Commentary from the telegram Channel of Periscope. Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin is in italics.
[ColonelCassad] As for the events at the front, I try not to comment once again: since telegram users and telegrammers-authors of channels are constantly spinning the wheel of fortune. Either they hysteria mercilessly, yelling like dogs that have pinched their paws - for example, the DRG in the Belgorod region, the downing of planes in the Bryansk region, etc., then they enthusiastically admire the video with "Leopards" and other Bradleys, forgetting that this is only the beginning of a counterattack and there is still a lot to come problem moments.
It is more interesting to pay attention not to momentary, but to long-term trends. And what do we see? And the fact that the Russian army has become more professional, meaner and harsher. As you can see, she is trained on the battlefield, paying with blood and iron for mistakes.
In August and autumn of last year, the Hymars and its targeted raids were a nightmare, and now - have you noticed that reports about him have become routine and commonplace? Those. the army adapted to dispersal and camouflage. They wrote that we do not have guided bombs like JDAM?
Pity: in the spring of 2023, they appeared on the battlefield and quickly became a significant factor. At the same time, both armies are learning: for some time, on our side, the dill in the rear was specifically terrified by "Geraniums" and at first it was poorly parried. Then they also learned. Our enemy is strong and not a fool either.
What is gratifying is that there have been shifts in the struggle for minds and in the DIMK MO, something began to shift, albeit slowly. They began to react faster, speakers appeared at the groupings of troops, and even the video with burned cats on the battlefield became a hit not only in RuNet, but also in the Western media.
It is very beautiful, of course, when, after 80 years, German tanks are burning in approximately the same place where they once burned in the forties. And it's symbolic. And against this background, the annoying jamb with the "combines" was almost forgotten, as well as the media war with the "Wagners", which went to the rear and ceased to compete for the attention of the audience.
Therefore, as a conclusion, I repeat once again: Ukraine has no chance of winning in its sense (reaching the borders in 1991), if the situation inside Russia is stable, in the sense of a strong rear. The only hope of crests and their handlers is instability in the rear, unrest and activation of trans-Ukrainian elements that have been hiding (mainly among the elite, of course, which is suffering from the destruction of the former world order). And if this does not happen - and the defense industry will catch up - unlike Ukraine, we have it and it is rather big; and the army will learn, and interaction will improve. So Ukraine has no chance in the war for a long time either. None at all, if the Russian rear is strong.
(c) Periscope
https://t.me/periskop_pacific/2694 - zinc
PS. I fully agree with the opinion that the main bet of the United States is on the internal destruction of Russia.