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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Russia promised to be destroyed in three months
2023-02-18
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
by David Narmania

[RIA] Oleksiy Danilov, Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, opened up to reporters yesterday. On the air of the telethon, he promised fellow citizens that the current conflict would result in the collapse of Russia.

"The Russian Federation will be dismantled in the form in which it is now. Otherwise, it will pose a threat not only to our country, but to the whole world," he said.

According to him, changes in the course of hostilities should be expected in a few months.

"In the summer, I am more than sure, we will see a completely different picture at the front and in other areas ... Let's see where and whose land will be after the war," Danilov said.

Bravado or not - we'll figure it out a little later. First, let's decide on the timing: why in the summer?

The fact is that it is in the summer that Ukraine expects the return of a significant number of its military, who are now being trained in the West - in the United States and throughout Europe . The Americans are training Patriot operators, the Germans and Poles are preparing crews for Leopards, the British are preparing gunners and pilots for fighter jets that have not yet been delivered to Kiev, the Belgians are specialists in underwater drones for upcoming sabotage. In addition, Berlin and Paris promised to prepare a total of 7,000 Ukrainian military personnel by the specified deadline.

Yes, and the supply of tanks, obviously, is being delayed: German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius has already reported that instead of two battalions of Leopard 2, Kiev will receive one and a half. It would seem that the difference is not critical, but there is one thing. Initially, it was assumed that they would count according to German standards, where two battalions are more than 90 vehicles. Later, in Berlin, they clarified that they were talking about Ukrainian battalions, and these were 60 vehicles. In total , the Armed Forces of Ukraine will receive 47 tanks instead of the expected 90. And another 120 old Leopard 1 will arrive by the end of the year. In general, "and did not win, but lost."

We figured out the deadlines, but what caused such a radical rhetoric?

This week, The Washington Post published an article warning Kiev from Washington that the conflict is approaching a decisive moment for Ukraine. Sources of the publication in the White House admit that the American authorities promised to help their protégés. However, the famous phrase - "as long as it takes" - refers to the duration of the conflict, not the amount of support. In other words, while Zelensky grinds Ukrainians with mobilization, there will be money, but if the results do not impress Western curators, then the further, the less.

At the same time, the publication notes that it was this idea that American officials who visited Kiev in January, Deputy Secretary of State Wendy Sherman and Deputy Pentagon Chief Colin Cole, should have conveyed to the Ukrainian leadership .

The recent speech by British Defense Secretary Ben Wallace following a meeting of the heads of defense departments of NATO member countries can be perceived in a similar way . He stated that the Armed Forces of Ukraine spend too much ammunition and they should act more selectively. This is understandable: the stocks in the warehouses of the alliance are not rubber. Wallace added that the Ukrainian gunners, who are now training in Britain, are learning to "fight economically."

Kiev decided to replace the shortage of artillery with infantry, but even here it’s bad luck - the mobilization has tired the people, and more and more videos appear on the Web, how military registration and enlistment office employees hand out subpoenas in public transport, beat people who refuse to sign documents, drag them by force. In general, there are few people who want it: the example of Artemivsk, which, according to Kiev, "has no strategic importance," but for some reason the Armed Forces of Ukraine suffer huge losses every day in the battles for it, does not inspire anyone.

Therefore, against the backdrop of all this news, Ukrainian politicians have only one prong left from the “say or do” political fork - to threaten the enemy with imminent death. So they demonstrate their loyalty to Washington in every possible way in the hope that support will not stop.

In addition, statements like the one voiced by Danilov also cut off the path to negotiations. And this is beneficial for Kyiv, because the Zelensky regime exists only as long as the conflict continues. Another thing is that this does not make it any easier for the Ukrainians themselves.

Despite all of the above, you should avoid underestimating the enemy. The Ukrainian army during the conflict has reached the strength of at least 700 thousand people, and the supply of weapons from partners is still ongoing, albeit not at the pace expected in Kyiv. But there is no doubt about the sincerity of the intentions of the Ukrainian authorities and their Western masters to destroy Russia in its current form.

Russia, unlike Ukraine, does not have powerful sponsors, so we have no one to "talk" to. We have to do.

Posted by:badanov

00:00