| Submit your comments on this article |
| Home Front: WoT |
| USJFC Warns Pakistan And Mexico Could Destabilize And Collapse |
| 2009-01-14 |
| Mexico is one of two countries that "bear consideration for a rapid and sudden collapse," according to a report by the U.S. Joint Forces Command on worldwide security threats. The command's "Joint Operating Environment (JOE 2008)" report, which contains projections of global threats and potential next wars, puts Pakistan on the same level as Mexico. "In terms of worse-case scenarios for the Joint Force and indeed the world, two large and important states bear consideration for a rapid and sudden collapse: Pakistan and Mexico. "The Mexican possibility may seem less likely, but the government, its politicians, police and judicial infrastructure are all under sustained assault and pressure by criminal gangs and drug cartels. How that internal conflict turns out over the next several years will have a major impact on the stability of the Mexican state. Any descent by Mexico into chaos would demand an American response based on the serious implications for homeland security alone." The Joint Forces Command in Norfolk, Va., is a Defense Department combat command that includes different military service branches, active and reserves. One of its roles is to transform the military's capabilities. In the report's foreword, Marine Gen. J.N. Mattis, the Joint Forces commander, said "Predictions about the future are always risky. ... Regardless, if we do not try to forecast the future, there is no doubt that we will be caught off guard as we strive to protect this experiment in democracy that we call America." The report offers "a Polaroid snapshot," and conditions in Mexico and elsewhere are in a state of flux, said Brig. Gen. José Riojas, executive director of the National Center for Border Security and Immigration at the University of Texas at El Paso. "I'm not sure Mexico looks today like it did nine months ago," Riojas said. The report is the latest focusing on Mexico's security problems, which stem mostly from drug violence and corruption. Recently, the Department of Homeland Security and former U.S. drug czar Barry McCaffrey issued similar assessments. Despite such reports, El Pasoan Veronica Callaghan, a border business leader, said she keeps running into people who "are in denial about what is happening in Mexico." Last week, Mexican President Felipe Calderón Hinojosa instructed his embassy and consular officials to promote a positive image of Mexico. He's also vowed to continue the crackdown on drug cartels. |
| Posted by:Anonymoose |
| #17 Lest we fergit, WAFF [old-2004] > CIA REPORT: RUSSIA COULD BREAK UP/DISNTEGRATE INTO 5-8 STATES, WHILE THE US WOULD PROSPER. * WORLD MIL FORUM > A COLLAPSE OF MEXICO AND US TAKEOVER WILL THREATEN CHINESE PAN-AMERICAN TRADE AT THE PANAMA CANAL. CHINA'S PLA MUST DEVELOP CONTIGENCY PLANS AND HAVE MILITARY FORCES BASED NEAR THE PANAMA CANAL ZONE. |
| Posted by: JosephMendiola 2009-01-14 23:54 |
| #16 Mexico has already descended into chaos. last 6 months of 2008 Mexico had more beheadings than Iraq. without the pressure release of illegal immigration to the US Mexico would have already gone over the edge. IIRC money wired into Mexico from the US is the largest single economic input. larger than their oil exports. |
| Posted by: Abu do you love 2009-01-14 23:26 |
| #15 TOPIX > CHINA'S AUTHORITIES ARE GETTING SCARED + CHINA's TOUGH ATTITUDE MAY NOT BE ENOUGH TO QUELL DISSENT. * WORLD MIL FORUM [paraph=GOOGLE Chinglish translation]> Ditto for NORTH KOREA = REFORMS AND OPENING UP OF NORTH KOREA IS MORE LIKELY THAN NOT TO LEAD TO NATIONAL COLLAPSE OF TOTALITARIAN RULE. Also on WORLD MIL FORUM > NEW US-GEORGIA PACT AND CENTRAL ASIA MILITARY BASES PROVES US DESIRES TO SEPARATE/DIVIDE RUSSIA, WEST ASIA FROM REST [Pan-Asia Breakup and Partition] + US IN FOREFRONT OF EURASIAN ETHNIC, MULTI-REGION CHAOS. |
| Posted by: JosephMendiola 2009-01-14 22:25 |
| #14 Also on WAFF/RENSE/TOPIX > SETTING THE STAGE FOR FUTURE US-RUSSIAN CONFLICT: US SIGNS STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP PACT WITH GEORGIA Russia cannot attack or wage war Georgia anymore widout inviting a US MILITARY RESPONSE??? Thus the Diplom + Geopol importance of the NEW POTUS OBAMA ADMIN as a "JIMMY CARTER II", for IRAN + NUCLEAR ISLAMISM + now RUSSIA, etc. |
| Posted by: JosephMendiola 2009-01-14 22:11 |
| #13 Compare wid WAFF > RussPert Konstantin Shivkov = US CAN ATTACK/ANNIHILATE RUSSIA 2012-2015. Russia may break up in THREE PARTS, to wit: * WESTERN RUSSIA - to EuroUnion = EU. * CENTRAL RUSSIA + SIBERIA? - To USA [Arctic Corridor?]. Methinks CHINA is more likely to get SIBERIA or bulk of same given how may CHIn laboerers are already there wid more to come legally or illegally + GROWING CHIN MILECON INFLUENCE IN KAZAKHISTAN, TAIJIKISTAN + KYRGHZSTAN * EAST RUSSIA - to CHINA. US MILITARY THREAT TO RUSSIA GREATER THAN DURING OR AFTER THE COLD WAR, HENCE RUSS MUST PRIORITIZE MODERNIZATION OF ITS NUCLEAR ARSENAL, espec STRATEGIC OFFENSIVE AND ANTI-BMD MISSLES. |
| Posted by: JosephMendiola 2009-01-14 22:06 |
| #12 Need to look at the UK. 10% chance of Gilt default implies Argentina==UK. Best hope Brown leaves SOON, or one US ally is going to dissolve. |
| Posted by: Bright Pebbles 2009-01-14 19:49 |
| #11 Just a random thought, they lost a huge chunk of teritory that's now Texas (And surrounding states) How about this collapse we just take the rest? Can't be worse than dealing with the illegals here, declare it America, and all the Illegals (And Mexicans)are now americans, and Mexico would just dissapear. |
| Posted by: Rednek Jim 2009-01-14 19:33 |
| #10 A lot of stuff has been collapsing lately. |
| Posted by: Cynicism Inc 2009-01-14 19:19 |
| #9 I don't remember where I read this (Hot Air, Drudge) but it seems some of the Mexicans who have been living, working, and getting an education here are going back to Mexico and running for office. They are also organizing people in something like our political action committies. If true they could possibly make a big change in Mexico. It depends on what the drug cartels do. |
| Posted by: Deacon Blues 2009-01-14 19:18 |
| #8 "A Polaroid snalshot" > Didn't POLAROID recently declare bankruptcy, or are they only in non-Chapter 7/11 "restructuring"??? BAILOUT, D *** YOU, BAILOUT??? |
| Posted by: JosephMendiola 2009-01-14 18:56 |
| #7 uhhh . . . you been to Mexico lately? I'd say its already collapsed. Just sayin. |
| Posted by: spiffo 2009-01-14 17:05 |
| #6 Mexico needs political change. A civil war/revolution might not be ideal but if the oligarchs don't make changes that's what they are gonna get. |
| Posted by: rjschwarz 2009-01-14 16:37 |
| #5 Joint Operating Environment (JOE 2008) Told 'ya it was AI. |
| Posted by: .5MT 2009-01-14 14:17 |
| #4 The wall is one thing, but equally, if not perhaps more important, is the breakup of the ruling cartels or families in Mexico. There is simply not enough upward opportunity within Mexico for the average person. These barons have a stranglehold on both the government and the economy. This situation has to change for Mexico to realize its potential. |
| Posted by: remoteman 2009-01-14 14:03 |
| #3 Gee, ya think that maybe having a serious border barrier along the whole route might just change some of the dynamics (insofar as Mexico's travails directly affecting the US)? Sorta like that little barrier thingy did over in Israel, in terms of their problem? Better for both Mexico and the US. Shaping the battlefield. Etc. The death of common sense. |
| Posted by: Verlaine 2009-01-14 11:34 |
| #2 ...people who "are in denial about what is happening in Mexico." It seems as if the entire country is in denial, look who they choose to run the place. I'm becoming more concerned as Jan. 20th approaches. |
| Posted by: Waldemar Cholulet6451 2009-01-14 11:27 |
| #1 ....Callaghan, a border business leader, said she keeps running into people who "are in denial about what is happening in Mexico." She should get out of the beltway once in a while. |
| Posted by: Besoeker 2009-01-14 11:24 |