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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Russia Plans to Flatten Georgia if Israel Attacks Iran
2012-04-12
TEHRAN (FNA)- Russia is building up forces in the Caucasus region, preparing to protect its interests in case Israel attacks Iran with the help of the United States, the western media said.

GenerationalDynamics.com said the Russian military believes that when the US goes to war with Iran, it may deploy forces in friendly Georgia and warships in the Caspian Sea with the possible help of Azerbaijan.

Hence, Russia is deploying guided anti-ship missiles on the Caspian shore in preparation, and is forming an offensive spearhead force, heavily armed with modern long-range weapons, it added.

In the case of an Iranian war, it's expected that the Russian spearhead will be ordered to strike south to prevent the presumed deployment of US bases in the region, to link up with the troops in Armenia, and take over the South Caucasus energy corridor along which Azeri, Turkmen and, other Caspian natural gas and oil may reach European markets, the website added.

By one swift military strike Russia may ensure control of all the Caucasus and the Caspian states, for the first time since the Soviet Union dissolved, it said.
Posted by:Chique Unock2033

#16  Take over Georgia Black Sea coast, blocking route for Azerbaijan and other Caspian states oil and gas to Western markets would be in both Russia and Iran's interest.
Posted by: phil_b   2012-04-12 19:45  

#15  Actually .. if you looked at the history of Israeli nukes... they always made sure Moscow and the dacha regions were within target range. So much so that some arguments state that the USSR was the only reason Israel developed nukes.

Now.. if the armies of the USSR Russia are massing in Armenia that's much closer than Moscow and must be starting to look pretty tasty to Israel's strategic war planners...
Posted by: Water Modem   2012-04-12 17:57  

#14  Simple answer.

If we can't stop Iran from getting nukes, you can't stop us from giving Georgia nukes.

(push your chips to the center of the table)
Posted by: flash91   2012-04-12 17:06  

#13  More
Posted by: newc   2012-04-12 15:55  

#12  "I would expect them to go into northern Kazakhstan or eastern Ukraine where large numbers of ethnic Russians still live."

They don't have to. Russia just hands out passports there.
Posted by: newc   2012-04-12 12:05  

#11  :-)
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2012-04-12 11:34  

#10  Question? If both Iran and China are posing for World Power, will there be an Iran vs China conflict?
Posted by: Sherry   2012-04-12 11:12  

#9  This article comes from Iran. Do you think they have a motive for predicting dire consequences for an attack on Iran?

The Russians will do what is good for Russia, not for anybody else, and flattening Georgia will not help Russia. Russia invaded Georgia to gain territory with large ethnic Russian populations. Mission accomplished. Going any further will not gain them anything except enemies.

I would expect them to go into northern Kazakhstan or eastern Ukraine where large numbers of ethnic Russians still live.
Posted by: Frozen Al   2012-04-12 09:47  

#8  Okay, I have no idea how/why my nym showed up as uite above, but that was me FWIW.

I read your comment to suggest that Russian plans were in response to potential Israeli attacks per se. My response is that it is quite likely that this would be true only in a superficial sense, i.e. insofar as an attack on Iran provides a pretext for doing what they want to do to advance their own goals.
Posted by: lotp   2012-04-12 09:40  

#7  ..and the Poles go nuclear for their own defense.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2012-04-12 09:15  

#6  How does that contradicts what I said, uite?
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2012-04-12 09:11  

#5  Maybe, g(r)omgoru, but Russia's been wanting to reassert control of Georgia for some time now quite apart from Israeli concerns. Among other things, Georgia currently hosts some counterWMD activities in collaboration with the US, which Russians like Putin see as an infringement on their desired sphere of influence.
Posted by: uite    2012-04-12 08:37  

#4  Some people will look for an excuse to try and stop Israel defending self anywhere.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2012-04-12 01:58  

#3  Wow.... That could start an n-way world war.
Posted by: Water Modem   2012-04-12 01:45  

#2  Dey N-O-T be waiting until after 2050, 2080, 2100, or 2200.

D *** NG IT, SONG > "DEY WANT IT ALL, DEY WANT IT ALL, DEY WANT IT ALL, + DEY WANT IT NOW"!

[QUEEN > "WE WILL ROCK YOU" here].
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2012-04-12 00:48  

#1  "By one swift strike ... may ensure control of ALL ..." > Methinks Beijing = Rising China is thinking the same thingy over in East-Asia + Pacific side - iff it can't achieve "sole" andor "sovereign" Base Rights diplomatically for the PLA vee Taiwan + the "First Island Chain", it will do so FORCIBLY.

Said it before - China sees itself as the World's ONE-N-ONLY Successor to the "weak/declining" superpower USA, Not unlike many other wannabes in World Histoire', IT WANTS ITS POWER + INFLUENCE ASAP AMAP ALAP, + ITS NOT TAKING "NO" FOR AN ANSWER.

Ditto Neo-Persian, OWG Caliphate, + Nuke-happy Rising Iran; ditto ditto again as per Radical Islam = MilTerrs/NGOS.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2012-04-12 00:43  

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