Rantburg

Today's Front Page   View All of Fri 04/26/2024 View Thu 04/25/2024 View Wed 04/24/2024 View Tue 04/23/2024 View Mon 04/22/2024 View Sun 04/21/2024 View Sat 04/20/2024
2021-02-03 India-Pakistan
Israeli Delhi embassy bomb: National Investigation Agency registers case, police busily following leads
Iran, ISIS, or Al Qaeda? One of them (probably) sponsored it... And is Kenya a connection or a feint? Tune in again, dear Reader, when more will be revealed by India’s NIA (with the Mossad labouring quietly in the shadows).[OneIndia] The anti- terror probe agency National Investigation Agency (NIA) is likely to take up probe in connection with the minor blast near the Israeli Embassy.

A team of NIA officials had already visited the blast site on Friday evening and had collected evidence materials. The officials also carried out complete mapping of the area to identify the route and the persons involved in the blast.

Meanwhile, Delhi Police's Special Cell is questioning some people, including a few Iranian nationals on Saturday.

A team from the National Bomb Data Centre (NBDC) of the NSG visited the spot for post-blast analysis, a senior officer said, adding that the findings will be shared with the Delhi Police team investigating the case.

The minor blast took place on Friday evening in a high-security zone of the national capital. No one was injured.

An envelope addressed to the Israeli Embassy and containing a note was found at the site of the blast, sources had said. It had reportedly suggest an Iranian link to the incident.

A case has been registered and the Special Cell is investigating the matter.

As of February 1st, One India reports the police are busily following leads: interviewing people, and combing through cell phone data. Unfortunately, it was discovered that most of the nearby CCTV cameras do not work despite the fact that the embassy is in a high security area.
There is also a very strong possibility that the blast could be linked to the one that took place on February 13, 2012.
That one was definitely Iran...
We are not ruling out any possibility, the official cited above also said.

Investigators are also looking at the role of a group called the Jaish-ul-Hind. A person by the name Vikar had claimed responsibility for the blast on a Telegram group in the ISIS forum that is linked to the Qayam Foundation.
A quick search of “Qayam Foundation” leads to a Facebook page proclaiming that the foundation is a charity founded in Kenya to support and educate Muslim youth, and that there now is a branch in Punjab — though whether they mean India or Pakistan is not clear. Facebook lists several related pages in Nairobi, one of which links to the Ummah Foundation, whose goals are literacy and economic self-sufficiency for Kenyan Muslims, and motivating Muslims in Kenya to practice pure Islam — Facebook greasing the progression to radicalization. Both the Muslim Brotherhood and the Islamic Society (Jamaat-e-Islami), which feed cannon fodder to jihadi groups, have become influential in Kenya in recent decades, separate from the predations of Al Shabaab.
The internet protocol address has been traced to Herat
...a venerable old Persian-speaking city in western Afghanistan, populated mostly by Tadjiks, which is why it's not as blood-soaked as areas controlled by Pashtuns...
in Afghanistan. However this angle needs to be thoroughly probed as it could be a false flag, officials say.
On February 2nd the NIA officially took charge, repeating all that had been said on the subject previously.
Posted by trailing wife 2021-02-03 00:00|| || Front Page|| [17 views ]  Top

#1 Sorry, no link:

The political debate in Israel triggers a secret war between intelligence agencies

Published 2 days ago on February 2, 2021
By Giancarlo Elia Valori

Since the birth of the State of Israel in 1948, the young democracy–imported by force of arms into what Lord Balfour had defined in 1917 as the “Jewish national home” in Palestine – has distinguished itself for being permanently characterized by a lively, heated and polemical political debate.

Since its foundation the old Socialist Mapam Party of David Ben Gurion, the first Israeli Head of State, has clashed with the political-religious soul of fundamentalist Hebraism, that of the “Chassidim” who even denied that a State of Israel should be established, without waiting for the “coming of the Messiah”.

Over the decades, the Socialist spirit of the founders of the State of Israel has gradually faded and today two groups are in power, a right-wing one and a centrist one, the Likud and the Blue and White Party respectively. They are headed by two leading figures: the Likudis led by the historical and longstanding leader, Benjamin Netanyahu, and the “Blue and White Party” by the former Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces, Benny Gantz.

They have been in power together since March last year, but their coexistence in the coalition government has evidently proved more difficult than expected, to the point that on December 22, 2020 a government crisis broke out and was declared officially. Israel’s Parliament, namely the Knesset was dissolved and a new election was called for next March, i.d. less than a year before the scheduled one.

Netanyahu is facing an investigation on corruption charges and has always maintained he is the victim of a politicised judiciary. He claimed:“the Likud Party does not want elections. We have always voted against these elections. Unfortunately, Benny Ganz has reneged on the agreements”.

Ganz, for his part, replied that the Prime Minister’s statements were “just lies” and that Netanyahu was aiming for early elections “to avoid being prosecuted”.

Hard and irreconcilable stances which – in a small country like Israel in which politics, institutions and society are strongly integrated – have had direct consequences also within the powerful Intelligence Community, which is so intrinsically connected to the other institutions, that it immediately feels the echoes of the political debate.

The Israeli “Intelligence Community” is based on three pillars of proven and acknowledged efficiency: Mossad, the National Intelligence Agency operating abroad with tasks of espionage and counter-terrorism; Shin Bet, the Internal Security Service in charge of counter-espionage and counter-terrorism within the national borders; Aman, the Military Intelligence Service.

The simple and pragmatic system entrusts to the two “civilian” Services geographically differentiated tasks, while Aman performs not only specific military intelligence tasks, but also strategic analysis ones and operates in close coordination with the two civilian Services.

In other words, Mossad and Shin Bet have not their own analysis departments and rely on their Aman colleagues, who are responsible for providing the government with reliable evaluation frameworks on all issues of strategic importance.

With a view to understanding how the system has functioned over the years, it suffices to go back to the 1973 Yom Kippur War when, in early October, Israel was attacked simultaneously and suddenly by Egypt and Syria, and for about ten days it had its back to the wall before regaining the initiative and succeeding in turning the tide of the conflict.

During those days all observers, at home and abroad, wondered why the renowned Israeli Intelligence Services had not been able to anticipate the enemy’s moves, despite having extensive and deep intelligence networks in the adversary’s camp.

The answer came from the “Agranat” Inquiry Commission, established by the then Head of State, Golda Meir, which ascertained that intelligence on the Egyptian and Syrian intentions and preparatory moves had actually been gathered, but that the Aman analysts deemed it not sufficient to declare a general alert and warn the government of the imminent danger.

The fiasco cost the Military Service Director his job.

Since then, the liaison and cooperation between the three Services has become closer and more efficient, with excellent results in terms of coordination between intelligence and government and Israel’s ability to effectively respond to internal threats or to those coming from foreign enemies.

All this until to date.

In recent weeks, in fact, reliable Israeli sources have reported that the Israeli Intelligence Services have got involved in the debate opposing Benjamin Netanyahu and Benny Ganz on the vital strategic issue of Iran, not only on the decisions to be taken at economic and health levels, but also on the attitude to have towards Iran’s nuclear policy and Iranian interests in the Middle East, in general, and in the Lebanon and Syria, in particular.

While both the Mossad and Aman are waiting to see the first actions the new Biden Administration will take with regard to the Iranian nuclear programme, the Head of the Research Division of Israel’s Military Intelligence Directorate, Dror Shalom, with the support of his Chief, Tamir Hayman – very close to Benny Ganz – has indicated to the government it would be desirable to have a “softer” attitude towards Iran, even suggesting Israel’s direct participation, alongside the United States, in the possible resumption of negotiations with Iran on limiting the nuclear ambitions of the Ayatollah’s regime.

Benny Ganz, who was Chief of Staff until 2015, has maintained a close relationship with Aman and the entire military establishment and called for a more moderate attitude towards Iran, also during the election campaign.

Aman‘s move has deeply irritated the Mossad leadership that, in line with Netanyahu’s position, wants to maintain a hard line vis-à-vis Iran, which is still considered a strategic threat to the State of Israel.

Almost as if he wanted to respond to the moves of his political opponent, Netanyahu has extended until next June the appointment of Yossi Cohen as Director of Mossad, who planned and organised the sequence of murders of Iranian scientists involved in nuclear research (on November27 last, Moshen Fakrizadeh, the Head of the nuclear programme, was assassinated on the outskirts of Tehran).

Yossi Cohen will be replaced by another figure loyal to Netanyahu, the current Head of Mossad‘s Operations Department, currently known only as “Mr.D”, who is expected to follow in his predecessor’s footsteps in the strategy of extremely harsh opposition to the Iranian nuclear programme, even in spite of the possible future moderate attitude of the new American President, Joseph Biden.

Therefore, while the Military Intelligence Service, which monopolizes the strategic analysis of the entire Israeli Intelligence Community, takes the field in support of the foreign policy of the centrist candidate in the upcoming elections, Benny Ganz, Mossad sides decisively with his opponent, the current Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who is an advocate of an increasingly harsh attitude towards Iran’s nuclear dream and its expansionist aims in Syria, the Lebanon and Iraq.

Therefore Mossad keeps on planning future eliminations of Iranian scientists and providing the Armed Forces with accurate data on the Iranian positions in Syria and on the targets to be attacked. In this regard, last December the Chief of Staff of Tsahal (Israel Defense Forces), Avin Kochavi, stated that the Iranian military presence has been progressively reduced thanks to targeted bombings.

Aman “prefers” to continue cyberattacks on Iran with its “Unit 8200”, along the lines of the successful cyberattack on the control system of the Iranian nuclear centrifuges carried out years ago with the inoculation of the “Stuxnet” virus in the adversary system.

An all-Israeli paradox: aggressive civilians and moderate military.

It is unfortunate, however, that this paradox is not part of a confidential political dialectic, but has entered by force even the election campaign.
Posted by Clem 2021-02-03 19:28||   2021-02-03 19:28|| Front Page Top

#2 ^ Odernmay Iplomacyday
Posted by Glirt the Florid7438 2021-02-03 22:10||   2021-02-03 22:10|| Front Page Top

#3 Interesting article, Clem. I would argue that Bibi knew exactly what he was doing when he proposed that Benny Gantz take the second shift of the joint prime ministership, and Benny allowed himself to be played.

I would also argue that Israel’s generals are being idiots. First to get involved in politics so blatantly, just because they loathe Bibi, while Benny is part of their In Crowd. And second to think that Iran is not an existential threat, just because Israel has been able to hold it off thus far.
Posted by trailing wife 2021-02-03 22:44||   2021-02-03 22:44|| Front Page Top

18:02 swksvolFF
17:55 swksvolFF
17:45 Grom the Reflective
16:31 jpal
16:02 Beldar+Uneter3543
16:01 M. Murcek
15:59 Super Hose
15:43 Procopius2k
15:42 Procopius2k
15:39 49 Pan
15:37 M. Murcek
15:36 M. Murcek
15:28 Dale
15:28 Grom the Reflective
15:27 Dale
15:26 M. Murcek
15:23 Dale
15:15 Beldar+Uneter3543
15:02 Besoeker
15:00 Uleremp and Company7042
14:59 NoMoreBS
14:54 Uleremp and Company7042
14:42 Grom the Reflective
14:42 Uleremp and Company7042









Paypal:
Google
Search WWW Search rantburg.com