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Science & Technology
Transhumanism, Meritocracy, and National Survival
2021-04-18
[American Greatness] In 1950, the brilliant British mathematician and computer scientist Alan Turing introduced what is now called the Turing Test. It consists of a human interviewing a person and a machine, trying to determine which respondent is the machine. For a machine to pass the Turing Test is considered a significant milestone in the development of artificial intelligence. The test has been administered countless times to date, and while an indisputable machine victory hasn’t happened yet, computer scientists believe it will happen within the next few years.

Alan Turing believed if a machine could pass his test, it was thinking. But most experts do not define thinking and "consciousness" as one and the same. A machine that passes the Turing test is still a machine, an impressive calculator that imitates consciousness, but inside that big calculator, nobody’s home.

That’s hardly the end of the story, of course. In 1988, the theoretical physicist Freeman Dyson published Infinite in All Directions, a wide-ranging discourse on humanity’s role in the universe. In his book, Dyson predicts that genetic engineering will enable manufactured organic minds that are merged with electronic components including AI, but inside their biological mental core, they will be alive and self-aware.

According to futurists ranging from Dyson and Ray Kurzweil to Elon Musk, a millennium from now, if not much, much sooner, only a small fraction of the conscious intelligent beings once known as humans will exist as humanoids we would recognize as ourselves. Others, to present a vivid example, could exist as the conscious brain of a starship, with nerves extending into every system of the craft, interfacing with the minds of similarly cybernetic passengers and crew.

That is the future, and perhaps the not-too-distant future. But what about the next 10 or 20 years? What’s going to happen between now and then? In both bioengineering and cybernetics, the possibilities are mind-boggling, too much to even adequately summarize. Nanobots. Artificial limbs, organs, and nerves. Brain implants.

Credible speculation is limited only by one’s imagination, and it’s happening fast. But what does it mean for society in the short run?

In America, the reality of AI running systems as mundane as a thermostat and as complex as an airliner or a power grid leads to something Victor Davis Hanson alluded to in a recent article in American Greatness, where he wrote, "In today’s age of computer-driven avionics, the prerequisite ability to do math, to know something about navigation, to understand computers, or to have the proper temperament to fly a plane doesn’t really matter."
Posted by:Besoeker

#11  #10 I cut my teeth on Kipling, my dear. And polished them here at Rantburg.

You may talk o’ gin and reefer
When you’re quartered in the eefer,
An’ you’re sent to penny-fights an’ Pruitt-shot it;
But for online dramaturgy
You shall rant on Fair Rantburg-y
An’ you’ll lick the bloomin’ boots of ’im that’s got it.
Posted by: Zenobia Threack6684   2021-04-18 14:04  

#10  I cut my teeth on Kipling, my dear. And polished them here at Rantburg. Not to mention that the internet happily defines a great many things.
Posted by: trailing wife   2021-04-18 13:28  

#9  Aw, TW. I hope you got through the colloquial vernacular.
Posted by: Dron66046   2021-04-18 13:18  

#8  Dron has a book of short stories for sale on Amazon, for those interested in the traditional method of encouraging writers to write more:

Sixshot - Volume 1: Six hollowpoints for the mind
Posted by: trailing wife   2021-04-18 13:09  

#7  Thank you, Warthog and Matt.
Posted by: Dron66046   2021-04-18 13:07  

#6  I suspect the first revolution will be biological. Billionaires will have access to tech that keeps them healthy well into their 100's while everyone else gets sick and dies as per normal. Normally this sort of thing would eventually trickle down to the masses, but I'm guessing not this time. It will effectively divide us as a species.
Posted by: Angstrom   2021-04-18 12:39  

#5  Dron, you've got some serious talent. Well done.
Posted by: Matt   2021-04-18 12:08  

#4   Every happily married couple or well-functioning team of humans is its own intelligence / conscious entity above and beyond its individual members.
Posted by: Bubba Lover of the Faeries8843   2021-04-18 11:58  

#3  Just read the whole thing Dron...nice short story
Posted by: Warthog   2021-04-18 10:58  

#2  Credible speculation is limited only by one’s imagination

And on that note, a free story, for the discerning Rantburgher. Sci-fi, flying lead, and Yog Sothothery at it's worst.

CEREBRUM MACHINAE
Posted by: Dron66046   2021-04-18 06:38  

#1  It is easy to determine whether its a computer or a person unless the computer lies. Simply ask the entity what is the square root of 64.352 divided by 23.22 squared x 12
Posted by: BernardZ   2021-04-18 05:36  

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