...former chancellor of Kabul University, ex-president of Afghanistan. Before returning to Afghanistan in 2002 he was a scholar of political science and anthropology. He worked at the World Bank working on international development assistance. As Finance Minister of Afghanistan between July 2002 and December 2004, he led Afghanistan's attempted economic recovery until the Karzais stole all the money. When Biden abandoned the country left with a helicopter, four cars, and part of the national treasury...and his inner circle drove military failure and ultimately helped push the collapse of the ANSF and the Afghan state.
Drawing on interviews with key informants before and after the fall of Kabul and Sharan’s previous research on the role and power dynamics of Afghanistan’s political networks, this report examines the following:
- The impact of the wholesale, 11th-hour restructuring of the top leadership at the Ministry of Interior and other security institutions at a time when the country faced formidable armed opposition, and the US was withdrawing, on the weakening, if not full breakdown, of chains of command and trust;
- How Ghani and his inner circle further politicised and ethnicised security institutions to their advantage. The ’restructuring’ was couched as involving much-needed reforms to deal with very real problems of corruption and nepotism. However,
some men learn by reading. A few learn by observation. The rest have to pee on the electric fence for themselves...
it seems that changes to the big shotship appeared to be driven by a desire to ’clean’ the security sector of non-Pashtuns and promote Pashtuns, especially Ghilzai easterners, to shift the balance in favour of Ghani and his inner circle; - Examines the strategic calculations and incentives of President Ghani and his inner circle for this last-minute restructuring and how others attempted to understand them;
- And finally, how the Palace’s decisions and actions undermined the ANSF’s capability and morale to counter Taliban
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offensives, as senior personnel were consumed by internal politics and job security rather than providing logistical and planning support to those fighting.
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