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| Israel-Palestine-Jordan |
| Why Bibi should level Iran |
| 2015-08-08 |
| Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has watched as Israel, once tied to the American hip, has undergone a surgical separation from the United States by a President whose love for a deal with Iran has overcome any semblance of desire for the survival of Israel. Indeed, because the deal hastens the day when an avowed enemy of Israel and the United States (and a foremost state sponsor of global terror) obtains the bomb, it is a suicide pact. Moreover, if anti-semitism is a hatred for the Jewish race, the Obama deal with Iran is beyond anti-semitic, turning hatred into an actual license to kill the Jewish state. So now that Prime Minister Netanyahu is confronted with an imminent threat to the survival of Israel, what must he do? There is only one real option. He must attack Iran and exert as much force as is necessary to eliminate its nuclear weapon potential, including its ability to manufacture fissile material. That will require a sustained and aggressive war, but it is a war that Israel can win. Indeed, it is quite likely that if Israel acts unilaterally now to destroy the Iranian regime and eliminate its nuclear weapon potential, most if not all neighboring Arab states will avoid any involvement in the conflict (and will secretly celebrate the removal of the radical Islamist regime). Most Middle Eastern countries harbor bitter resentment over Iran's ever present attempts to export its Shi'ite brand of radical Islam to their countries and either terrorize or topple their regimes. They harbor just about as much contempt for Iran's leadership as Israel does. They realize that once Iran gets the bomb, it will be in a position to engage in a form of nuclear blackmail, demanding concessions to its geopolitical ambitions. The prospect forces them into an arms race. They cannot allow Iran to be a nuclear power in the region without acquiring a counterweight in the form of a nuclear weapon. That dynamic, now in play because of the awful Iran nuclear deal, can only be stopped if Israel acts to protect its own interests and strikes Iran now. Iran lacks the wherewithal to withstand a concerted Israeli air and ground assault. Israel has a vastly superior military to Iran's and the means and working intelligence necessary to end the Iranian regime and its nuclear ambitions. Prime Minister Netanyahu is well aware of the timetable and the imminent threat. He likewise knows that now, with the United States having abandoned Israel, there is nothing to lose from striking unilaterally and everything to gain. The calculus on the timing of intervention depends heavily on preparedness and sustainability. The Israeli economy and people are resilient and can be expected to have the wherewithal to sustain a long and protracted war. While Hezbollah, Hamas and other militant groups in Palestine and the region can be expected to attack Israel if it attacks Iran, they are unlikely to cause great loss of life or more than superficial damage, and Israeli defense forces have long prepared the nation for those attacks. Significant gains can come to Israel if it destroys Iran's war making ability. Not only will it stem a source of constant supply of military support and weapons to Hezbollah, Hamas, and other terrorist groups, but it will also increase the likelihood that the Iranian population, long thought to be generally opposed to the wishes of the radical clerics ruling the country, will be inspired to foment a revolution against the revolutionary guard and the theocratic dictators who have for so long controlled their fate. If, instead, a new round of radical Islamists take control of the country and threaten Israel, Israel's first intervention will give it the reach and intelligence capability necessary to destroy any such successor. Finally, a war commenced now by Israel may end within a matter of months in victory but could drag on for years. If it does drag on, a new administration will be in Washington with a President who may reject the policies of the Obama Administration and endeavor to achieve a rapprochement with the Israelis, restoring the historic relationship that President Obama has tried to destroy. |
| Posted by:Blossom Unains5562 |
| #5 @#4: And the downside of the conditional part of that statement is? |
| Posted by: Blossom Unains5562 2015-08-08 15:35 |
| #4 If the jooooooos are hit I can guarantee more than one on Tehran, the Medes & Persians will have been found wanting again. They will cease to exist along with much of Afghanistan |
| Posted by: Shipman 2015-08-08 12:35 |
| #3 ...Keep in mind too that for all the Iranian bellowing about Israel being a 'one-bomb country' - in the sense that it is so small that one good-sized bomb would take it out - PM Netanyahu knows that Iran, like ALL dictatorships, is also a 'one-bomb country." Whack Tehran, and Iran ceases to exist as a functioning entity. What's left would be several loosely connected regions each led by a local strongman who will be sure that Allah has specifically chosen him to lead after the ayatollahs are gone. They'll still be screaming 'Death to Israel' and 'Death to America' - hell, at that point they'd be screaming, 'Death to the Universe', but they'd be going after the mullah next door first. Mike |
| Posted by: Mike Kozlowski 2015-08-08 07:11 |
| #2 Ref #1, The 'defense of Iran' is already in the works. Lifting of sanctions and delivery of gold bullion from SA should allow the sale of Russian S-300 anti-aircraft missiles to Iran to proceed. Other steps, such as prohibiting U.S. Navy carriers from operating in the Persian Gulf will also assist the 'Iran protect' effort. 'Smart diplomacy' and all of that. |
| Posted by: Besoeker 2015-08-08 05:15 |
| #1 The question is: would Obama order US forces to defend Iran? Or, more precisely---since we know Obama, would they obey? |
| Posted by: g(r)omgoru 2015-08-08 05:02 |