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2022-11-19 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Ukrainian Perspective: Invasion of Ukraine: November 18th, 2022
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Posted by badanov 2022-11-19 00:00|| || Front Page|| [7 views ]  Top

#1 In September and October 2022, the number of prisoners in Russian correctional colonies decreased by 23 thousand people.

France24 report (in French) said 30-35,000 convicts are now fighting for Wagner. Of the first (or ealry) 500, 498 are dead and 2 wounded. Chances of lasting 6 months = ~0%. Plus Prigozhin saves a fortune in salaries. New yacht, baby!

HiMARS are going after train bridges/tracks in E. Ukr coming from Russia. Several obvious choke points. Trying to replicate the Kherson logistical failure in southern Ukraine.
Posted by Slealet Unong6139 2022-11-19 02:25||   2022-11-19 02:25|| Front Page Top

#2  Chances of lasting 6 months = ~0%.

Ask a question at Rantburg, and someone assuredly will know the answer. :-)
Posted by trailing wife 2022-11-19 09:29||   2022-11-19 09:29|| Front Page Top

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