| Submit your comments on this article |
| India-Pakistan |
| Pak troops fire mortar shells at Indian post along LOC |
| 2008-07-30 |
| Pakistani forces on Wednesday lobbed heavy 82 mm mortar shells at Indian positions across the Line of Control in Northern Kashmir, marking a major esclation just a day after India conveyed its strong concerns over mounting ceasefire violations. Six mortar shells were fired at BSF positions in two bursts in a span of one hour from 1130 on wednesday morning in Nowgam sector of Baramulla district, just miles away from the border post which had wittnessed heavy exchange of fire on Tuesday. The mortar shells fell just short of the Nerian post being manned by BSF personnel. |
| Posted by:john frum |
| #4 It will take far greater Pak atrocities to compel the Indian leadership to act. Since the Pakis feel they've USA by the balls over Afghan logistics, what won't take too long. |
| Posted by: g(r)omgoru 2008-07-30 14:43 |
| #3 India isn't taking the bait. They are waiting for the US pressure to compel Pakistan to reorient its army to counterinsurgency duties. General Kayani doesn't want to oblige however. An outcome where the Pak army is forced to become a police COIN force would be sweet revenge for the Indians. That may be worth taking some casualties from LOC firing and Hospital bombings. It will take far greater Pak atrocities to compel the Indian leadership to act. Mass civilian deaths (in the hundreds or thousands) would do it. Or a Pak capture of Indian positions on the LOC. |
| Posted by: john frum 2008-07-30 14:05 |
| #2 That also allows the Paks to point to the deteriorating situation on the Indian border as an excuse not to use their forces for counterinsurgency duties at the Afghan border. Posted by: john frum John, your analysis, as always, is spot-on. The one thing I worry about is India getting tired of these constant pin-pricks and just clobbering the He$$ out of the Pak army. That would leave a monstrous power vacuum that the Taliban wouldn't hesitate to try to fill. Things could get pretty nasty over there, if that happens. |
| Posted by: Old Patriot 2008-07-30 13:57 |
| #1 If the Paks manage to create a localized crisis at the LOC - artillery duels etc.. they will be able to play it up in their media. That gets the jihadis enraged and diverts them from attacks in Pakistan proper and towards Indian Kashmir. That also allows the Paks to point to the deteriorating situation on the Indian border as an excuse not to use their forces for counterinsurgency duties at the Afghan border. |
| Posted by: john frum 2008-07-30 10:31 |