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| -Signs, Portents, and the Weather- |
| Special Tropical Disturbance Statement |
| 2007-05-09 |
| SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT "Cuz we don't want to say the 'H-word'" NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1115 PM EDT TUE MAY 8 2007 A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...CENTERED ABOUT 175 MILES EAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA AND ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA...HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THE LOW IS PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS NEAR THE COASTS OF NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE SINCE THIS EVENING...AND NO SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED. THE LOW IS BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT...AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULE TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW MORNING. INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN ALSO BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. |
| Posted by:Steve |
| #6 "SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT" Except, of course, it ain't. They admit in the next sentence it's a "NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM." It's like they're trying to make the weather seem worse and more extreme that it has been in the past. Oh, wait.... |
| Posted by: Barbara Skolaut 2007-05-09 18:17 |
| #5 AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES...225 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA AND ABOUT 150 MILES...240 KM...NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA. ANDREA IS MOVING GENERALLY TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH. A CONTINUED SLOW MOTION AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALONG THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE U.S. COAST THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. SINCE THE HEAVIEST RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH ANDREA ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... ANDREA IS NOT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OVER ANY LAND AREAS THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING. |
| Posted by: Steve 2007-05-09 13:51 |
| #4 Hope it holds on to enough rain bands to knock down that Georgia fire a little. |
| Posted by: Shipman 2007-05-09 13:32 |
| #3 mhw- I stand corrrected on the 'out of nowhere' comment - that was the impression I was getting from some other sites. Mike |
| Posted by: Mike Kozlowski 2007-05-09 12:44 |
| #2 the storm didn't come out of nowhere it formed May 6 well off the NC coast as a more or less typical frontal low the movement was unusual in that it moved southwest rather than northeast; the other unusual thing is that it strengthened substantially; however it is in the process now of weakening -- very few reporting stations have high winds (e.g., Jacksonville, FL is reporting 0-3 mph) |
| Posted by: mhw 2007-05-09 09:54 |
| #1 ...We've been under it all night and expect to be catching wind, rain and high tides all day. It's been a strong storm, but definitely no more than that. On the other hand, this thing came literally out of nowhere and the weather forecasters were terrified that it would grow into a tropical storm - or worse - and they'd have to explain how they'd missed it. Mike |
| Posted by: Mike Kozlowski 2007-05-09 08:41 |