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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Collapse of Ukraine will follow the recognition of Donbass
2022-02-22
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[REGNUM] The recognition of the republics of Donbass will be followed by a catastrophe of Ukrainian statehood. This was stated on February 22 to a REGNUM correspondent by Oleg Nemensky , a leading expert of the Russian Institute for Strategic Studies .

“Putin's speech was emphatically devoted not so much to Donbass as to the fate of all of Ukraine. He made it clear that with the recognition of the people's republics, Russia is questioning not only the prospects for resolving the conflict in the region on the "Minsk" grounds, but also the very foundations of the formation and development of the statehood of Ukraine , "the expert said.

According to the political scientist, behind all this is the conviction that with the change in the situation in the Donbass, the situation will not stabilize.

Actually, Russia's recognition of the people's republics and the closure of the Minsk process on its initiative is exactly what Kiev openly dreamed of, and this is exactly what they were striving for, Nemensky noted.

“Now no one will blame Ukraine for not fulfilling the conditions of Minsk-2, Russian troops openly enter its territory, and a package of maximum sanctions is being introduced against Russia,” the expert stated.

In general, it is very beneficial for Ukraine when Russia takes some tough actions, but stops at them and does not develop further. So, for example, it was with the Novorossiya project in 2014, so it was with the Donbass, the political scientist noted.

Putin has now made it clear that this time Moscow will not stop. Formally, there is a pretext: Ukraine will be given an ultimatum to cease hostilities. But you can be sure that she won’t do it - she won’t be able to, and “this will not be her will so much as the will of her masters in Washington,” the expert explained.

“So, further we will see the catastrophe of Ukrainian statehood. Russia's readiness to carry out a comprehensive solution to the "Ukrainian issue", formulated in Putin's speech, is exactly what Kiev was most afraid of. And not in vain,” Nemensky believes.

“So it was simply necessary to give a detailed historical justification for such decisions. As a historian, I will say that not a word was said in the president's speech that could be called into question. But our society has yet to realize these new meanings for it. The old Soviet propaganda, which substantiated the Leninist principles of national policy, has taken deep roots in the public consciousness and still has a lot of adherents. Even in the national-patriotic environment. I am sure that for many people the content of the historical part of this speech, as well as Putin's recent article on the same issues, is, to put it mildly, new.

Recall that on February 21, after a meeting of the Security Council, the President of Russia addressed the nation, in which he sharply criticized the national policy of the Soviet government, as well as the genesis of Ukrainian statehood. In conclusion, Vladimir Putin announced the recognition by the Russian Federation of the subjectivity of the Donetsk and Luhansk People's Republics.

Posted by:badanov

#1  Too much bad blood between Ukrainians and Russians left over from Stalin's collectivization of Ukrainian farms. Too many people starved in the 1930's. Any battle for Kiev would be nasty and bloody. Putin might actually be embarrassed by the cost even if his troops take the city. Putin really should stop at Donbass. But then, Brandon should rein in NATO too.
Posted by: Abu Uluque   2022-02-22 13:29  

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