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2019-09-19 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
Earth to warm more quickly, show new climate models
[DAWN] Greenhouse gases thrust into the atmosphere by burning fossil fuels are warming Earth’s surface more quickly than previously understood, according to new climate models set to replace those used in current UN projections, scientists said on Tuesday.

By 2100, average temperatures could rise 6.5 to 7.0 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels if carbon emissions continue unabated, separate models from two leading research centres in La Belle France showed.

That is up to two degrees higher than the equivalent scenario in the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change’s (IPCC) 2014 benchmark fifth Assessment Report.

The new calculations also suggest the Gay Paree Agreement goals of capping global warming at "well below" two degrees, and 1.5C if possible will be harder to reach, the scientists said.

"With our two models, we see that the scenario known as SSP1 2.6 ‐ which normally allows us to stay under 2C ‐ doesn’t quite get us there," said Olivier Boucher, head of the Institute Pierre Simon Laplace Climate Modelling Centre in Gay Paree.

With barely one degree Celsius of warming so far, the world is already coping with increasingly deadly heatwaves, droughts, floods and tropical cyclones made more destructive by rising seas.

A new generation of 30-odd climate models known collectively as CMIP6 ‐ including the two unveiled on Tuesday ‐ will underpin the IPCC’s next major report in 2021.

"CMIP6 clearly includes the latest modelling improvements", even as important uncertainties remain, said Joeri Rogelj, an associate professor at Imperial College London and an IPCC lead author.
Posted by Fred 2019-09-19 00:00|| || Front Page|| [9 views ]  Top

#1 Bullshit....
Posted by DarthVader 2019-09-19 00:19||   2019-09-19 00:19|| Front Page Top

#2 Aw darn it, now we have to regulate bull exhausts too?
Posted by Seeking Cure For Ignorance 2019-09-19 00:40||   2019-09-19 00:40|| Front Page Top

#3 We won't be all dead in 12 years?
Posted by g(r)omgoru 2019-09-19 00:53||   2019-09-19 00:53|| Front Page Top

#4 These two weeks media and Democrats pushing climate change. Working in concert.
Posted by Dale 2019-09-19 01:20||   2019-09-19 01:20|| Front Page Top

#5 Would someone place gag Al Gore!
Posted by CrazyFool 2019-09-19 03:13||   2019-09-19 03:13|| Front Page Top

#6 Would someone please gag Al Gore! (try this again...)
Posted by CrazyFool 2019-09-19 03:18||   2019-09-19 03:18|| Front Page Top

#7 Yawn.
Posted by Uleck Spererong9442 2019-09-19 05:38||   2019-09-19 05:38|| Front Page Top

#8 This isn't science, it's a religion. When confronted by real science, it hides it's data, throws temper tantrums fit to rival my four year old, cries and screams.

Real science doesn't require belief or consensus. As has been said many many many times, CO2 is a /lagging/ indicator of temperature, sort of. CO2 changes after the temperature does. CO2 isn't harmful to the planet. CO2 is very beneficial. CO2 starvation occures at 150 ppm. At that level, ALL plants die. All the plants we current have developed at CO2 levels of 1000+ ppm. All life on earth nearly died during the last ice age when CO2 dropped so low.
Posted by Silentbrick 2019-09-19 06:29||   2019-09-19 06:29|| Front Page Top

#9 Bring back the stoning for false prophets. We can begin with 'snow is a thing of the past' for the UK and the 'Arctic will be ice free' for North America.
Posted by Procopius2k 2019-09-19 07:43||   2019-09-19 07:43|| Front Page Top

#10 The guidebook: 1998, Guilford Press, English; Book edition: Natural causes : essays in ecological marxism. James O'Connor.
Posted by Chereting Pelosi1889 2019-09-19 07:57||   2019-09-19 07:57|| Front Page Top

#11 Key word - could. This is just another in the long, long list of climate predictions that will not materialize (see post above).
Posted by Raj 2019-09-19 10:15||   2019-09-19 10:15|| Front Page Top

#12 Next Years E-Mail Scam: "Dear Sir or Madam, Our Computer Models predict we will ♫WIN♫ every Lottery soon but we need start up funds. Just wire $1000 USD to our office in Abuja, Nigeria and await the Most Felicitous Results!"
Posted by magpie 2019-09-19 10:53||   2019-09-19 10:53|| Front Page Top

#13 6.5 to 7? Why not 65 to 70? Just as scientific.
Posted by Iblis 2019-09-19 11:04||   2019-09-19 11:04|| Front Page Top

#14 Tell us about the fossil evidence of what caused the Permian Extinction
Posted by Sock Puppet of Doom 2019-09-19 13:11||   2019-09-19 13:11|| Front Page Top

#15 ...fried food, fat, and cholesterol? Just a guess.
Posted by Procopius2k 2019-09-19 13:36||   2019-09-19 13:36|| Front Page Top

#16 I can't comment. I'm already dead because Peak Oil killed me in 2015.
Posted by European Conservative 2019-09-19 15:19||   2019-09-19 15:19|| Front Page Top

#17 Earth orbiting closer to the sun and it's a lil warmer? Ya don't say.
Posted by bbrewer126 2019-09-19 20:42||   2019-09-19 20:42|| Front Page Top

#18 it does warm quickly; in the spring. then cools quickly, in the fall.
been there, done that.
Posted by USN, Ret. 2019-09-19 20:55||   2019-09-19 20:55|| Front Page Top

#19 Talking Heads: "Same as it ever was"
Posted by Frank G 2019-09-19 21:13||   2019-09-19 21:13|| Front Page Top

13:01 Super Hose
12:56 Super Hose
12:54 Super Hose
12:51 M. Murcek
12:45 Grom the Reflective
12:44 trailing wife
12:26 mossomo
12:25 Grom the Reflective
12:20 Tom
12:19 SteveS
12:08 M. Murcek
12:04 Frank G
12:04 Whiskey Mike
11:17 SteveS
11:08 Abu Uluque
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11:01 SteveS
10:58 49 Pan
10:57 49 Pan
10:52 Super Hose
10:52 49 Pan
10:49 49 Pan
10:49 49 Pan
10:48 Super Hose









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