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China-Japan-Koreas
China and Philippines: The reasons why a battle for Zhongye (Pag-asa) Island seems unavoidable
2014-01-14
[China Daily Mail] Following the report of China's plans to occupy Zhongye (Pag-asa) Island (Chinese troops to seize Zhongye Island back from the Philippines in 2014), the author, Chan Kai Yee, gives his reasons why it will likely occur.
Other reasons include the likelihood the Champ will do nothing.
Zhongye (Pag-asa) Island, the second largest in the South China Sea's Spratly Islands, has an area of 0.33 square km, and is of great strategic significance for China if it wants to control a vast part of the South China Sea that it claims to be its private lake territorial waters.

As the Island is located roughly in the middle of the area, if China builds an air force and naval base there, it will more easily control the sky and sea in the claimed area.
At 0.33 sq. km., it's going to be a small base...
Taiping Island, the largest island there with a larger area, is a better choice. As it is controlled by Taiwan and there has so far been no prospects yet of reunification between mainland China and Taiwan, seizing Zhongye Island from the Philippines is China's top priority in the South China Sea.
Two birds, one stone.
The world's largest aircraft carrier, the Ford costs $12.8 billion to build but has only a deck area of 0.026 square km. An air base established on Zhongye Island will be a dozen times larger and cost much less, but it is unsinkable and has a very long service life.
Rep. Hank 'Guam' Johnson, a Georgia Democrat thinks otherwise.
The Ford also, um, moves around...
The Philippines might have benefited greatly if the US had built an air base there to facilitate the US pivot to Asia and to counter China, but it is a pity that the Philippines drove the US away long ago.
Actions, they have consequences.
Posted by:Besoeker

#3  More this AM ... ...

* BIGNEWSNETWORK > [InfoWars] CHINA THREATENS WAR AGZ PHILIPPINES WHILE US NEOCONS PUSH WAR IN MIDEAST.

* JAPAN TIMES > OPINION: JAPAN'S [+ PHIL'S]
"OBAMA PROBLEM".

* TOPIX > [Korea Herald] US MILITARY REINFORCEMENTS TARGET NORTH KOREA, CHINA.

* SAME > [Pravda] RUSSIA IN DIRE NEED OF [overseas = OTH?] MILITARY BASES.

"OVERSEAS BASES" = the underlying or covert crux of "CHINA-VS-JAPAN/PHIL/EVERYBODY" in East Asia, to include as per India + Inidan Ocean Region.

Perhaps the US = USDOD can allow RusNav + JMSDF warships to be supplied andor repaired here in GUAM, CNMI, as one way to deter China + PLA - Japan is already setting up a detachment on CNMI's Tinian?

Iff the people of Guam desire to stay wid America as I'm often told, then by definition its in their interest to improve + entrench its political relationship/status wid the US, + ensure that the US stays in WESTPAC despite all threats or comers.

Lest we fergit, ITS NO LONGER US-VS-CHINA ONLY NOW IN ASIA-PACIFIC, BUT THE US-VS-CHINA-VS-NUCLEAR-ISLAM. RIGHT BEHIND "POST-US" WANNABE CHINA WILL BE OWG CALIPHATE-HAPPY NUCLEAR ISLAM = MUSLIMS.

* INDIAN DEFENCE FORUM > TAIWAN'S SUB-LAUNCHED HARPOONS POSES NEW CHALLENGE TO CHINA'S INVASION PLANS.

Good for Taiwan, but China's real threat stems from its FIRST-STRIKE AIRBORNE, SPECOPS FORCES.

Lest we fergit, CHINA = has times stated that HIGH OR EXCESSIVE PLA COMBAT CASUALTIES IS NOT A MAJOR/DECISIVE [important] FACTOR TO THEM - WHAT MATTERS IS THAT TAIWAN IS CONQUERED.

"LIVES-FOR-VICTORY/TIME".

* SAME > [Want China Times = Kyodo News] IZUMO[JSMDF DDH = Helo Destroyer] COULD SERVE AS JAPAN'S COMMAND CENTER IN DIAOYUTAI CONFLICT, to include reconfiguration to handle Japan's future F-35's.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2014-01-14 21:43  

#2  IMO these disputes over tiny islands or islets is just a cover or catalysts for a larger geopol agenda.

In the East China Sea, I have argued that China's true focii in its dispute wid Japan over the Senkakus/Diaoyus is ITS FINAL RECOVERY + CONTROL OF TAIWAN FROM THE US- the Senkakus/Diaoyus + Okinawa, etc. ECS islands are intended to cover the Air-Sea-Space approaches to + from China's future PLA Milbases there.

In the South China Sea [SCS], China desires to ...
> Control both or all sides of trade flowing through the Straits of Malaccas, of which the SCS is the head [entrance].
> It is a fallacy as per alleged PHIL beliefs that China + PLA will NOT invade any PHIL territories. CHINA NEEDS TO DETER OR PREVENT ANY POTENT US OR US-LED, ANTI-CHINA MIL INTERVENTION FORCE [read, USN CVBGS, EBGS + USAF] FROM ARRIVING IN-THEATER(S) AMAP ASAP AFAP ALAP.
THIS MEANS CHINA MUST ELIMINATE SUBIC + CLARK AS FLANKING THREATS, + INSTALL LR ANTI-NAVAL ASBM, ANTI-AIR ASSETS IN THE PHIL, ESPEC IN THE NORTHERN PHILIPINES WHICH IS CLOSEST TO TAIWAN + ECS + SCS.

China is suppose building a ANTI-USN "SEA WALL" OF CHINA-BASED LR ASBMS, AIRPOWER, + OTHER TO DEFEND ITS INTERESTS IN NE ASIA - IFF CHINA CAN EXTENDS ITS "SEA WALL" UNTO THE RYUKYUS + NRTHERN PHIL, SO MUCH THE BETTER TO DETER OR DEFEAT US INTERVENTION.

Ultimately, What is happening is US-VS-CHINA
"GREAT POWER" GEOPOLITICS INCLUD OWG GLOBALISM, wid contemporary, "post-US" wannabe, "Mahanist" modern Commie China attempting to fulfill its perceived Manifest Destiny + carve out "spheres of influence" at the expence of the Pert, MSM-Net verified "weak/declining" USA. IT IS ALSO THE AGE OF OWG GLOBALISM WHERE CHINA IS JUST ANOTHER POTEN OWG "CO-SUPERPOWER" INTENDED BY GLOBALISTS TO HEAD PROPOSED "ASIAN/EAST ASIAN UNION",
"EURASIAN UNION", + SIMILAR.

Be it the disputed Senkakus/Diaoyus or Zhongye/Pagasa, it comes down to GREAT POWER "A2/AREA-DENIAL" [anti-access, area- denial].

Weeelll, China can't achieve the above unless US Milbases are either peacefully = diplomatically removed, or in altern destroyed in war. POLITICAL DIALECTICISM = CHINA WILL LIKELY ATTEMPT TO DO BOTH OR ALL TO ACHIEVE ITS GOALS. DITTO AS PER IRAN OR ANY OTHER GEOPOL WANNABE, IN HISTOIRE" OR NOW.

China sees US Milbases all around its coasts, but no PLA Milbases near US Coasts - THE US-VS-CHINA "STATUS QUO" IN ASIA-PACIFIC M-U-S-T CHANGE IFF CHINA + GLOBIES ARE TO ACHIEVE THEIR AGENDAS, ALA SO-CALLED US-CHINA "SHARING THE PACIFIC".

Again, in this age of OWG Globalism China's greatest single ace or advantage over the US is alleged Marxist-Anarchist-Globalist POTUS OBAMA, AKA THE MAN = MIGHTY "WHATS A RED LINE(S)?/WHOSE RED LINE IS THAT - OOOPPS, ITS MINE!?" AMERICAN/
AMERIKAN LEADER IN CHARGE OF AMERICA'S MILITARY RESPONSE ANDOR COUNTER-RESPONSE - OR LACK THEREOF - TO ANYTHING CHINA, ETAL. MILPOL DOES IN EAST ASIA-PACIFIC OR AROUND THE WORLD.

STAY ARMED, PRAY HARD + KEEP YOUR FINGERS CROSSED.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2014-01-14 19:39  

#1   Hopefully, administration defense cutbacks will not impact our response time.
Posted by: Besoeker   2014-01-14 11:14  

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