inclusive government.
CONFLICT TRACKER
Paktika: One non-combatant was reportedly killed near the joint border by Pakistan Security Forces. News reports claim the civilian was killed when Pakistani soldiers fired across the border in the Barmal district yesterday evening,
Takhar:A roadside bomb destroyed two Taliban vehicles when it was detonated outside the gates of the appeals court in Taloqan. No injuries were reported and it is not clear who planted the device,
NEXT 24 HOURS
TENSIONS REMAIN ALONG AFGHANISTAN/PAKISTAN BORDER – Another cross-border incident in Paktika illustrates the elevated tensions between the two countries. Afghanistan has yet to submit to Pakistan’s demands to hand over the individual who is thought to have instigated the shootings at Spin Boldak-Chaman. For its part, the Taliban has sought to create confusion over the event and has announced the establishment of a Loya Jirga to look into the matter. Whether Pakistan agrees to the ploy or not, their border forces remain at elevated security levels and there is a concern in Islamabad that the TTP has become emboldened by the border scuffles and has launched a complimentary campaign in Waziristan that may or may not be supported from the Taliban in Afghanistan. The situation remains perilous and will continue to pose a threat to at-risk Afghans near the border and who may attempt a crossing. We assess that if cross-border hostilities continue, Pakistan is likely to close the Torkham crossing to all but humanitarian aid traffic until the dispute is resolved.
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Posted by trailing wife 2022-11-17 00:00||
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