| Submit your comments on this article | |
| Syria-Lebanon-Iran | |
| How fragile is Iran's regime? | |
| 2020-01-13 | |
h/t Instapundit
Iran’s average monthly after-tax wage was US$318.53, according to the website Numbeo, which tallies thousands of user inputs to arrive at wage and price data. Using Numbeo’s prices I constructed a monthly survival budget in US dollar equivalents: One average salary pays for a small apartment outside the center, utilities, enough calories to keep body and soul together, and bus fare, which is subsidized. Throw in cell phone service, clothing, fruits and vegetables, and one or two meat meals a month, and an Iranian couple will require two average salaries. According to official data, food price inflation was 28% year-on-year as of December. ...Reduced consumption has taken a toll on Iranian family life. According to the Tehran Times, citing Mohammed Javad Mahmoudi, head of the committee on population studies of the Supreme Council of the Cultural Revolution. According to Mahmoudi, the number of babies born in Iran fell by nearly 25% between 2015 and 2019. That short-term decline in absolute numbers of births is unprecedented outside of wartime. The number of Iranian women of child-bearing age increased slightly over the same period, so the collapsing birth rate clearly reflects decisions not to bear children. ...Iranians face desperate conditions, if not actual hunger, due to the effect of economic sanctions. Add to this the long-term effects of mismanagement of the country’s scarce water resources. Afshin Shahi wrote recently in the Journal of Asian Affairs: "Approximately 97% of the country is experiencing drought conditions. Due to gross water mismanagement and its damaging impact on the country, Iran faces the worst situation in the water resources of any industrialized nation. Tens of thousands of villages have been deserted and most of the major urban centers have passed their limits to absorb new rural migrants. Some officials predict that in less than 25 years, 50 million Iranians would be displaced from their current homes because of the pressing ecological conditions." Few countries have endured this level of deprivation outside of full war mobilization, and few have seen such a drastic decline in the number of births. The only modern comparison is Venezuela. Governments with a monopoly of economic resources and the willingness to kill significant numbers of their own citizens can stay in power for quite some time, but there seems no question that Iran’s regime is fragile and prone to destabilization. | |
| Posted by:g(r)omgoru |
| #6 thenallatonce! |
| Posted by: Voldemort Trotsky1976 2020-01-13 22:48 |
| #5 slowly at first... |
| Posted by: Lex 2020-01-13 21:50 |
| #4 As long as they can pay and feed the Basij ... not fragile at all. |
| Posted by: magpie 2020-01-13 21:35 |
| #3 So they are approaching Venezuela and heading for North Korea. If you want your Mullah, you can keep your Mullah. Ball is in your court, people. |
| Posted by: Alaska Paul 2020-01-13 16:02 |
| #2 "All Power comes from the barrel of a gun." Mao Zedong Protestor Dead - 1,500 / "Fragile" Regime Dead - 0 |
| Posted by: Goober Tingle7365 2020-01-13 14:39 |
| #1 old joke what's difference between Iran regime and an egg one has a fragile shell, shallow contents and is very yucky when broken the other makes omelets |
| Posted by: lord garth 2020-01-13 11:49 |