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| Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia |
| Russians want to get out of trench warfare: what is the enemy up to? |
| 2024-01-25 |
| Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. [Korrespondent] The Russian Federation is trying to change the situation at the front The Russians are trying to get out of trench warfare. Now they have a number of problems, but still the enemy is creating a tense situation at the front. The Russian army is trying to get out of positional battles. The American Institute for the Study of War ( ISW ) writes about this. His analysis is based on reports from Russian so-called military correspondents. However, as analysts note, the Russian army is not yet able to concentrate on several sectors of the front, because the invaders do not have sufficient resources to break through the Ukrainian defense lines. TARGETED ATTACKS OF THE UKRAINIAN ARMED FORCES Moscow’s plans to exit the trench war are being thwarted by the Ukrainian military, ISW notes. In particular, propagandists complain that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are targeting Russian troops even in the near rear areas. One blogger complained that the Russian Army's only solution so far was to attack with 10-20 herded infantrymen with armored vehicles supporting them at an "extreme" distance behind the infantry. Another Kremlin-connected military correspondent responded, agreeing with the first blogger, that Ukrainian technological progress has made it difficult for the occupiers to concentrate multiple divisions in a single geographic area. The military blogger emphasized that Russian troops need to both gain indirect fire superiority over Ukrainian defenders and modernize the command and control of the Russian army in order to get out of trench warfare. “The characteristics and problems of trench warfare identified by Russian bloggers in recent discussions intersect with many of the systemic problems of the Russian military that bloggers have been complaining about for a long time,” the ISW report said. As experts note, there is no indication yet that the Russian military command has significantly improved any of these identified problems at the operational level necessary to break through the positional front or at least in one of the sectors. TACTICAL SUCCESSES OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION In parallel, ISW notes that despite these systemic problems, the Russian army has recently proven its ability to achieve minor tactical successes, in particular, near Kupyansk in the Kharkov region and near Novomikhailovka (southwest of Donetsk). In addition, as ISW stated in a report on January 23, the enemy has advanced in Avdievka. Russia claims the occupiers have moved more than one kilometer near the Avdeevsky quarry north of the city, but ISW cannot confirm this claim. TENSE SITUATION AT THE FRONT The fact that the Russians have begun to emerge from trench warfare and are having some success is confirmed by Deep State experts. So, last week in the Svatovsky direction the enemy recaptured part of the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces near Orlyanka. And east of Tabaevka, the Russian army broke through the positions of one of the terrorist defense brigades, the situation is being clarified. The experts’ report for January 23 notes that in the Svatovsky segment the enemy is gaining a foothold in the Krakhmalny area, and in the Serebryansky forestry the last few days have been difficult: they lost something, repelled something. The hottest destinations are Bakhmutskoye and Avdeevskoye, analysts add. Thus, the tense situation remains near Belogorovka; the enemy will try to enter the village itself and gain a foothold. The activity of the occupiers was observed between Sporny and Vesely. As for Avdievka, Deep State notes that “strange events continue here in the southern outskirts... Many of the enemy’s actions defy logical explanation... Now it is important that the k*tsats are not allowed to gain a foothold in the private sector. The enemy continues to press on Pervomayskoe ". In general, analysts admit that the tense situation currently remains in many sectors of the front. “The main attention is on the southern outskirts of Avdievka, here the fate of the next months of the Avdievka defense operation is being decided. To some extent, that zone can be called the Bermuda Triangle, because a number of strange things are happening, it seems that the enemy himself does not understand what he wants to do,” they concluded experts. |
| Posted by:badanov |
| #1 Russia is said to be struggling to breach Ukraine's defenses because its troops keep getting blown up by drones when they gather in groups: ISW |
| Posted by: Skidmark 2024-01-25 06:36 |