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2020-11-18 Terror Networks
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After Israel said to kill al-Qaeda No. 2, questions over terror group’s future
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[IsraelTimes] With unconfirmed rumors swirling over fate of al-Zawahiri
...Formerly second in command of al-Qaeda, now the head cheese, occasionally described as the real brains of the outfit. Formerly the Mister Big of Egyptian Islamic Jihad. Bumped off Abdullah Azzam with a car boom in the course of one of their little disputes. Is thought to have composed bin Laden's fatwa entitled World Islamic Front Against Jews and Crusaders. Currently residing in the North Wazoo area assuming he's not dead like Mullah Omar. He lost major face when he ordered the nascent Islamic State to cease and desist and merge with the orthodox al-Qaeda spring, al-Nusra...
in wake of Abu Muhammad al-Masri’s killing in Iran, many analysts point to Saif al-Adel
...holed up in Iran from 2002 until 2010, when he made bail and moved back to the Pak-Afghan border...
as next leader.
Continued from Page 1
The reported deaths of al-Qaeda’s top two leaders in recent months have raised questions about the future strategy and strength of the terror network, already a shadow of the global force it was two decades ago.
The New York Times
...which still proudly displays Walter Duranty's Pulitzer prize...
reported last week that al-Qaeda’s deputy leader Abdullah Ahmad Abdullah, who went by the nom-de-guerre Abu Muhammad al-Masri, was secretly killed in Tehran in August by two Israeli operatives at Washington’s behest.
Meanwhile,
...back at the dirigible, the gondola was dangling by a single thread of rope.
Jack! Cynthia cried. I just realized I'm afraid of heights! I don't even like high heels! ...
prominent experts on al-Qaeda have quoted sources as saying that Ayman al-Zawahiri, who succeeded the late Osama bin Laden
...... who has left the building......
as the chief of the group behind the September 11, 2001, attacks on the United States, is also dead.
Iran
...a theocratic Shiite state divided among the Medes, the Persians, and the (Arab) Elamites. Formerly a fairly civilized nation ruled by a Shah, it became a victim of Islamic revolution in 1979. The nation is today noted for spontaneously taking over other countries' embassies, maintaining whorehouses run by clergymen, involvement in international drug trafficking, and financing sock puppet militias to extend the regime's influence. The word Iran is a cognate form of Aryan. The abbreviation IRGC is the same idea as Stürmabteilung (or SA). The term Supreme Guide is a the modern version form of either Duce or Führer or maybe both. They hate Jews Zionists Jews. Their economy is based on the production of oil and vitriol...
has strongly denied
No, no! Certainly not!
the report over the killing of Abdullah, while al-Qaeda has not issued any confirmation of the purported death of al-Zawahiri through its usual media channels.
Yet the reports have come as questions grow over al-Qaeda’s future intentions, with the network radically different from the franchise that spread fear around the world under the leadership of the charismatic Bin Laden.
‘VERY TYPICAL OF AQ’
The killing of the Saudi in a US operation in Pakistain in 2011 left the group in the hands of al-Zawahiri, an Egyptian veteran of jihad and the key al-Qaeda ideologue, but without Bin Laden’s ability to rally forces of Evil around the world.
Hassan Hassan, director of the US-based Center for Global Policy (CGP), said at the weekend that al-Zawahiri had died a month ago of natural causes.
And Rita Katz, director of the jihadist media monitor SITE, said unconfirmed reports were circulating that al-Zawahiri had died.
"It is very typical of AQ to not publish news about the death of its leaders in a timely manner," she said.
Nonetheless, this is not the first time there have been reports of al-Zawahiri’s death, only for him to re-emerge on several occasions.
"Intelligence agencies believe he is very sick," said Barak Mendelsohn, associate professor at Haverford College and author of several books on al-Qaeda and jihadism.
"Ultimately, if it did not happen now, it will happen soon," he told AFP.
‘BOARD OF ADVISERS’
If either or both men are dead, the group they have left behind can in no way be compared to the network which planned and carried out the September 11 attacks, analysts say.
Its ideology has spawned several franchises across the world that bear its name, including in Africa’s Sahel region
... North Africa's answer to the Pak tribal areas...
, in Pakistain as well as in Somalia, Egypt and Yemen
...an area of the Arabian Peninsula sometimes mistaken for a country. It is populated by more antagonistic tribes and factions than you can keep track of...
But it does not control their actions or the alliances that they may forge on a local level.
Mendelsohn said he expected al-Qaeda’s leadership to act more along the lines of a "board of advisers" in the future.
"People will listen to AQ central leadership if they want to, not because they think they are bound to obey its view," he said.
No longer the supreme jihadist group, al-Qaeda has seen other outfits grow and has sometimes clashed with them on the ground.
It has been overshadowed by the Islamic State
 ...formerly ISIS or ISIL, depending on your preference. Before that they were al-Qaeda in Iraq, as shaped by Abu Musab Zarqawi. They're really very devout, committing every atrocity they can find in the Koran and inventing a few more. They fling Allah around with every other sentence, but to hear western pols talk they're not really Moslems....
(IS) group which sought to carve out a caliphate in Iraq and Syria and coordinated attacks in Europe.
WHO’S NEXT?
The key challenge of a new leader would be to retain the group’s potency within this context.
Many analysts point to one key candidate — Saif al-Adel, a former lieutenant-colonel in the Egyptian armed forces who joined the Egyptian jihadist movement in the 1980s.
He was arrested and then released, ending up in Afghanistan which was the base for Bin Laden and al-Zawahiri, and joining al-Qaeda.
According to the US-based Counter Extremism Project (CEP) think tank, he was arrested in Iran in 2003 and freed in 2015 in a prisoner exchange. He was still believed to be in Iran in 2018 as one of al-Zawahiri’s key deputies.
"Adel played a crucial role in building al-Qaeda’s operational capabilities and quickly ascended the hierarchy," the CEP said.
Mendelsohn said Adel was a "big name" in the movement and "should be the next in line."
But he stressed that Adel, along with Abdullah, spent several years hiding in Iran, thus possibly staying away from al-Qaeda’s new generation of leaders.
"I’m not sure how strong his position is within al-Qaeda, especially now that the old generation, basically all the old guard, is dead." 
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Posted by trailing wife 2020-11-18 03:37||
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