You have commented 339 times on Rantburg.

Your Name
Your e-mail (optional)
Website (optional)
My Original Nic        Pic-a-Nic        Sorry. Comments have been closed on this article.
Bold Italic Underline Strike Bullet Blockquote Small Big Link Squish Foto Photo
Europe
Revenge of the Left across the world - Marxism on the rise
2008-11-03
Whatever the exact result of the US elections tomorrow, we must assume that the whole governing machinery of Washington and the state capitols will soon be hostile to laissez-faire thinking.

It is not just that the Democrats will win a crushing victory in both houses of Congress, perhaps reaching the 60-seat Senate threshold that lets them steam-roll legislation. It is also that the incoming class of 2008 is of a new creed. Many no longer believe – or actively reject – the free trade and free market catechisms.

As commentator Markos Moulitsas put it in Newsweek: "The big question is, will Democrats nationwide simply 'win' the night–or will they deliver an electoral drubbing so thorough that it signals the utter rejection of conservative ideology and kills the notion that America is a 'center-right' country?" he said.

No matter that statist policies were responsible for this global crisis in the first place. It was Western governments that set interest rates too low for too long, encouraging us all to abuse credit.

It was Eastern governments that held down their currencies to pursue mercantilist trade advantage, thereby accumulating vast foreign reserves that had to be recycled. Hence the bond bubble. This is the deformed creature known as Bretton Woods II. Protectionist Democrats are right to complain that the game is rigged. Free trade? Laugh on.

But at this point I have given up hoping that we will draw the right conclusions from this crisis. The universal verdict is that capitalism has run amok.

In any case the damage caused as credit retrenchment squeezes real industry is likely to be so great that Barack Obama may have to pursue unthinkable policies, just as Franklin Roosevelt had to ditch campaign orthodoxies and go truly radical after his landslide victory in 1932. Indeed, Mr Obama – if he wins – may have to start by nationalizing the US car industry.

For those who missed it, I recommend Edward Stourton's BBC interview with Eric Hobsbawm, the doyen of Marxist history.

"This is the dramatic equivalent of the collapse of the Soviet Union: we now know that an era has ended," said Mr Hobsbawm, still lucid at 91.

"It is certainly greatest crisis of capitalism since the 1930s. As Marx and Schumpeter foresaw, globalization not only destroys heritage, but is incredibly unstable. It operates through a series of crises.

"There'll be a much greater role for the state, one way or another. We've already got the state as lender of last resort, we might well return to idea of the state as employer of last resort, which is what it was under FDR. It'll be something which orients, and even directs the private economy," he said.

Dismiss this as the wishful thinking of an old Marxist if you want, but I suspect his views may be closer to the truth than the complacent assumptions so prevalent in the City.

To those who still think that business can go on as normal now that EU taxpayers have had to rescue the financial system, I can only say: what will happen to London if EU exchange controls are imposed, or if leverage is restricted by draconian laws – as demanded by the German, Dutch, and Nordic Left?

Does the UK still have a blocking minority under EU voting rules to stop a blitz of directives that could shut down half the activities of the City – or the 'Casino' as they say in Brussels? I doubt it.

Who thinks that the three key Commission posts – single market, competition, and trade – will still be held by free marketeers when the new team comes in next year?

In Germany, Oskar Lafontaine's Linke party now has 23pc support in Saarland on a Marxist pledge to nationalize banks and utilities. Needless to say, the Social Democrats (SPD) are shifting hard Left to protect their flank.

"The rule of the radical market ideology that began with Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan has ended with a loud bang," said Frank-Walter Steinmeier, Germany's foreign minister and SPD candidate for chancellor next year.

"We need a comprehensive new start, so we can reestablish our society on fresh foundations. People create value, not locusts," he said.

France has its own Gaullist version on this, seizing on the crisis to launch the most far-reaching strategy of state intervention since the 1970s.

"Laissez-faire, c'est fini," said President Nicolas Sarkozy. "We will intervene massively whenever a strategic enterprise needs our money."

Such language can now be heard daily across Europe. It can only intensify as the fall-out from the EU's €1.8bn trillion (£1.4 trillion) bank rescue becomes clearer, and as Europe's elites discover that their own banks are the most leveraged in the world and have played their own Wagnerian part in Gotterdammerung.

European and UK banks are five times more exposed to emerging markets than US banks. They alone hold the collective time-bomb of $1.6 trillion (£990bn) in hard currency loans to Eastern Europe – now starting to detonate in Hungary, Ukraine, Romania, and even Russia.

At some point, Europe's political class will face the awful truth that their own credit bubbles are just as bad – and perhaps worse – than the excesses of US sub-prime property. As that occurs, the shock will move by degrees from revulsion to political rage.

Professor Hobsbawm, who spent his youth watching Hitler's rise in Berlin, has a warning for those who think this will help the Left in any recognizable form. "In the 1930s, the net political effect of the Depression was to enormously strengthen the Right," he said.

America was the great exception, as it may prove to be again. I for one will take the enlightened "socialism" of Barack Obama any day over the Hegelian broth nearing the boil in Europe.
Posted by:GolfBravoUSMC

#4  More from WORLD MIL FORUM > POST-2008 ELECTION THE US WILL HAVE TO ENGAGE IN CONSTRUCTIVE STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP WID CHINA, espec as US ABSOLUTE POWER DECLINES WHILE CHINA [Asia] RISES.; + SCHOLARS: TO ENSURE THE SAFETY OF THE CHINA SEAS, CHINA MUST CHANGE ITS GEOSTRATEGIC THINKING AND EXPAND ITS NAVAL, MILITARY, AND ECONMIC POWER BEYOND ITS NEAR ABROAD.

IOW, China must STOP BEING ISOLATIONIST + MILITANTLY HOMOGENOUS iff it expects to become a TRUE GLOBAL POWER, LET ALONE A SUPERPOWER!

* SAME > RUSSIA: NOTHERN AND PACIFIC FLEET WARSHIPS [Non-CV Major + Other Surface warfare units] TO TRAIN IN THE INDIAN OCEAN.

WAFF.com > US INTELLIGENCE: RUSSIA, CHINA, + INDIA MAY CAUSE [future]INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT, by or about the Year 2025 iff MADONNA IS STILL ALIVE ["Year 2525" song].
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2008-11-03 23:29  

#3  CHINESE MIL FORUM Poster > opined that the 2008 US POTUS ELEX is likely the MOST CRUCIAL ELECTION + MOST IMPORTANT EVENT E-V-A-A-A-R-...
IN US PRESIDENTIAL, POLITICAL, + NATIONAL HISTORY.

* "Whole Governing Machinery of Washington and State Capitols will soon be Hostile to Laissez-faire thinking" > WORLD MIL FORUM [paraph = Chinglish translation]= US INTELLIGENCE SPENDING INCREASES BY US$40MILYUHN TO GROSS AT US$47.6BILYUHN, UP FROM US$43.5BILYUHN IN FISCAL 2007!?

SAME " > OSAMA BIN LADEN HAS REPLACED RUSSIA AS THE US' TOP RIVAL AFTER THE 2008 ELECTION. US may broadly suffer SERIOUS OR WORSE GEOPOLITICAL + MULTI-DIPLOMATIC CRISES OF GREATER CONSEQUENCE THAN THE CURRENT FINANCIAL CRISIS OR FOLLOW-ON???; + US MEDIAS: AFRICA IS THE NEW PROXY BATTLEFIELD BWTN THE US AND CHINA FOR COMPETITION, CONTAINMENT.

*SAME > OTHER > GERMAN MEDIA: CENTRAL ASIAN STATES MORE LIKELY TO HEED/FOLLOW CHINA THAN RUSSIA, + AUTHOR ZHENGE SEN: ARE BOTH CHINA + WEST NOW CAUGHT IN MUTUAL PRE-SET STRATEGIC TRAPS. Mutual failure to comprehend eash side's agendum + pragmatic reactions, espec the West's failure vee the true power of China's logic and methodisms. THE TRADITIONAL PASSIVE METHOD HISTORICALY PREFERRED BY CHINA, AND ITS CONSEQUENT CHIN-ANTICIPATED SUCCESS IN GAINING ACCEPTANCE IN THE WEST/WESTERN SUSTEMS WILL SERVE TO PROMOTE AND EMPOWER THE SOCIALIST REVOLUTION [China? World?].
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2008-11-03 23:16  

#2  No.
Posted by: .5MT   2008-11-03 18:07  

#1  I wonder if now would be the time to revive a splendid tradition. The private militia.
Posted by: Whavitch Lumplump7983   2008-11-03 16:52  

00:00