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Home Front: Politix
QDR Likely Kills Two Carriers, EFV
2009-12-10
UPDATED: JSF Cut About 100 Planes, One Year Added to Schedule

Word on Capitol Hill is that the Quadrennial Defense Review should result in the demise of two Navy car­rier groups and the MarinesÂ’ Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle. On top of that, the Joint Strike Fighter pro­gram is likely to lose a so-​​far uncer­tain num­ber of planes and the Air Force looks to lose two air wings.

Folks on the Hill are watch­ing the car­rier cuts par­tic­u­larly closely. They were will­ing to accept the tem­po­rary loss of one car­rier but two groups may just be too much for law­mak­ers to swal­low though it would con­ve­niently answer the hot debate about whether the Navy faces a fighter gap.

“Even if they cut two car­rier strike groups (which will be an uphill bat­tle for DOD), they still face a sig­nif­i­cant USN fighter gap,” said a con­gres­sional aide fol­low­ing this. “The Navy seems to rec­og­nize this, but every­thing we’ve heard thus far from OSD seems to indi­cate that they’d rather try funny math then address a clear gap.”

The 2010 defense autho­riza­tion report noted care­fully that Congress was will­ing to accept the “tem­po­rary reduc­tion in min­i­mum num­ber of oper­a­tional air­craft car­ri­ers” from 11 to 10 until CVN 78 is com­mis­sioned in 2015. The report also noted that “the Navy has made a long-​​term com­mit­ment to field 11 air­craft car­ri­ers out­fit­ted with 10 car­rier air wings com­posed of 44 strike-​​fighters in each wing.” Congress, the reportÂ’s authors said, is “very con­cerned” about “cur­rent and fore­casted short­falls in the strike-​​fighter inven­tory.” Given the totemic nature of car­ri­ers for the Navy and the num­bers of jobs and the money at stake for mem­bers of Congress, a bat­tle royal over plans to per­ma­nently reduce the fleet by two car­rier groups seems assured.

On the Joint Strike Fighter, one con­gres­sional aide said a cut to the F-35’s over­all num­bers would not be sur­pris­ing given the program’s ris­ing costs and the tight­ened bud­get sit­u­a­tion the coun­try faces for 2011. And now we have some detail about just how big those cuts may be, Our col­leagues at Inside Defense are report­ing that a draft Pentagon direc­tive would result in extend­ing, “devel­op­ment by at least a year, reduce pro­duc­tion by approx­i­mately 100 air­craft and require the addi­tion of bil­lions of dol­lars to the effort through 2015.”

The Marines are unlikely to sit still for the EFV kill. Reports are that Marine Commandant Gen. James Conway will come out swing­ing to pre­serve the abil­ity to kick down the door and ensure forcible entry from the sea. Jones made his basic posi­tion on the problem-​​plagued EFV dur­ing a May speech at CSIS.
Posted by:Hupereth Glack5732

#12  Not really useful for close-in air support.
Posted by: Pappy   2009-12-10 22:29  

#11  That's why we'll be investing a lot in long range UAVs with the money we get by not building any new targets CSGs.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2009-12-10 20:38  

#10  Only if you never expect to project power ashore NS. Subs run out of missiles fairly quickly when using conventional warheads rather than nucs.
Posted by: tipover   2009-12-10 18:24  

#9  We can keep the seas open more effectively for less money by using weapons systems far less costly than a CSG. Like a lot more submarines.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2009-12-10 14:27  

#8  "But reducing the USN isn't the answer because it's them who keep the seas open for American trade."

Actually, it is the answer, gromky.

For the clowns in the White House (and the DemoncRat Con Regress).

For just the reason you stated.
Posted by: Barbara Skolaut   2009-12-10 14:13  

#7  Well, fewer carriers is good because they are just hugely expensive targets in this age of modern supersonic antiship missiles. But reducing the USN isn't the answer because it's them who keep the seas open for American trade.
Posted by: gromky   2009-12-10 14:05  

#6  UCAVs. We're accelerating delivery by outsourcing the programming to TatvaSoft.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2009-12-10 13:41  

#5  P-35's then?
Posted by: Besoeker   2009-12-10 13:41  

#4  So we won't buy more F-22s because they're too expensive and buy F-35s instead.

Now F-35s are too expensive. What do we do to ensure air supremacy in the future?
Posted by: Steve White   2009-12-10 13:37  

#3  Even if they only cut carriers and carrier groups from 11 to 10, we're still at only 9 carriers, because several of our carriers need to refuel. With nuclear powered ships, refueling is a year long operation and is combined with a yard stay to update the ship. The plan is to rotate them in one at a time, and so for the next few years one carrier is always unavailable.

So 10 = 9 in this math, and 9 = 8.
Posted by: Steve White   2009-12-10 13:36  

#2  I thought so. We're dropping the Taiwan guarantee. No way they can maintain a credible threat to the Straits if we're cutting the carrier groups that much. What is that, twenty percent?
Posted by: Mitch H.   2009-12-10 12:20  

#1  History lesson on why Â’78 should not be repeated
By: James Carafano
Examiner Columnist
October 26, 2009

Extracts

He followed an unpopular president. He received a strong election mandate. He changed the tone in Washington, D.C.
He said human rights mattered, that AmericaÂ’s image in the world had to be remade.

He would receive a Nobel Peace Prize.

As the end of his presidency’s first year drew near, the future looked bright. He had brought change — change that mattered.

It was 1977. The next year was very bad....

...At the same time the White House was amping up the soft power, it was also looking to cut back on military commitments.

Faced with a troubled economy, the Carter administration was also looking to cut back on military spending. Thus, the president embraced Defense Secretary Harold Brown’s “offset” strategy. The Armed Forces would buy nothing new. The Pentagon would “skip a generation” and “rethink” military needs....

The rest here


Preview problem?
Posted by: Willy   2009-12-10 11:51  

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