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| Mark Steyn: Exit (Poll) Strategy |
| 2008-11-04 |
| So remember: In about 15 hours or so the rumors and leaks are going to start – It’s an Obama landslide! Exit polls show him winning North Carolina by 15 points! In Vermont, McCain will be the first major party candidate not to break into double digits… It’s all rubbish. Exit polls skew Dem. In 2004, they overstated Kerry’s support by 5.5 points. Which doesn’t sound a lot. But, given that there were only ten states where the margin of victory was less than 5%, that was enough to make Kerry briefly appear the winner. The point of all the afternoon leakage is to depress turnout in the Florida panhandle and points west. Don’t fall for it. The media have been hailing the inevitability of Obama ever since Iowa. To their credit, Democrat primary voters paid no heed. The more Chris Matthews and the rest of the gang insisted it was over, the more obstinately Hillary Dems turned up to vote for her. Captain Landslide wound up being dragged by the media across the finish line in slow motion. If the Democrat base declined to take its marching orders from Tingle-Me Elmo back in the spring, there’s no reason for Republicans to do so six months later. If this is to be a losing year, so be it. It’s still better to lose 51-49 than 59-41. This’ll be a weird day, and history will be made however it turns out: first black president, first female veep, oldest president, most hair-plugged veep. That's excitement enough, without falling for exit poll rumors that will almost certainly prove false. |
| Posted by:Mike |
| #7 Results in at 10:00 Eastern. Pennsy & Ohio for Bambi. No way for John Boy to hit 270 now. Gains for Dummos in both House & Senate. Oh boy, fasten your seat belts. Now snug them up real tight, until you can barely breath. Lotsa good stuff coming. Look for a BIG health care bill coming out of the barn door first. Maybe second, after another larger "stimulus" package. Health care sheparded by Fat Ted. A gift and Memorial to him before he fades away. Say single payer in disguise. Long lines, here we come. If you're religious say a prayer. If not, just knock yourself in the head with a ball bat. I count on the Dummos to go apeshit and overplay their hand for two years just like under HillBilly. But it will be a looong two years. |
| Posted by: Woozle Elmeter 2700 2008-11-04 22:24 |
| #6 No problems in Southwest Ohio. Pop over to the O Club, they're serving the good stuff while we await results. :-) |
| Posted by: trailing wife 2008-11-04 20:05 |
| #5 My Californicate ballot list Keyes, Nader, Obama, Barr, McCain, and McKinney in that order. Obama is listed as Democratic/Democrata and McCain is listed as Republican/Republicano. Of course, Mckinney is listed as Green/Verde. It's interesting that Obama's party affiliation is listed as Democratic not Democrat. I'm surprised they didn't use a small "d". |
| Posted by: GolfBravoUSMC 2008-11-04 13:28 |
| #4 McCain was below Obama in NM. |
| Posted by: Highlander 2008-11-04 13:10 |
| #3 I just voted. HEAVY turnout. On the ballot, the names were in alphabetical order: McCain, McKinney(!), Nader and down the page and dead last was Obama. I actively had to search it out to find it. McCain was easy; He was #1! |
| Posted by: Minister of funny walks 2008-11-04 09:52 |
| #2 Sounds good, but I don't believe it. What I do believe is that, if we're not all marching in party rallies in support of Fearless Leader in two years -- at the behest of our block coordinators -- the next four years are going to create quite a few new republicans. Hopefully that'll translate into more Republicans in 2012. |
| Posted by: Fred 2008-11-04 09:10 |
| #1 The media have been hailing the inevitability of Obama ever since Iowa. Wait, I thought Hillary was the inevitable one. I really need to keep up. |
| Posted by: SteveS 2008-11-04 09:09 |