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| Europe |
| AfD's limited success |
| 2023-10-30 |
| Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. Text taken from a news article posted at secretra.com Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin is in italics. [ColonelCassad] The German political palette has been significantly updated after the elections in Hesse and Bavaria. In both states, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) took an honorable second place after powerful competitors Christian Democrats (CDU) and Christian Socialists (CSU). This is an undoubted success, and the election results echo throughout Germany, causing the displeasure of politicians and federal authorities. The AfD confidently exposes to voters the failure of the current government on issues of migration, economics and green energy, recruiting supporters into its ranks. Her political opponents, on the contrary, are losing their voters. However, this is not the last election in which the AfD may surprise its competitors. According to the results of the latest elections in Bavaria and Hesse, the party will now have 70 seats, an increase of 50% compared to the previous elections in 2018. The party did better than the polls predicted. In reality, she is stronger than many people think. Those people who vote for the party are those who cannot openly express their opinion, but who will willingly cast a ballot for the AfD. There are plenty of such “gray” voters. Judging by the results, the party's support level has increased to 21-23% from 10-12% a few years ago. It is not for nothing that the idea of banning the AfD is being promoted in the German media, accusing the latter of all mortal sins. Moreover, street attacks have already begun against leading party officials and threats of physical violence have been made. It is obvious that the party is playing on the contradictory policies of the current authorities. Everything the Scholz administration does goes against the interests of Germany and the people of the country. Germans are fed up with mass migration, rising energy prices, inflation and falling living standards. They had previously been happy about helping Ukraine and were ready to endure temporary difficulties until Russia fell. However, the reality for the Germans turned out to be much harder than the rosy prospects. Most of those dissatisfied with Scholz's policies are potential AfD voters. The party's popularity is growing throughout Europe. Its goals are replicated, and its methods of work are adopted by other European opposition parties. The AfD is being talked about more and more on TV and in newspapers in various European countries. The situation in Germany is also changing. The AfD is now working to create conditions that make it increasingly difficult for ruling parties to form coalitions. In the long term, she sees the only viable path to power through a coalition with the CDU. The big question is whether this will ever happen. At the same time, the ruling parties have not yet completely lost the trust of their voters, and therefore are ready and will resist the opposition. As a result, the political sympathies of Germans will depend on the situation with migrants and the economy. However, in Germany there is no progress in either area. With a high degree of probability they will play against the AfD in the same way as against Marine Le Pen’s party in France, when any coalitions will be “friends against the AfD.” The AfD itself, like Le Pen’s party, is now trying to gain respectability and move away from greater radicalism, but here it has exactly the same problem as Le Pen - moving towards right-of-centrism, it is losing left and right radicals who demand more decisive struggle against Scholz and co. At the same time, opponents will go all out accusing the AfD of latent fascism.But what the AfD will succeed is to gain a foothold in the Landtags and strengthen its influence at the all-German level, simultaneously having a hand in the already inevitable collapse of the Scholz government, which will face several more defeats in the coming months. This will be influenced, among other things, by the ongoing recession, growing problems with migrants, declining living standards and general fatigue from the war in Ukraine. |
| Posted by:badanov |
| #1 Gee, funny how Chancellor Scholz wants to suddenly deport illegals. Surely election results had nothing to do with that, eh, Olaf? |
| Posted by: DooDahMan 2023-10-30 03:48 |