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Israel-Palestine-Jordan
Logistics of an Israeli Strike on Iran
2012-03-02
A taste:
Hans Rühle was one of the toughest and most perspicacious analysts in those heady days [of the Cold War]. Today he evaluates Israel's capacity to knock out Iran's nuclear program in an essay in the German conservative daily Die Welt. It is worth reading (for non-German speakers, there's Google Translate).

Rühle is highly confident that Israel could knock out Iran's nuclear program for a decade or more with about 25 of its 87 F-15 fighter-bombers and a smaller number of its F-16s. Each of the F-15s would carry two of the GBU-28 bunker busters, with the F-16s armed with smaller bombs. 

Most importantly, Rühle believes that it would take Iran a decade to restore its capabilities -- with the exception of Isfahan -- unless special forces could inflict more damage from the ground than was possible from the air. There are risks, of course: the Russians might have secretly given Iran more advanced surface-to-air missiles; refueling might be interdicted along a route that overflies potentially hostile countries; and Iran's proxies (Syria, Hizbollah, Hamas) might retaliate. Nonetheless, he concludes that Israel could lastingly disrupt Iran's nuclear program.
Posted by:trailing wife

#3  Mad Iranian mullahs with nukes will pose a far greater threat to American interests than whatever threat the mullahs pose or can deliver now. Just need to keep bringing that up.
Posted by: Anguper Hupomosing9418   2012-03-02 21:03  

#2  Can't happen with the son of a muslim spouse and child abandoner in the White House.

Posted by: Don Vito Slolutle6982   2012-03-02 19:53  

#1  Nice - but the prob isn't the level of Israel's damage, but Iran's Regional, International response espec vee Proxy Terror.

* E.g. see DEFENCE.PK/FORUMS > US WARNS [Israel] AGZ MILITARY ACTION TOWARD IRAN, i.e. may foster "greater instability" that could threaten the safety + security of Americans + Amer Interests in the ME e.g. AFRAG = Afghanistan-Irag.

WH Spox Jay Carney.

* TOPIX/WORLD NEWS > WHITE HOUSE FEARS [post-Attack]IRAN WILL TARGET AMERICANS.

ISRAEL has said it - the time to attack + invade Iran is NOW. In near-time, Iran is likely to have not only reliable indigenous NucBombs but also the LRBMS, etc. to deliver them, in addition to other Strategic-Tactical Weapon techs - this will cause or induce Iran's [post-Arab Spring = post-Islamist] Sunni competitors to also go Nuclear + dev potent Nuke-WMD Arsenals of their own. MANY SHIA OR SUNNI ISLAMISTS MAY HATE ONE ANOTHER, BUT THEY ALSO HATE ISRAEL AS WELL AS ANY + ALL NON-MUSLIMS.

* FYI DEFENCE.PK/FORUMS > PAKISTAN PROPOSES TO CREAT A MILITARY BLOC OF ISLAMIC STATES.

Islamic NATO = Warsaw Pact?

* SAME > [Six ea. SUNNI] IRAQI MILITARY GROUPS TO KEEP FIGHTING AFTER US PULLOUT.

ARTIC = "War of the SUNNIS VS. SHIAS is a RELIGIOUS WAR, + HOLY WAR OF FAITH".
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2012-03-02 19:31  

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