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Home Front: Politix
Less than one in four identify as Republican
2009-04-29
Less than a quarter of all voters call themselves Republicans, a number that has dropped precipitously over the past six years, according to a new analysis.

In more than 7,000 interviews conducted by the Pew Research Center in 2009, just 23 percent of voters self-identify as members of the Grand Old Party. That's down from 30 percent as recently as 2004, and the trend shows no signs of slowing.

In the first four months of the year, Pew researchers found the number of self-identified Republicans dropping from 25 percent in January to just 22 percent in April.

But unlike Sen. Arlen Specter (Pa.), who became the first U.S. senator in history to leap directly from the Republican Party to the Democratic Party, voters who once called themselves Republicans are not ready to jump into bed with the other side. Though Democratic identification has inched up in the past six years, former Republicans are now largely calling themselves independents.

A total of 35 percent of voters call themselves Democrats, up just two points from 2004. In the past four months, Democratic identification has actually dropped four points, to 33 percent, while those who call themselves independents has risen to 39 percent.

Pew researchers say a decline in those who identify with both parties is normal following the close of an election. But the long-term slouch in which Republicans find themselves speaks to larger problems for the GOP.

Republican identification has sunk by more than five points in all four regions of the country. Just one in five voters in the Northeast call themselves Republican, the party's worst region, while 25 percent of Southerners say they are Republican, the region where the GOP performs best.

Meanwhile, more than 31 percent of voters in each region say they are Democrats.

The data is based on tens of thousands of interviews conducted every year by the Pew Research Center. So far in 2009, the Center has conducted 7,127 interviews for a margin of error of plus or minus 1.5 percent.
Posted by:GolfBravoUSMC

#17  Rasmussen says things aren't that bad


In March, the number of Democrats in the nation fell two percentage points while the number of Republicans fell by half-a-point. Democrats continue to have a sizable advantage in terms of partisan identification, but the advantage is smaller than itÂ’s been since December 2007.

Currently, 38.7% of Americans say they are Democrats. ThatÂ’s down from 40.8% a month ago. ItÂ’s also the first time the Democratic total has slipped below the 40% mark since the Republican convention bounce last September.

Prior to this monthÂ’s result, the Democrats have been over the 40% level 10 times in the previous 13 months (see history from January 2004 to present).

In March, 33.2% of American adults say they are Republicans. ThatÂ’s down from 33.6% a month ago. Over the past year, the number of Republicans has ranged from a low of 31.4% in April to a high of 34.4% in September.

Posted by: crosspatch   2009-04-29 23:52  

#16  I registered as a Democrat - so I could vote against Obama in both the primary and the general election.
Posted by: Blinky Hupogum5670   2009-04-29 22:17  

#15  if the GOP got back to its constitutional roots and truly limited govt views I'd identify as a Repub.

+1 The more they try to be inclusive of lefty ideas, the less use I have for them.
Posted by: AzCat   2009-04-29 22:10  

#14  if the GOP got back to its constitutional roots and truly limited govt views I'd identify as a Repub. The house repubs have done pretty well imho of keeping it together. The senate needs some cleaning out methinx. collins/snowe gotta go. McCain's a joke.... and would someone please tell Meghan McCain to shut the fuck up.
Posted by: Broadhead6   2009-04-29 21:18  

#13  When you are a Republican you have to put up with years of ridicule for spelling potatoe with an "e", even when the school's card spelled it that way. When you are a Democrat you have no responsibility when nearly one million are hacked to death while you twiddle your thumbs or have the press repeatedly cover for you while you sit back and relax with Oval Office blow jobs as muslims repeatedly attack and even then the most devastating mass murder in our nation's history perpetrated in our first city is swept down the memory hole by a complicit press. So why would anybody want to identify as Republican? Better to tell the pollster or nosy coworker to fuck off.
Posted by: ed   2009-04-29 20:57  

#12  "A Liberal is a person who will give away everything they don't own."

"A Liberal also believes they can pick up a turd by the clean end."

Gawd, I love Rantburg! :-D
Posted by: Barbara Skolaut   2009-04-29 20:32  

#11  Besoeker:

A Liberal also believes they can pick up a turd by the clean end.
Posted by: GolfBravoUSMC   2009-04-29 20:20  

#10  Besoeker - That's great!
Posted by: 3dc   2009-04-29 20:17  

#9  ONE PERSON'S VIEW----WHY I VOTED DEMOCRAT

I voted Democrat because I love the fact that I can now marry whatever I want. I've decided to marry my horse.

I voted Democrat because I believe oil companies' profits of 4% on a gallon of gas are obscene but the government taxing the same gallon of gas at 15% isn't.

I voted Democrat because I believe the government will do a better job of spending the money I earn than I would.

I voted Democrat because freedom of speech is fine as long as nobody is offended by it.

I voted Democrat because when we pull out of Iraq I trust that the bad guys will stop what they're doing because they now think we're good people.

I voted Democrat because I'm way too irresponsible to own a gun, and I know that my local police are all I need to protect me from murderers and thieves.

I voted Democrat because I believe that people who can't tell us if it will rain on Friday can tell us that the polar ice caps will melt away in ten years if I don't start driving a Prius.

I voted Democrat because I'm not concerned about the slaughter of millions of babies so long as we keep all death row inmates alive.

I voted Democrat because I believe that business should not be allowed to make profits for themselves.They need to break even and give the rest away to the government for redistribution as IT sees fit.

I voted Democrat because I believe liberal judges need to rewrite The Constitution every few days to suit some fringe kooks who would never get their agendas past the voters.

I voted Democrat because my head is so firmly planted up my ass that it is unlikely that I'll ever have another point of view.

"A Liberal is a person who will give away everything they don't own."


Posted by: Besoeker   2009-04-29 19:25  

#8  And I was gonna say something really bad and sarcastic, but I changed my mind. But forgot to change the 'nick back.

Anyway, I'm not beginning to think that a lot of the heavy fiscal argument we've been getting in was counterproductive; I thought that back in 2004. I _know_ a lot of it's been unproductive.

If we hadn't raised such a damn fuss about the Bridge To Nowhere, and picked our battles more carefully, we might actually have a lower deficit now.

Instead we hammered away on earmarks which we thought were worth complaining about at the time, but now we REALLY have something to complain about.

Pretending that all Republicans were basically the same as Arlen Specter was a losing strategy even back when Specter was still pretending to be a Republican. NOW? We may not have winning strategies available to us, especially if it requires the Republicans to have power they don't before they can prove they're 'worthy' of us voting for them instead of the people who gave us the 1.8 trillion dollar deficit.

And as one great capitalist strategist once said, "The Best is the Enemy of the Good Enough."
Posted by: Thing From Snowy Mountain   2009-04-29 19:07  

#7  Anyway, it kinda looks like a lot more than a dime's worth of difference to me. Maybe 1.4 trillion.
Posted by: Thing From Communist Mountain   2009-04-29 18:42  

#6  Less than one in four Republicans identify as fiscally conservative.

Y'know, I find that to not only be a bit of a gross exaggeration and half-truth, but one that has been very useful to the Democrats' strategy.

Meanwhile, here's the deficit, both historical and projected, in graphical form, from Glenn Reynold's website; you'll notice he's not exactly Mr. Republican:



Kinda makes me wonder what happened between 2006 and 2007.
Posted by: Thing From Communist Mountain   2009-04-29 18:40  

#5  Heard the same stuff after Carter won. Three years later he wasn't.
Posted by: Cyber Sarge    2009-04-29 18:38  

#4  Telephone polling is getting tough. This Republican doesn't answer the phone if he doesn't recognize the number and if you don't leave a message, it must not have been that important.
Posted by: whitecollar redneck   2009-04-29 18:22  

#3  WE'RE HIDING.
Posted by: Redneck Jim   2009-04-29 18:10  

#2  Less than one in four Republicans identify as fiscally conservative.
Posted by: swksvolFF   2009-04-29 17:04  

#1  I've always thought that these so called "neutral" companies, cross reference phone number addresses with voting district results to achieve the numbers their clients want.
Posted by: AlmostAnonymous5839   2009-04-29 16:42  

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