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China-Japan-Koreas
High Levels of Activity at North Korea's Sinpo South Shipyard
2017-08-14
[38North] Recent commercial satellite imagery reveals several developments suggesting that North Korea may be accelerating the development of the sea-based leg of its nuclear forces. Of particular interest in the imagery is that netting or tarps have been suspended above both the fore and aft decks of the SINPO-class submarine obscuring any activity taking place beneath them. This was last done prior to the July 9, 2016 test of the Pukguksong-1, suggesting that the North may be preparing for a new series of "at sea" test launches, has undertaken modifications or upgrades to the submarine’s launch systems, or is developing a more advanced version of the Pukguksong-1. Recent ejection tests of an SLBM also support the assessment that an at-sea SLBM test may be forthcoming.

Additionally, imagery of the Mayang-do Navy Shipyard and Submarine Base shows the same number of ROMEO-class submarines that are usually berthed there, indicating that a recent spike in ROMEO activity in the East Sea (Sea of Japan) was a singular rather than force-wide event.

Commercial satellite imagery from August 7, although partially cloud covered, provides a limited look at the status of the SINPO-class[1] experimental ballistic missile submarine (SSBA), the submersible test stand barge and parts of the Mayang-do Navy Shipyard and Submarine Base.

As noted in our July report, sometime during the last week in May, the SINPO-class submarine was repositioned forward along its dock and the submersible test stand barge was moved to a position aft of the submarine (both had previously been in their former positions since December 9, 2016). Since the July report, netting or tarps have been suspended above both the fore and aft decks of the submarine obscuring any activity taking place beneath them. The only other time this was seen was during May-July 2016 and prior to the failed July 9, 2016 Pukguksong-1 test. It is unclear if this activity is signaling a forthcoming at sea SLBM test, although the recent ejection tests would support such an assessment. No activity is noted on or near the submersible test stand barge in the latest image.
Continues.
Posted by:Anomalous Sources

#6  "Our crews may be tired and tubercular;
Our screws may be more or less circular,
But whenever we cruise
It's a cinch we can't lose,
Cuz -- praise Juche! -- our subs are all nucular."
Posted by: Zenobia Floger6220   2017-08-14 23:51  

#5  I have known experts in that area of the world terrified of small nuke subs from the North slipping into allied ports and detonating a nuke in a suicide attack.

They could take out most ports and naval bases pretty quickly as an opening move.
Posted by: DarthVader   2017-08-14 17:45  

#4  No. Given the submersible barge involved and the previous launch attempts, the NorKs prefer a submerged eject-and-launch, though surface-to-launch is also a possible.
Posted by: Pappy   2017-08-14 12:13  

#3  ROMEO subs
SINPO design

Maybe they're packing the ROMEOs as manual delivery platforms.
Posted by: Skidmark   2017-08-14 11:29  

#2  new screen doors
Posted by: Frank G on the Road   2017-08-14 11:27  

#1  Looks like Fatboy is going balls-to-wall in accelerating his nuke weapons capability.
Posted by: JohnQC   2017-08-14 10:51  

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