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Afghanistan
Rumor - We Got The Big Z
2008-02-29
Media reports describe another U.S. airstrike within Pakistan, targeting a home that was a suspected Taliban safe house with foreign fighters.

Bill Roggio notes, "One report indicates an "al Qaeda fugitive from Egypt" was among those killed, sparking rumors that Ayman al Zawahiri was the target of the strike."

But before we break out the party hats, Roggio also notes, "several senior Egyptian members of al Qaeda are known to operate in Pakistan's tribal areas. These include Abu Khabab al Masri, Abu Ubaidah al Masri, Abdul Rahman al Masri al Maghribi, and Sheikh Essa. Abu Khabab, Abu Ubaidah, and Maghribi were believed to have been killed in the January 2006 Damadola airstrike but the reports were false."

Keep your fingers crossed.

UPDATE: Two interesting items from the Asia Times, if true. One, allegedly the Predator drone came from Peshawar Airfield, making this a joint Pakistan-NATO operation. Two, the building was allegedly a militant compound disguised as a madrassa...
Posted by:Anonymoose

#9  I'll warm up the poppers, #5 & 6. :-D
Posted by: Barbara Skolaut   2008-02-29 23:39  

#8  Come on 7!!!!
Posted by: Ol Dirty American   2008-02-29 23:11  

#7  Two, the building was allegedly a militant compound disguised as a madrassa...

A distinction without a difference?
Posted by: Captain Lewis   2008-02-29 18:11  

#6  Popcorn now, and with any hope, soon, whiskies too...
Posted by: M. Murcek   2008-02-29 17:45  

#5  Former regime officials may be building up their bank accounts and credits with Uncle before they go into self-imposed exile. Doing us a big favor. And settling some old scores. Should be interesting. Popcorn, anyone?
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2008-02-29 17:39  

#4  Even if it isn't him, our ability to better find, track and kill big AQ boys is a great thing.
Posted by: DarthVader   2008-02-29 17:12  

#3  Additional details...

In a second precision strike within a month, a missile widely believed to have been fired by an unmanned US plane, struck a house in the Kalosha village near the Afghan border in South Waziristan around 2 AM on February 28, 2008, killing at least 12 persons, of whom four were reportedly Arabs, two Turkmen and two Pakistanis. Three non-Pakistanis were injured and were evacuated by fellow-jihadis. There is so far no indication regarding the identities of those killed.

The strike of February 28 was apparently as precise as that of January 29, 2008, and would have been possible only with human intelligence (HUMINT) and not technical intelligence (TECHINT).A significant sequel to the January 29 strike was there were no major protest demonstrations against the US by the villagers in the targeted area. This was because the strike and the HUMINT on which it was based were so accurate that there were no collateral civilian casualties. The lack of major demonstrations showed that the villagers do not mind precisely targeted attacks on jihadi terrorists provided the attacks kill only known terrorists and not innocent civilians.

In the past, almost every suspected US missile strike in the tribal belt had been followed by violent demonstrations because the strikes were based on intelligence, which proved to have been inaccurate, and resulted in the death of a large number of innocent civilians. Recent strikes by the US forces on both sides of the Pakistan-Afghanistan border have been more precise and more successful in avoiding innocent civilian casualties.

It would be interesting to see whether there is any demonstration by the people of the area against the missile strike of February 28, 2008. It is not yet known whether there were any collateral casualties of civilians.

In an effort to improve HUMINT collection, the US intelligence had been announcing from time to time since 9/11 huge cash rewards amounting to millions of dollars to anyone providing accurate information relating to bin Laden, al-Zawahiri and other important terrorists operating from the tribal areas. Till the end of last year, there were not many takers for these reward amounts. Since the beginning of this year, there are indications that these offers of huge rewards have started helping in HUMINT collection.

bin Laden, Zawahiri and co must be worried men.


http://www.outlookindia.com/full.asp?fodname=20080228&fname=raman&sid=1
Posted by: tu3031   2008-02-29 16:55  

#2  http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2008/02/egyptian_al_qaeda_le.php

Roggio mentions it while discussing the report from the Nation (the Paki paper, not the US commie rag) but Z isnt mentioned in the Nation article linked. So im not sure which reports hes referring to.

Fingers crossed.
Posted by: liberalhawk   2008-02-29 16:53  

#1  They use his pious knot as an aiming point?
Let's think good thoughts...
Posted by: tu3031   2008-02-29 16:50  

00:00