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India-Pakistan
Cycle of hope, despair
2015-02-14
Could also be titled "Are Causes Connected to Effects?"
How can they be, when somewhere around the eleventh century AD the ulema decided that Allah recreates the universe each moment, changing it according to his whims? This makes the appearance of effects deriving from causes a snare and a delusion.
[DAWN] ONLY when you are an observer of Pak politics and policies can you oscillate from utter despair to regaining some of your optimism and back again within the space of a week.

Yes, the attack on the Beautiful Downtown Peshawar
...capital of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (formerly known as the North-West Frontier Province), administrative and economic hub for the Federally Administered Tribal Areas of Pakistan. Peshawar is situated near the eastern end of the Khyber Pass, convenient to the Pak-Afghan border. Peshawar has evolved into one of Pakistan's most ethnically and linguistically diverse cities, which means lots of gunfire.
imambargah by hard boyz has pushed into background a faint glimmer of hope that was evidenced earlier in the week and even as the seven-day period was drawing to a close.

Pakistain's relations with Afghanistan, with the election to office of President Ashraf Ghani
...former chancellor of Kabul University, now president of Afghanistan. Before returning to Afghanistan in 2002 he was a scholar of political science and anthropology. He worked at the World Bank working on international development assistance. As Finance Minister of Afghanistan between July 2002 and December 2004, he led Afghanistan's attempted economic recovery until the Karzais stole all the money. ..
, a clean, clear-cut man of merit to replace the master of double-speak Hamid Maybe I'll join the Taliban Karzai
... A former Baltimore restaurateur, now 12th and current President of Afghanistan, displacing the legitimate president Rabbani in December 2004. He was installed as the dominant political figure after the removal of the Taliban regime in late 2001 in a vain attempt to put a Pashtun face on the successor state to the Taliban. After the 2004 presidential election, he was declared president regardless of what the actual vote count was. He won a second, even more dubious, five-year-term after the 2009 presidential election. His grip on reality has been slipping steadily since around 2007, probably from heavy drug use...
whose family reportedly amassed a fortune during his decade-plus in power, have been like a breath of fresh air.

Of course, Hamid Karzai was no more than half the problem. Even if, as the Pak security establishment would have us believe, he was being instigated by India to lash out against Islamabad, he was often reacting to the disastrous policy pursued by GHQ-ISI to try and convert a sovereign western neighbour into a compliant satellite by the use of proxies.

Wherever Pakistain seeks extraordinary influence in the region, it would be foolish to assume India will remain a silent bystander and it hasn't. Add to this Iran's fears and aspirations towards Afghanistan and the recipe for a heady mess seemed ready. This, even when the interests and concerns of bigger powers such as the US, China and Russia have not been taken into account.

The fallout is for all to see. The architects of the policy, which involved fanning flames in Afghanistan, are now wholly preoccupied by trying to rather belatedly firewall Pakistain itself from this raging toxic, ideological storm. And, on any given day, a series of firefighting efforts are seen across the length and breadth of the country.

While it is too soon to reach definitive conclusions, one would be inclined to stick one's neck out and say the situation at least in terms of ties with the western neighbour is improving slowly as Karzai's exit from the scene in Kabul was accompanied by a change of guard in Rawalpindi too with some signs of change in policy, attitudes emerging.

The Nawaz Sharif
... served two non-consecutive terms as prime minister, heads the Pakistain Moslem League (Nawaz). Noted for his spectacular corruption, the 1998 Pak nuclear test, border war with India, and for being tossed by General Musharraf...
-led civilian set-up has often spoken of its desire to have amiable relations with all neighbours and the new military leadership has not undermined the government at least where Afghanistan is concerned. With multiple visits by civilian and significantly different tiers of military and intelligence top guns, bonhomie can be sensed for the first time in many years.
Posted by:Fred

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