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Israel-Palestine-Jordan
All-Out Middle East War As Good As It Gets
2012-09-19
Red meat analysis from Spengler with his own special pepper rub, seared and sizzling straight off the grill. Yum!
If a contrarian thought might be permitted, consider the possibility that all-out regional war is the optimal outcome for American interests. An Israeli strike on Iran that achieved even limited success - a two-year delay in Iran's nuclear weapons development - would arrest America's precipitous decline as a superpower.

Absent an Israeli strike, America faces:

A nuclear-armed Iran;
Iraq's continued drift towards alliance with Iran;
An overtly hostile regime in Egypt, where the Muslim Brotherhood government will lean on jihadist elements to divert attention from the country's economic collapse;
An Egyptian war with Libya for oil and with Sudan for water;
A radical Sunni regime controlling most of Syria, facing off an Iran-allied Alawistan ensconced in the coastal mountains;
A de facto or de jure Muslim Brotherhood takeover of the Kingdom of Jordan;
A campaign of subversion against the Saudi monarchy by Iran through Shi'ites in Eastern Province and by the Muslim Brotherhood internally;
A weakened and perhaps imploding Turkey struggling with its Kurdish population and the emergence of Syrian Kurds as a wild card;
A Taliban-dominated Afghanistan; and
Radicalized Islamic regimes in Libya and Tunisia.

...There is no reason to expect most of the Muslim countries to go quietly into irreversible decline. All-out regional war is the likely outcome sooner or later. We might as well get on with it.
Posted by:

#18  Anyone else notice that the Asia Times comments on this article are almost unanimous in their rabid anti-semitism?
Posted by: Scooter McGruder   2012-09-19 19:49  

#17  We fergot our ASYMMETRIC, REGIONAL + GLOBAL
"NUCLEAR TERRORISM" [Nuke-WMDS] this AM, didn't we???

* FYI DEFENCE.PK/FORUMS > LASHKAR-E-TOIBA TRAINING CHECHEN FIGHTERS FOR INTERNATIONAL TERROR OPERATIONS.

The Chechens are coming, the Chechens are coming.

and

* DEFENCE FORUM INDIA > INDIAN MUJAHIDEEN IN RECRUITMENT SPREE.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2012-09-19 19:37  

#16  It is the second best they wanted to film a new television series called Flip That Country since the housing market bust which was all fraud by the way they couldn't get Hildi and Jen to do the shows though! So all out slaughter will have to do!
Posted by: Angiting Snore1647   2012-09-19 17:53  

#15  Bandar sips tea with Allen.
Posted by: Secret Asian Man   2012-09-19 17:20  

#14  No! go back and do it again!
This time with serpentine motion!
Posted by: Shipman   2012-09-19 17:12  

#13  Yes indeed. "Not getting killed, that's the key to the benifit programme".

Sepentine, Bandar! Serpentine!
Posted by: Shinter Javirong9154   2012-09-19 14:28  

#12  An Egyptian war with Libya for oil

I think this is pretty likely, Egypt is dirt poor and will get poorer, but it does have a decent military, which Libya doesn't at the moment. Egypt could annex the southern oilfields in a week.

You don't know how lucky you are, boy...
Back! In the U.A.R.!
Posted by: Shinter Javirong9154   2012-09-19 14:26  

#11  Yes indeed. "Not getting killed, that's the key to the benifit programme".
Posted by: Besoeker   2012-09-19 12:50  

#10  Either Bandar has left the country to take up surfing on some remote beaches ... or as you say (Besoeker) he has failed to collect the company benefits.
Posted by: Raider   2012-09-19 11:14  

#9  Speaking of those folks AzCat, has anyone heard anything about our friend Prince Bandar ?
Posted by: Besoeker   2012-09-19 10:14  

#8  The Soodies appear to be pumping oil rather vigorously of late.

They probably need the cash. After all they're going to have to buy a large slice of Manhattan to house those thousands of princes & princesses that will be bugging out just as the shooting starts.
Posted by: AzCat   2012-09-19 10:12  

#7  A strike by Israel would likely draw the U.S. into the fray even if "O" does not want to protect the Straits of Hormuz. Iran said it would attack us and our interests if Israel attacks their nuke facilities. I'd worry that Obama might attack Israeli forces in an attempt to stop an attack on Iran.
Posted by: JohnQC   2012-09-19 09:52  

#6  B. My understanding is that Christianity is the fastest growing religion in Africa. Though there is no doubt that radical muzzies are working with radical ANCers.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2012-09-19 09:46  

#5  I don't see Turkey imploding, I see Turkey taking advantage of the situation to gob-smack its Kurds, hold down the Syrian Kurds, and maybe even reestablish some de-facto hegemony over northern Syria.

Also recall that Algeria is none too stable and that radical elements are just barely controlled in Morocco.
Posted by: Steve White   2012-09-19 08:56  

#4  The Soodies appear to be pumping oil rather vigorously of late. Appears to be no comment or challenge from OPEC.
Posted by: Besoeker   2012-09-19 04:02  

#3  An Egyptian war with Libya for oil

I think this is pretty likely, Egypt is dirt poor and will get poorer, but it does have a decent military, which Libya doesn't at the moment. Egypt could annex the southern oilfields in a week.
Posted by: phil_b   2012-09-19 03:46  

#2  Islam is the fastest growing religion on the continent of Africa. Radical Islamic groups have been working quietly with the African National Congress (ANC) for decades. When you see the term "Iraeli Apartheid" that is where it originates.
Posted by: Besoeker   2012-09-19 03:46  

#1  I've been wondering the same thing....
Except I don't see Obama protecting the strait of Hormuz.
Posted by: Water Modem   2012-09-19 02:59  

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