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India-Pakistan
The King is dead; Long live the King
2007-06-24
Ejaz Haider
Prologue: What will Pakistan look like after General Pervez Musharraf is gone?
One argument can be that projecting a post-Musharraf scenario is difficult for two reasons. One, there are too many variables (given the multiplicity of threats to his rule and the diversity of opposition to him) in the run-up to the D-day itself, making it very hard to determine the probability of any one outcome.

Two, any post-Musharraf scenario itself will, quite obviously, depend on how the situation finally unfolds up to the point of his leaving the scene. In other words, any predictions on a post-Musharraf scenario, to be accurate, would need to ascertain how exactly he was ultimately pushed out and who did it.
Posted by:Fred

#1  Since the US has been a strong guiding hand to Perv during his reign, no doubt we have also been keeping a very sharp eye on his peers and subordinates, with a mind to helping him retain power, avoid assassination, create regime stability, and prepare for a reasonable successor.

Along with "plan B", "plan C", etc., through "plan Z".

To a great extent, the CIA would be tasked with heavily monitoring everyone in his inner circle and with power in the opposition, and ever so rarely to give Perv a heads up when somebody turns on him.

On top of that, we give Perv lots of strategic advice on how to gradually weaken his enemies and strengthen his own position.
Posted by: Anonymoose   2007-06-24 10:00  

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