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Home Front: Politix
Leaked internals look good for Maverick/Barracuda
2008-11-03
"Emperor Misha" @ "The Anti-Idiotarian Rottweiler"

I really hope this guy is right.

We keep telling you: THIS AINÂ’T OVER.

Unless you decide to let the Eeyores convince you that it is. In which case the Obamamedia really ought to cut you a check for doing their work for them. . . .

Remember how we've told you time and time again that the only polls you can even remotely trust are the campaigns' internal polls? For the very simple reason that those internal pollsters have absolutely no agenda other than finding out what's really going on in order to know what they should be doing next. Those pollsters, while certainly plagued by the same unknowns that every other pollster in history have had to deal with, have to get the right numbers or they could cause their campaigns to lose the election.

Ever wondered why both campaigns are investing heavily into, say, Pennsylvania, one of the states that, according to the Eeyoremedia, is going to go fully in the tank for the Obaminable Blowman to the tune of 127% voting for him and -7,443% voting for McCain/Palin? What? You think they like throwing money into already settled races, especially with so many much tighter races to choose from?


C'mon. Even Obambi isn't daft enough to throw money into a race he's leading by double digits and McCain/Palin, being considerably more strapped for cash since he hasn't committed massive election fraud by deliberately turning off basic security features in order to get donations from various caves in Pakistan, certainly isn't about to.

So, again: The only polls we've ever been interested in seeing were the internals, and neither campaign is particularly forthcoming with sharing those.

Until now. Apparently the people at the Quinn and Rose show have a contact in the Republican camp who is willing to share. Yes. the internal numbers.

A warning: When we checked out that link, it loaded horrendously slowly. But if you want a quick summary, here it is:

New Jersey: McCain 48% - Obambi 43% - Undecided 7%, undecideds currently breaking 4 to 1 for McCain.

Have you put the razor down yet?

Michigan, the state that the McCain campaign hasn't put much of an effort in at all, thinking it already lost: McCain 44% - Obambi 42% - Undecided 10%

OK, now here’s the bad news. There's a state where Obambi leads.

California: Obambi 44% - McCain 43% - Undecided 9%.

People, if Dear Leader isn't landsliding by double digits in the People's Socialist Republic of Kalifornikate??? We rest our case.

Oh, and the state we mentioned before that Obambi is supposedly going to carry in a double-digit clobbering, yet for some reason he is focusing a LOT of effort in?

Pennsylvania: McCain 55% - Obambi 33% - Undecideds 10%

We guess they really don’t like being called racist, redneck, bitter, gun and bible-clinging xenophobes after all. Imagine our surprise.

Number one reason among Democrats breaking for McCain? They're pissed off that he's cheating and trying to buy the election.

And that's all from the horse's mouth, pollsters who have absolutely zero interest in being wrong and who will most likely never work again if they are, so it's safe to assume that they're working their little butts off overtime trying to identify and eliminate whatever unknowns they can find. And we can guarantee you that those are the same numbers staring the Obamessiah in the face from his internal pollsters, because they're operating under the same conditions.

Which would go a long way towards explaining why he's been so pissy and irritable as of late, kicking reporters from newspapers whose only offense has been not endorsing him and generally being a whiny little pissant. . . .
Posted by:Mike

#19  
A Wizard Of Id Parody;
Scribe: What are you offering the peasants in your election speech today?
Obama: Nothing they can afford to refuse
Elect me, and I promise you Free health care! Free housing! Free clothing! Food Stamps! And jobs for everybody. Any questions?

Peasant: What do we need jobs for?
_________________________________
Think positive for tomorrow!


Posted by: Jan    2008-11-03 23:32  

#18  Only poll that truly counts is the one on election day.

EVERYBODY VOTE!
Posted by: Barbara Skolaut   2008-11-03 23:01  

#17  You all may want to check the AOL Straw poll, it is uhm, interesting (a McCain-Palin landslide??) We still need to get out and vote.
Posted by: djh_usmc   2008-11-03 22:40  

#16  Imaginary-Americans go for Obama 120%. ;-)
Posted by: trailing wife    2008-11-03 20:21  

#15  well the internals don't measure underage or dead voters or illegal aliens, etc.

these demographic groups will probably go 90% for Obama
Posted by: mhw   2008-11-03 19:57  

#14  Or quit, stop paying the mortgage and live on tax rebates and government cheese.
Posted by: ed   2008-11-03 19:51  

#13  If Hussein wins I'm gonna start cheating on my taxes.
Posted by: Hellfish   2008-11-03 19:46  

#12  I hope you guys are right. If McCain wins then I will give up something - Like Sex "What dear ? - oh I already gave that up. Have to think of something else - not beer somthing else
Posted by: Chief   2008-11-03 19:38  

#11  The problem is commercial polls are show Obama retaking and widening his lead over McCain since the financial meltdown.

As for Hispanics, most will vote for the One who promises $2700 (or was it $3600) a year free, to them, money disguised as a tax rebate.
Posted by: ed   2008-11-03 19:33  

#10  Ok - I went out and did a bit of googling. Back around the end of the year there were multiple articles touting the hispanics. Most of these were sourced to real surveys. Then, not so much except in the last couple of days CNN and NPR claim they are all breaking for Obama. I don't consider those reliable sources. Also big claims from a poll paid for by the Obama campaign.

Anyway... we'll find out in the next 48 hours.
Posted by: Betty   2008-11-03 19:05  

#9  Hispanics!

That said, someone just told me that NPR says they are breaking for Obama ~70-30. Hmmm. I haven't heard ANYTHING about hispanics. Not one word! But maybe I'll have to eat crow pie on this. Has anyone else heard anything?
Posted by: Betty   2008-11-03 18:27  

#8  Damnit Betty,

Who, who???
Posted by: Francis   2008-11-03 18:24  

#7  I think that CA could be a shocker. Who is the one group that we heard so much about awhile back, how they were going to have such a big impact on this election, yada, yada, ad nauseum. And then suddenly... silence. And since then, it is as though this demographic no longer even exists. Hear the wind blow. I've been listening for it and I have not heard ONE SINGLE COMMENT about this very large group and their impact on this election.

Can you guess who I'm talking about? Hint - they will have the biggest impact in CA and FL.
Posted by: Betty   2008-11-03 18:19  

#6  The only thing I'll say on CA is that we have a young friend who moved to CA earlier this year and most everyone she has talked to in the LA area was for McCain.
Posted by: anonymous2u   2008-11-03 18:09  

#5  Word i get from sister in MI is that while folks are spouting Obambi, the McPalin yard signs are sprouting. and ever since the famous Joe the Plumber episode, they have been growing ever faster ( don't pissoff Joe Six Pak / blue collar. despite what the union tells you to do)
Posted by: USN, Ret.   2008-11-03 17:37  

#4  Michigan makes no sense.

If McCain's internals are showing him ahead in Michigan, why did he stop campaigning there? I don't recall him sending Romney there even.
Posted by: DK70 the Scantily Clad7177   2008-11-03 17:10  

#3  In case McCain wins it would be a major blunder verging to treason let trhe things stay like they are. McCain should use his prtesidency to dismantle all the connections who made an Obama possible. Acorn, the daed voters, unions using their members money, people allowed to vote without a credential with photo, financing from foreign countries.

Half the democratic party and probably a few republicans too should end at Leavenworth
Posted by: JFM   2008-11-03 16:28  

#2  I think the public polls are wrong and McCain has a good shot of pulling this thing out. But the above internal poll numbers claimed simply can't be accurate.

"Pennsylvania: McCain 55% - Obambi 33%"?
Please.
Posted by: Minister of funny walks   2008-11-03 15:36  

#1  I really hope this guy is right too. I have never believed the BO press or polls. Former Secretary of State Eagleburger referred to BO as a con-man and charlatan on FOX TV.
Posted by: JohnQC   2008-11-03 15:16  

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