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Posted by Water Modem 2012-04-12 19:58||
#4 It seems that my notes refer to the initial, incorrect reports, possibly from Japan or South Korea, that the second stage fell nearly 500 miles shorter than it actually did. That was subsequently corrected with tracking data that showed trajectories consistent with a third stage ignition and/or separation failure.
This analysis suggests that the first two stages hit their drop boxes, but just barely made them, and were well short of their "bulls-eye" center aim points. http://thebulletin.org/web-edition/features/post-launch-examination-of-the-unha-2
Posted by Water Modem 2012-04-12 19:59||
Reports say it broke up 'minutes after launch', which would indicate it failed well into its flight and possibly over Skor.
Posted by phil_b 2012-04-12 20:00||
#6 previous should have been in quotes... it was Ed Kyle's notes.
Posted by Water Modem 2012-04-12 20:00||
Posted by Water Modem 2012-04-12 20:10||
#8 I heard a comment on Fox News that the blast from the rocket (at liftoff?) was larger than the experts predicted. Looking at the pics, it seems that the rocket blast is diverted sideways behind the rocket by the tunnel system. I don't know if that plays into the observation or not.
Posted by gorb 2012-04-12 20:21||
#9 Or was it shot down?
Hehe, that gives everybody a reason to lie, doesn't it?
Posted by M. Murcek 2012-04-12 20:24||
#10 Sorry Ed's notes were on the last launch ... this one is reported to fail when it hit supersonic - still first stage.
Posted by Water Modem 2012-04-12 20:29||
#11 CNN now saying the Japanese detected the launch, and failure occurred "just past one minute of flight"
Posted by Water Modem 2012-04-12 20:31||
#12 ..images of a Nike Ajax moonballing upon loss of telemetry during ADA OBC firing at McGregor Range. When you assemble a missile literally from spare parts, the potential of success is somewhat diminished.
Posted by Procopius2k 2012-04-12 21:05||
#13 The debris fell into the sea some 190 kilometres-200 kilometres (118-124 miles) west of (the southwestern port of) Kunsan," a high ranking military source was quoted as saying by Yonhap.
Posted by phil_b 2012-04-12 21:16||