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| Afghanistan |
| Rozhin: Briefly on Afghanistan |
| 2021-08-16 |
| Direct translation via Google Translate. Edited. [ColonelCassad] Briefly about the situation on the evening of August 15. 1. In fact, August 15 was the end of the Afghanistan that has existed since the fall of 2001. They just barely made it to the 20th anniversary, as well as the 20th anniversary of the 9/11 attack. The Taliban have fully met their already established two-week deadline for the seizure of the entire country. The Americans suspected something, so they shifted the departure date from September 11 to August 31, but still did not have time to leave before the inevitable happened. 2. Former President Ghani and former members of the government fled the country to Tajikistan. Ghani's relatives (the son flew away on a business jet), some members of parliament and the top of the army fled the country. Earlier, the already former Marshal Dostum fled to Uzbekistan, leaving the cortege and convoy on the bridge near Hairaton (the cortege was subsequently plundered). The former Afghan Defense Minister accused Ghani of treason, collusion with the Taliban and sabotage of the army, calling Ghani a dog and his government a gang. My dear fellow, you yourself were a member of this gang, which also appointed you the Minister of Defense instead of the previous member of the gang. 3. Taking advantage of the fact that the power of the government finally collapsed and mass looting and looting began in the city, the Taliban officially ordered the introduction of militant units into Kabul to restore order. The militants were ordered to shoot robbers and marauders on the spot. Thus, the Taliban did not wait for the completion of the evacuation of the United States. The United States will not be able to save its face in any form; it will have to evacuate from a city that has already been captured by the Taliban. And the Taliban, of course, have the option to give the US additional problems during the evacuation. It is as if you walk up to a person hanging on the roof of the 10th floor and step on their fingers. 4. Panic and crush at the Kabul airport, thousands of people are trying to board a plane from Afghanistan. Some of the Europeans and Americans have not yet been taken out. The airport itself came under fire in the evening. The US contingent is defending the section of the airfield through which US military transport aircraft take off. Washington is threatening to send several thousand Marines from Kuwait to hold the airport during the evacuation. Also, German special forces are urgently transferred to the airport to evacuate the remaining Germans and their accomplices. 5. Although the Taliban have already announced that they control the whole of Afghanistan, this is not entirely true - some parts of the country are still formally under the control of the military and local administrations with whom surrender negotiations are underway. For another 1-2 days, the process of surrender and re-subordination of the new government will go on. It is unlikely to take too long. Almost no one wants to fight, they are tired of it. 6. The new Afghanistan will be formally headed by Mullah Baradar. The one who flew to Moscow for negotiations with Lavrov and in Doha, for negotiations with Pompeo. Karzai and a number of former Afghan officials are simultaneously cosplaying the Doenitz government in Flensburg in May 1945. Most of them will go into political oblivion in the coming days. And this is the best case for them. In the evening, the Taliban announced that there would be no transitional government in Afghanistan (it was supposed to be headed by an announcer from the Voice of America), only and exclusively the power of the Taliban representatives. 7. Russia will not yet recognize the Taliban and will "monitor the situation" for now. There really is nowhere to rush. The Taliban meanwhile guaranteed the security of the Russian and Iranian embassies in Kabul. Also, guarantees were given on the Iranian consulate in Mazar-i-Sharif. I bet that within a year the Taliban will be recognized by at least 30-40 states. So far, the European embassies are being closed and their diplomats are fleeing from Kabul (from among those who didn’t scramble earlier). Some airlines have already announced that they will stop regular flights to Kabul starting Monday. 8. In the American media today is the day of hesitation and genotyping. Dark ghouls like Bolton, Henri-Levy and the like, condemn Biden for repeating the evacuation of Saigon and a terrible blow to the reputation of the United States and democracy around the world, which will have huge consequences for America's image for many years, as well as have a significant impact on domestic politics. America, since Biden actually gives the Trumpists a fat trump card, which will be used already in the next elections to the US Congress, where the pictures of the catastrophe in Afghanistan will be a very eloquent argument in discussions about the achievements of foreign policy. 9. Virtually all of the military property of the Afghan army went to the Taliban army. There are probably more of these weapons than the militants need. Taking into account the fact that some of them were plundered even before the Taliban, when the Taliban began to build their regular army in Afghanistan, at first it will be able to equip up to 200,000 people with tanks, artillery, MLRS, hundreds of AFVs and thousands of carts and other Humvees. Also, the Taliban will have an air force of about 35-40 aircraft and helicopters. With ammunition and ammunition in the coming years, the development of the captured Everest will also not arise, which is important, due to the Taliban's lack of a military industry. 10. Shariah is already being established throughout Afghanistan. Local Taliban governors are actively promoting the coming Islamization and demanding submission from old officials and local residents. Women's rights are already being restricted, but as an indulgence, they will be allowed to study and go to work if they wear the hijab. And it will be possible to go out into the street without a man. For theft, robbery, pornography on the phone, demonstration of obscene images, etc. and the like, threaten with various punishments, up to a noose and execution. They are also approaching the solution of the issue with alcohol and cigarettes, but everything is somewhat more complicated there. |
| Posted by:badanov |