...the twenty first century equivalent of bubonic plague, only instead of killing off a third of the population of Europe it kills 3.4 percent of those who notice they have it. It seems to be fond of the elderly, especially Iranian politicians and holy men...hotspot to potential success story, offering a model for developing nations struggling to contain the pandemic.
Authorities have knocked on 47,500 doors since April to measure temperatures and oxygen levels, screened almost 700,000 people in the slum cluster, and set up fever clinics, official data show. Recognizing the need to isolate residents in the tenement where as many as eighty share a toilet, those with symptoms were shifted to nearby schools and sports clubs converted into quarantine centers.
Fresh daily infections are now down to a third compared with early May, half the sick are recovering, and the number of deaths plummeted this month.
The numbers are in stark contrast to the rest of India, whose daily tally of new infected cases has quadrupled since early May. Located near Mumbai’s financial district, Dharavi’s dogged approach to "chase the virus" borrows ideas from clusters such as those in China’s Wuhan or South Korea, and could be a template for emerging markets across the world, from the favelas of Brazil to shanty towns in South Africa.
"It was next to impossible to follow social distancing," said Kiran Dighavkar, assistant commissioner at Mumbai’s municipality, who is in charge of leading the fight in Dharavi. "The only option then was to chase the virus rather than wait for the cases to come. To work proactively, rather than reactively."
Officials were initially worried as positive diagnoses rose, but it meant these people could be quarantined before their symptoms worsened. Dighavkar and his team made it clear that screenings and testing would continue even as the count increased -- their objective was to keep deaths limited.
Testing by the municipality and private clinics has covered the equivalent of about 1.4% of Dharavi’s population compared with 1.2% for Mumbai, according to Bloomberg calculations based on data from various government departments. About 850,000 people reside in the roughly 2.5 square kilometers that comprise Dharavi, allowing for more focused screenings than in the broader city sprawl that’s home to 20 million.
"We were able to isolate people at early stages," Dighavkar said. "Unlike in the rest of Mumbai, where most patients are reaching hospitals at a very late stage."
The strategy has helped reduce mortality and improve recovery. About 50% of Dharavi residents who tested positive eventually recovered, better than Mumbai’s 46% rate. Of the 77 Dharavi Covid-19 deaths, only six have been in June. Fresh infections are down to an average 20 a day from 60 in early May. India, meanwhile, added almost 12,000 cases on June 14.