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Home Front: WoT
On the verge of a bloody war: the US reaps the storm in the Middle East
2024-02-02
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
by David Narmania

[RIA] According to The Guardian, Iran, through intermediaries, conveyed to the United States a message that it would retaliate against American bases in the Middle East if Washington decided to attack the country's territory.
Tehran's permanent representative to the UN, Amir Said Iravani, formally denied this report - they say that there were no contacts between the two states after the attack on the American base. True, he later added that any attack on Iran will not go unpunished. And this is clearly not a refutation after which the White House can breathe easy.

How did Washington find itself at the incredibly thin line separating it from the next conflict? The formal reason was an attack on an American base in the Middle East, which resulted in the death of three American soldiers. Such attacks have become a common occurrence in the region—over the past months, there have been one and a half hundred similar cases, with more than a hundred Americans injured. However, until last Sunday there were no casualties.

But as blood was shed, many politicians in Washington demanded revenge, ranging from showdown strikes to a full-scale invasion. And in the White House they hesitated, forcing press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre to take the rap, who managed to squeeze out something in the spirit of “condolences to the families of those who fought for our administration,” which provoked another scandal.

Then another outstanding master of words, Joseph Biden himself, had to make excuses. And the US President quite transparently hinted to all the “hawks” that their aspirations were in vain. "I don't think we need a large-scale war in the Middle East. That's not what I'm looking for." But he promised to get even with the attackers.

The reasons for the reticence are understandable. Firstly, there are still questions about which US base was attacked: Washington insists that we are talking about “Tower 22” located in Jordan, and in Jordan itself they claim that the attack fell on the one located very close - but already on Syrian territory - the al-Tanf base.

And here, of course, there is a fundamental difference: in Jordan, American facilities are located within the framework of a bilateral treaty, therefore, from the point of view of international law, the United States has every right to defend itself. The Americans are in Syria at their own whim, so it is problematic to present attacks from any side (Tehran claims that it was not involved in what happened) as aggression.
And this is just the tip of the iceberg. Washington is afraid to admit that it is not ready for war with Iran.

Over the past 80 years, the United States has not had a direct military adversary of this level: a country of 90 million, which, during 45 years of being under sanctions, managed to develop its own weapons production in the most advanced areas (for example, UAVs and hypersonics), cultivated a developed proxy network in the entire region and a powerful army - this is truly an opponent to be feared. Neither Afghanistan nor Iraq had such potential, but even in these countries things did not turn out as rosy for the United States as the White House had planned.

The general situation in the Middle East adds additional trouble to the Americans: in addition to almost daily attacks on military targets, merchant ships and warships in the Red Sea are under threat - this time from the Yemeni Houthis." Ansar Allah", despite the ongoing shelling of Yemen, continues to demand an end to the war in the Gaza Strip. It is significant that the United States, which is shelling this same Yemen, also demands an end to the war in the Gaza Strip and is trying to put pressure on Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu. And he, in turn, continues to declare that Operation Iron Swords will be carried out until victory.

It is important to note here that Netanyahu made similar rhetoric almost immediately after CIA chief William Burns held talks in Paris with representatives of Israel, Egypt and Qatar, after which the media began to report on the possibility of a truce between Tel Aviv and Hamas.

And literally immediately after Netanyahu showed his demonstrative “fi” to Washington, an article by Burns appeared in the American magazine Foreign Affairs, which, among other things, argues that the key to the security of Israel and the region is relations with Iran. It is difficult to come up with a more transparent hint to Tel Aviv.

It is noteworthy that in Iran, apparently, this article was also paid attention to. Kataib Hezbollah, one of the most active pro-Iranian groups that organized attacks on American bases, said it was taking a temporary break.

Now the word remains with Washington, which, on the one hand, is obliged to show in the United States itself that the killers of American soldiers will not escape reckoning, and on the other hand, not to provoke a war that could become an unbearable burden for it.

Posted by:badanov

#4  Reap the crop of 'proportional response'.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2024-02-02 09:48  

#3  And this is just the tip of the iceberg. Washington is afraid to admit that it is not ready for war with Iran.

Over the past 80 years, the United States has not had a direct military adversary of this level: a country of 90 million, which, during 45 years of being under sanctions, managed to develop its own weapons production in the most advanced areas (for example, UAVs and hypersonics)


But, just like the 3Hs (Hamas, Hizballah, and Houtis) they've no defences except human shields.
Posted by: Grom the Reflective   2024-02-02 09:10  

#2  The most pressing of international crisis must continue as planned. Urgently needed emergency measures will take precedence over political processes. It could all take decades to sort out.

No, your money is not good here. If you do not have the card or stamps, you'll have to go elsewhere.
Posted by: Besoeker   2024-02-02 06:43  

#1  It is difficult to come up with a more transparent hint to Tel Aviv.

A hint that USA foreign policy is run by idiots.
Posted by: Grom the Reflective   2024-02-02 04:33  

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