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Home Front: Politix
Rasmussen WH Watch: Trump 44%, Clinton 39%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%
2016-09-23
[Rasmussen] With the first presidential debate coming on Monday, Donald Trump has moved to a five-point lead over Hillary Clinton, his biggest advantage since mid-July.

The latest Rasmussen Reports weekly White House Watch telephone and online survey finds Trump with 44% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Clinton’s 39%. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson earns eight percent (8%) of the vote, while Green Party nominee Jill Stein holds steady at two percent (2%). Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Last week, the Republican nominee edged ahead of his Democratic rival 42% to 40% after trailing her by four points the week before. Trump’s total this week ties his highest ever level of support from two months ago.

Trump (76%) and Clinton (75%) earn comparable support from voters in their own party. Fourteen percent (14%) of Democrats prefer Trump, while 10% of Republicans join former President George H.W. Bush in supporting Clinton. But Trump has a commanding 45% to 27% lead this week among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Johnson picks up 16% of unaffiliateds, along with five percent (5%) of GOP voters and three percent (3%) of Democrats. Stein is stuck in low single digits among all three groups.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 20-21, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Posted by:Besoeker

#9  I think a lot of people don't trust the media anymore and are picking up facts bit by bit this go around.

I think Sanders supporters aren't sure how angry they are at Hillary.

I also think a lot of Trump supporters are quiet to avoid having their car keyed.

The combination of the three makes all hte polls volatile.
Posted by: rjschwarz   2016-09-23 16:57  

#8  It's going to be interesting. Personally, I doubt most people spend more than 90 seconds making up their minds in any election. So when I see polls swinging one way or the other by more than a couple of points, I write them off as describing a phenomenon which does not exist in real life.

That said, this year the election is between the least popular presidential candidate in US history, and the second least popular. So who the hell knows? Maybe the major party numbers really will come in this low, but somehow I doubt it.
Posted by: Iblis   2016-09-23 16:15  

#7  Crusader, those folks haven't been Republican for some time, they just learned to talk the talk to get elected. Now they'll join the Dems and maybe pull the loyal opposition back to some sense of loyalty to the country again.
Posted by: rjschwarz   2016-09-23 13:33  

#6  Certainly confirms what many of us have suspected for decades. Hat tip to Trump for flushing the bastids out.
Posted by: Besoeker   2016-09-23 12:46  

#5  10O% of the Beltway Party Republicans join former President George H.W. Bush in supporting Clinton.

FIFY. Glad they're self identifying this time around.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2016-09-23 12:41  

#4  10% of Republicans join former President George H.W. Bush in supporting Clinton. 

You have to wonder what is going on with the other 10%. So they don't mind voting for a criminal for POTUS and killer. They don't mind having a first husband who got impeached running around the WH dicking around. Is there a relationship or connection between the 10% and the Clintons they want to keep hidden. Makes one suspicious. What makes Hillary Clinton so desirable as a POTUS. Can't think of anything. Anybody else got anything?
Posted by: JohnQC   2016-09-23 10:35  

#3  Electronic vote counting. Keep your eyes on what.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2016-09-23 04:58  

#2  Electoral college.

Keep your eyes on that, not the popular vote.
Posted by: no mo uro   2016-09-23 04:57  

#1  "...while 10% of Republicans join former President George H.W. Bush in supporting Clinton."

There should be political consequences for such "support". There is absolutely nothing "Republican" that would support voting for Hillary (unless its *cowardice*, or addiction to *graft*).
Posted by: Crusader   2016-09-23 00:15  

00:00