Rantburg

Today's Front Page   View All of Thu 04/18/2024 View Wed 04/17/2024 View Tue 04/16/2024 View Mon 04/15/2024 View Sun 04/14/2024 View Sat 04/13/2024 View Fri 04/12/2024
2021-07-02 Economy
CBO sees supercharged recovery as pandemic dissipates, predicts severe inflation in coming months
[WASHINGTONTIMES] The U.S. economy will roar to life for the rest of this year and remain supercharged through 2022, the Congressional Budget Office said Thursday, though the analysts also warned Americans to expect inflation to rise "sharply" for several months.

The unemployment rate will fall to 4.6% at the end of this year and be back to pre-pandemic levels at some point next year, said CBO, delivering a glowing picture on the most politically important yardstick.

Americans who saved up during the pandemic are looking to spend, creating strong demand for goods and services. Inventories aren’t ready to handle that demand right now, thus the spike in inflation. The analysts said supply and demand will even out quickly and inflation pressures will dissipate by the end of the year.

In the meantime, Americans were vaccinated for COVID-19 faster than projected and communities scrapped social distancing policies earlier than anticipated.

CBO said Democrats’ coronavirus (aka COVID19 or Chinese Plague)
...the twenty first century equivalent of bubonic plague, only instead of killing off a third of the population of Europe it kills 3.4 percent of those who notice they have it. It seems to be fond of the elderly, especially Iranian politicians and holy men...
relief package, which President Joe Biden
...... 46th president of the U.S. Joe's wife and daughter weren't killed by a drunk driver. He didn't graduate with three or even two degrees, wasn't in the top half of his law class, and his daddy didn't come home from a hard day's work in the mines and play football with the guys. The NAACP hasn't endorsed him every time he's run.......
signed in March, will pump hundreds of billions of dollars into the economy.

The result will be a fantastic year for the economy, with gross domestic product rising 7.4% in real terms year-to-year in 2021 and still running strong at 3.1% growth in 2022.

The economy will cool quickly in 2023, with GDP growth falling to 1.1% and rising only to 1.2% in 2024 and 2025, the CBO projected.

Analysts said the pattern is normal after a heated recovery but could prove problematic for Mr. Biden and congressional Democrats in 2024 as they face voters starting to feel a slowing economy.

The White House called this year’s GDP number proof that the president’s "economic plan is working."

"The last time the economy grew at this rate was when Ronald Reagan told us it was ’Morning in America’ in 1984," the White House gloated in a blurb.

Rep. John A. Yarmuth, Kentucky Democrat and chairman of the House Budget Committee, said the economic growth is a reason to double down and pass another round of government spending on infrastructure, social welfare and action against climate change.

Even with the recovery, though, the federal government will end this year deeply in the red, the CBO said Thursday. It projected a near-record $3 trillion deficit, just shy of last year’s record $3.1 trillion.

In February, the CBO pegged the figure at just $2.2 trillion. Most of the increase is a result of the coronavirus relief package.

Posted by Fred 2021-07-02 00:00|| || Front Page|| [8 views ]  Top

#1 ...Over the last week or so, my 401k begs to differ.

Mike
Posted by Mike Kozlowski 2021-07-02 07:39||   2021-07-02 07:39|| Front Page Top

#2 /\ Yep, if you're not harvesting profits, you may not be paying attention.
Posted by Besoeker 2021-07-02 07:40||   2021-07-02 07:40|| Front Page Top

#3 No inflation, folks. It's just "temporary," you see.

Pay no attention to Buffett saying every one of Berkshire's companies -- real estate, auto dealers, consumer staples etc -- are seeing prices go "up up up."

Pay no attention to one of our biggest packaged foods (General Mills) companies announcing a 50 PERCENT PRICE INCREASE yesterday.

Pay no attention to Wall Street analysts' new oil price targets of $100/bbl.

Nope, nothing to see here.

The Chairman is in power and the situation is excellent. Get with the program, you running dog counter-revolutionaries
Posted by Heriberto Glusogum7597 2021-07-02 09:04||   2021-07-02 09:04|| Front Page Top

#4 The U.S. economy will roar to life for the rest of this year and remain supercharged through 2022

No it won't. Not enough people willing to give up unemployment to make the goods we need. We will see 1970s stagflation by the end of the year with a massive real estate bubble pop.
Posted by DarthVader 2021-07-02 11:32||   2021-07-02 11:32|| Front Page Top

#5 $14.50 ten foot 2x4's......not a good sign. Sorry :-(
Posted by Besoeker 2021-07-02 12:34||   2021-07-02 12:34|| Front Page Top

#6 a massive real estate bubble pop.

best time to buy
Posted by 746 2021-07-02 12:40||   2021-07-02 12:40|| Front Page Top

#7 Most people have left the various medias. Nothing to believe anymore. Corporations are losing control also. Go woke go broke. Workers archaic antique word.
Posted by Dale 2021-07-02 21:11||   2021-07-02 21:11|| Front Page Top

02:32 Grom the Reflective
02:20 Besoeker
02:12 Besoeker
02:01 Besoeker
01:44 Besoeker
01:44 DarthVader
01:39 Besoeker
01:37 DarthVader
01:28 Grom the Reflective
01:16 Besoeker
00:05 Uleremp and Company7042









Paypal:
Google
Search WWW Search rantburg.com