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Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Report: Iran government control over security getting increasingly weak
2018-12-18
[ENGLISH.ALARABIYA.NET] As Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s health waivers, the central government’s control over the periphery appears increasingly weak, a news report has claimed.

According to the National Interest report, there are ample signs that Iranian security forces are beginning to lose their grip. The report cites the history of political protests in the country and also lists the various uprisings over the years.

"Not only do the economic protests which began nearly a year ago continue sporadically, but in recent months, gunnies and turbans have grown increasingly bold along Iran’s periphery," the report says.

Filling the void
The report claims that the vacuum which follows the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei will likely mean a number of simultaneous and indigenous uprisings.

"While the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) will remain on paper a formidable force, with the regime’s leadership vacant and its commander-in-chief functions absent, it will likely be faced with simultaneous indigenous uprisings and insurgencies in Khuzistan, Kurdistan and Balochistan
...the Pak province bordering Kandahar and Uruzgun provinces in Afghanistan and Sistan Baluchistan in Iran. Its native Baloch propulation is being displaced by Pashtuns and Punjabis and they aren't happy about it...
," says the report.

According to the report, it is unclear how effective the IRGC could be under these circumstances. "The US intelligence community has two major blind spots with regard to the IRGC. The first is its factional divisions. The second concerns individual units," says the report.

Posted by:Fred

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