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China-Japan-Koreas
Politics and war considerations between the Koreas
2010-11-24
A bunch of interesting tidbits.
Posted by:gorb

#3  Thanks, anon1. :-)

Maybe China would stay on the sidelines if there were some understanding, on both sides, of acceptable behavior in the event of having to take out Nork.
Posted by: gorb   2010-11-24 22:20  

#2  and more good points from yesterday (comments closed there though) from you Gorb.

Really got me thinking: possibly this is right - that it may be the lack of a red light rather than a pre-planned green light from Beijing.

I like this too:

"That said, if this is all about a successful power shift to Junior, I guess what we do could very well have influence on who assumes power after Kimmie dies. Do we want Junior in power? Do we want the military in power? Who else might assume power? Who would be more likely to play nice with the neighbors and not push Japan and the South into nuclearizing?"

Very important point. I guess how we the West respond now really matters. We can push internal workings in NK. But the big question is who do we want there?

The Kimmie family dynasty is just a figurehead for the military Junta. does it matter that they are there personally or not? The ruling elites will throw up another hated despot with the same policies.

But is there any getting rid of them? Or is there a difference between potential despots?

very good points.

perhaps war can break out there at any moment - but i really hope not because it could so quickly escalate to world war

US would have to get involved, so would we (Australia will ALWAYS go into war beside the US, no matter what). Then China will go to bat for the Norks because they don't want a unified Korea with US bases on their southern border....

we could be all dooooomed
Posted by: anon1   2010-11-24 18:27  

#1  really interesting article, Gorb. Brings home the fragility of Seoul.
Posted by: anon1   2010-11-24 18:18  

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