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Israel-Palestine-Jordan
Iranian-Israel battle of wits over Iron Dome will determine Gaza ceasefire
2012-03-12
Yesterday we discussed the cost of Gaza's rockets and missiles vs. Israel's cost for the Iron Dome response. In this article Debka addresses the benefits to Israel vs. the non-monetary cost to Hamas, et al.
The Iron Dome system designed by Israeli engineers to intercept the short-range Paleostinian missiles battering Israel from the Gazoo Strip is turning out surprisingly to be a wonder weapon.

The three batteries posted in Beersheba, Ashdod and Ashkelon have all but eliminated the number of Grad missiles getting through for direct hits and so far saved their populations from fatal casualties since Jihad Islami started shooting missiles at a dozen Israeli towns and villages Friday, March 9.

DEBKAfile's military and intelligence sources report that top Iranian and Hizballah missile experts posted at Hamas, always the voice of sweet reason, and Jihad Islami's military headquarters in Gazoo went to work Sunday to puzzle out counter-measures for disarming the novel interceptor. For the Paleostinian Jihad's operation to be counted a success, its mobile multiple Grad launchers must get past Iron Dome and bring devastation and multiple fatalities to an important town, like one of the three shielded by the interceptor.

In the last 24 hours, Iron has intercepted an estimated 40 missiles aimed from the Gazoo Strip at major towns. In Beersheba, Iron Dome missed three. Two hit buildings including an empty school and damaged cars but, aside from shock victims, caused no casualties.

For the Paleostinian Jihad's operation to be counted a success, its mobile multiple Grad launchers must get past Iron Dome and bring devastation and multiple fatalities to an important town, like one of the three shielded by the interceptor
Western intelligence sources watching the asymmetric duel between the Paleostinian Grads and Israel's Iron Dome note that it is incumbent on Iran and Hizballah to find an answer to the Israel interceptor - else the short-range, surface-to-surface missile programmed as the primary weapon of a second strike capacity against Israel after an attack on Iran's nuclear sites, loses its punch.

It is true that the Fajr 5 missile in Hamas hands is more advanced that the weapons used in the current campaign, armed with advanced guidance systems and able to launch from a pit  multiple missiles which automatically home in on target.

But Hamas has been very reluctant to join the missile offensive launched by Jihad Islami and the Popular Resistance Committees, after the latter's chief was killed by a targeted Israeli air strike, and shown very little  enthusiasm for being co-opted to the Israeli-Iranian conflict as part of a potential two-front, pro-Tehran offensive to be launched from Leb and Gazoo against the Jewish state.

It is therefore doubly urgent for Iranian and Hizballah missile experts to winkle out an electronic gap in the Iron Dome's tracking and launching systems, while Israeli military engineers are working just as hard to perfect their weapon and introduce surprise innovations to slow the other side down. Col. Zvi Haimovich, head of the IAF missile interception unit, said Sunday: "We must close the last gap between "a 90 percent and a perfect performance."

Meanwhile,
...back at the precinct house, Sergeant Maloney wasn't buying it. It was just too pat. It smelled phony...
the batteries are being shifted at speed from place to place to make it harder for the missile launchers to home in on unprotected areas outside Iron Dome's shield.

The ability of the Iranian and Hizballah experts to win their battle of minds with their Israeli antagonists faces a critical test Sunday night and Monday. Its outcome will show up in the performance of Jihad Islami missile strikes in the next 24 hours. It will also determine the duration of the current Paleostinian-Israeli clash.

Their failure to outwit the Iron Dome ought to promote the chances of American and Egyptian mediators achieving a Gazoo soon and without conditions.

Iron Dome has unexpectedly become a key strategic X in the equation between Israel and its adversaries. Its defense ministry is now pushing hard for the production of at least another half a dozen batteries to seal off the rest of the population in range of missiles from Gazoo.
Posted by:

#12  I wasn't talking about doing nothing.

I was talking about being able to shoot the damn things down with guns.
Posted by: Thing From Snowy Mountain   2012-03-12 22:34  

#11  Deadeye has it right. This is a useful military system that changes the terms of the battle between the paleos and Israel.

Being able to shoot these things down will change the game. The paleos have spent years amassing a vast quantity of their cheapo rockets, and a small inventory of good ones, which cost quite a bit.

So by reliably shooting these things down, they are causing a strategic rethink about how to engage with the Israelis.

Further, it shows that Israel is capable, creative and dangerous. As a result the paleos will be demoralized and the Iranians afraid.

Great investment.
Posted by: rammer   2012-03-12 18:35  

#10  A 9mm round costs about $0.50 and bulletproof vest costs about $500.00. That's a 1000:1 cost ratio which is even worse than $100,000/$150 (667:1).

Bulletproof vests are therefore overrated and we need to stop purchasing them.
Unless you think a police officer's life is worth more than $500.

Me thinks your cost analysis is flawed.
Posted by: Deadeye Sinatra9606   2012-03-12 16:11  

#9  Skyguard was the right decision not Iron Dome

Do you mean the radar-guided 35mm gun system?
Posted by: Thing From Snowy Mountain   2012-03-12 12:43  

#8  Same thing, Charles.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2012-03-12 12:28  

#7  How much does it cost to shell the Gazoo Strip into rubble? Then send in the D9's and scrape it into piles!
Posted by: Gerthudion Sproing9775   2012-03-12 11:49  

#6  Or time until the rest of the world becomes willing to look the other way while the Arabs get obliterated. It's starting to get there. Might see it in our lifetimes.
Posted by: Charles   2012-03-12 11:20  

#5  Iron Dome buys time. That's that all Israeli governments been doing since 1948---buying time. Time until Eurabia collapses.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2012-03-12 09:18  

#4  Bernard is absolutely right.
The Iron Dome is a stupid result of an internal
fight between Israerl weapons Developing conglomerates for the R&d and production moneys and lucrative jobs for personnel.
It is not possible to sustain the cost balance of this system for long.
The real solution is to put 12 batteries of 155mm Howitzers and fire 1000 shells indiscriminately at Gazan civil population for each rocket fired into Israel.
It is a cheap solution that will guarantee that after a few hundred gazooans dye there would bwe a deadly silence on the gazoo border.

The only real problem is that Israeli leaders are cowards that are afraid of "international laws" being dumped on their heads by the Euro-Eunuchs.

You cannot establish fear on the other side without proper retaliation.
Defense only will not help, Surgical hits of ammo depots will not help, only the death of 90% the Hamas leadership will be a proper hint that a cese fire should be quickly declared.
Posted by: Elder of Zion   2012-03-12 08:45  

#3  Skyguard was the right decision not Iron Dome
Posted by: BernardZ   2012-03-12 08:02  

#2  What's a life worth?

What's the public perception that the government is doing something to protect people, and therefore people should stand in there, worth?

Though I do look forward to 'Silver Dome', in which the Israeli interceptor gently guides the Grad rocket back to its starting point.
Posted by: Steve White   2012-03-12 07:37  

#1  The guy does not know what he is talking about.

Iron Dome is overrated. Each interception costs around $100,000 as it fires two rockets each about $50,000. So that is $100,000 a missile while a Qassam rocket costs about $150 to produce, an Iranian missile, I am not sure but nothing like these costs. Plus each battery costs about $500,000 and only covers a small area so you need a lot of them.

Recently, they fired at Be'er Sheva a volley of seven rockets almost simultaneously. Seven rockets costed Hamas maybe a $1,000. Six that Iron Dome shot down costed $600,000 to shoot down. The one got through killed one Israeli, wounded eight and caused several hundred thousand dollars in property damage.

It should be mentioned here that Hezbullah has much better technology and that iron dome does not work within seven kilometres from the border, so there are plenty of targets it cannot help.

It is no miracle weapon.
Posted by: BernardZ   2012-03-12 06:51  

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