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Iraq
Is IranÂ’s honeymoon in Iraq over?
2007-03-19
Iran’s “project” in Iraq has recently been facing one setback after another. There are an increasing number of signs that the “project’s” prospects for success, for realizing Iran’s ambitions in Iraq, do no point upward anymore. It simply isn’t having much success lately in undermining Iraq’s emerging democracy through politics and force.

In the past Iran has employed several tracks to interfere directly and indirectly in Iraq. The mullahs celebrated several achievements in the project. They rejoiced when pro-Iran powers took over a big part of the Iraqi government.

In this they saw the real chance of a satellite Islamic state in Iraq offering them a strategic extension into the western front. It seemed as if the project of exporting the Islamic revolution designed by ayatollah Khomeini was reaping fruit after decades of planning. The dramatic fall of Arab nationalism in Iraq and the potential transformation of Iraq into a Shia theocratic ally would mean the fall of the last geographic wall between Iran and the allies in Syria, Lebanon and the Palestinian territory. It would make the dream of TehranÂ’s dominance in the region a reality.
Posted by:ryuge

#1  "I think an escalation in attacks by militias loyal to Iran will take place soon, especially outside Baghdad."

I concur - and I think those inside Baghdad will start fighting as well, especially the Madhi Army of Sadr. They may realize that we are cutting away their roots by replacing them and the security & jobs they provide with our work in Baghdada and the Iraqi Army and Police's growing abilities and increasing numbers deployed in their "home base" areas.

Fact is they thrive on the sectarian violence, and without that, the locals have no reason to stay withthem and plenty of reason (reconstruction, peace) to go withthe Iraqi government and the alliance forces.

Its probably going to get very ugly over there as the weather get right for action.
Posted by: OldSpook   2007-03-19 11:47  

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