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2006-07-17 Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Israel briefly sends ground forces into Lebanon
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Posted by ed 2006-07-17 07:32|| || Front Page|| [5 views since 2007-05-07]  Top

#1 Sssh! It's a surprise
Posted by Captain America 2006-07-17 07:40||   2006-07-17 07:40|| Front Page Top

#2 Fox News reports IDF denies ground assault.
Posted by Charles 2006-07-17 07:43||   2006-07-17 07:43|| Front Page Top

#3 What I'd like to see is a ground attack similar to Sherman's march across Georgia. Holding territory is not productive; just blast through and destroy anything of value to the enemy. I'm thinking Hezballah has anticipated an Israeli ground invasion for years, and seems to have lit this match in order to CAUSE such an invasion, so thinks they are prepared to make it very costly to Israel (and they may be right.) If Israel has any kind of amphibious landing capability perhaps they will try an Inchon move near Sidon to allow them to do their Sherman march at the back side of the Hezballah border defenders.
Posted by glenmore">glenmore  2006-07-17 08:07||   2006-07-17 08:07|| Front Page Top

#4 What I'd like to see is a ground attack similar to Sherman's march across Georgia.

The area is heavily mined - one reason Israel would prefer to avoid a ground assault if possible. As I recall, they took heavy casualties entering Lebanon last time around, many from mines.
Posted by lotp 2006-07-17 08:32||   2006-07-17 08:32|| Front Page Top

#5 Ahh shoot. The breaking headline made it sound like the start of something big.
Posted by ed 2006-07-17 08:33||   2006-07-17 08:33|| Front Page Top

#6 I wouldn't be surprised to see Israel run feints like this for several days to test Hiz reactions and wear them out. I still doubt Israel goes in. It's what Hiz wants.
Posted by Nimble Spemble 2006-07-17 08:44||   2006-07-17 08:44|| Front Page Top

#7 lotp-
"The area is heavily mined"
Yeah, that's what I meant when I wished for a back-door approach.
Posted by glenmore">glenmore  2006-07-17 08:45||   2006-07-17 08:45|| Front Page Top

#8 First reccon and probe.

"Heavily mined" and so were approaches in Kuwait and Iraq. Only a miiltary problem if they have covering fire to suppress the breaching.
Posted by Thomoque Glaque5388 2006-07-17 09:11||   2006-07-17 09:11|| Front Page Top

#9 Mines? Well Hiz. wants all their terrorist buddies released from Israeli jails. Seems like a good chance to do so. Line'em up and march 'em north to clear the mines.
Posted by Laurence of the Rats">Laurence of the Rats  2006-07-17 09:11||   2006-07-17 09:11|| Front Page Top

#10 Sometimes the simplest solutions work the best, LotR.
Posted by ed 2006-07-17 09:14||   2006-07-17 09:14|| Front Page Top

#11 Lotp,
I think right now the airforce is the best approach. I think after a couple of weeks of ponding from the air we may also see some very limited surgical ground action (I even guess some Commando actions have been done before and are occuring right now- but these are of the Shu-Shu type).
The Only chance for massive ground action I see is if substantial syrian or iranian forces cross the border into lebanon, or if the amount and type of new weapons smuggled to the Hizzbies exceeds a critical amount.
Its better for everyone that the lebanese army soldiers will die pushing the shiites out of the south, rather than our own soldiers.
Posted by Elder of Zion 2006-07-17 09:22||   2006-07-17 09:22|| Front Page Top

#12 Laurence, I like your thinking. Minefields are perfect for prisoner transfers. We can start the ball rolling with a few Gitmo volunteers.
Gunny Highway says '
Ya gotta ask yourself, Is Allan with me today ? Do I feel lucky ? Well, do ya, punk ?
Posted by wxjames 2006-07-17 10:42||   2006-07-17 10:42|| Front Page Top

#13 Major LOLs, LotR and wxj! Thanks.
Posted by ex-lib 2006-07-17 11:07||   2006-07-17 11:07|| Front Page Top

#14 I bet that Syrian border with Lebanon, say about 30 miles up north, is not mined.
Posted by twobyfour 2006-07-17 11:35||   2006-07-17 11:35|| Front Page Top

#15 Bet you're correct 2x4. Nice rolling countryside.
Posted by 6 2006-07-17 12:50||   2006-07-17 12:50|| Front Page Top

#16 At least it was, 6, until those dastardly Jooooos shelled the area, lol! I fully expect the links on the side of this page to be to "Nice relaxing vacation in Beirut" by the end of the day, lol.
Posted by BA 2006-07-17 14:45||   2006-07-17 14:45|| Front Page Top

#17 I've received a Stratfor freebie about this, won't post it here, given the high esteem Stratfor is held in by regulars, but here is the money quote final paragraph :
Therefore, it follows that the most likely explanation for the delay in a ground assault is that the Israelis are going to take some more time in deploying their forces at the border, allow the air campaign to continue for another day or two, accept the civilian casualties from Hezbollah's rockets and strike back some time this week. But with those rockets coming in, they don't have that many days to wait. Israel's government is not fractious. There is no sense of unease about the situation. Therefore, we have to stay with the view that a broader ground attack is likely early this week.

Not a very hard to make analysis, I'd venture.
Posted by anonymous5089 2006-07-17 14:48||   2006-07-17 14:48|| Front Page Top

#18 Israel MUST invade on the ground, and stay there until they kill every last Hezzie. Barring that, we'll see them back, same Bat Time, same Bat Channel.
Posted by mcsegeek1 2006-07-17 22:06||   2006-07-17 22:06|| Front Page Top

00:13 anymouse
00:00 Master of Obvious
23:58 mojo
23:52 mojo
23:52 mojo
23:50 mojo
23:46 Fred
23:46 anymouse
23:43 mojo
23:39 anymouse
23:36 ex-lib
23:35 anymouse
23:26 FBH
22:40 pihkalbadger
22:34 Oldspook
22:30 Oldspook
22:27 twobyfour
22:22 bigjim-ky
22:21 M. Murcek
22:19 Robert Crawford
22:14 Manolo
22:14 J. D. Lux
22:13 mcsegeek1
22:11 Old Patriot









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