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Israel-Palestine-Jordan
Israeli military opposes intervention in Gaza
2007-02-05
Israeli military chiefs oppose launching a major ground offensive in the Gaza Strip, defence officials said, despite some concerns that bitter fighting there between armed Palestinian factions could boil over into a fresh spate of attacks on Israel.
Eventually they'll have to go back into Gaza, but better later than sooner. Let the Paleos have a good time, let the corpse counts mount up, and just keep them confined to their playpen. Do it just right, and when the last Paleo standing decks the second-last Paleo standing, all they'll have to do is waltz in and arrest him.
Since Thursday, 28 Palestinians have died in Gaza fighting between the militant Islamic Hamas and President Mahmoud AbbasÂ’ Fatah.
Lots more to go...
The Israeli daily Haaretz on Sunday said the military and the Shin Bet intelligence agency were concerned that Hamas accusations that Israel is backing Fatah could provoke new attempts to carry out suicide bombings or other attacks on Israel. The paper cited “top military sources” as saying that while no Israeli assault was imminent, an operation on the scale of the Defensive Shield offensive of 2002, in which Israel reoccupied West Bank towns after a series of suicide bombings could become necessary in Gaza. “How close is Israel to getting sucked into the Gazan vortex? Closer than one might think,” Haaretz wrote in a front-page analysis, saying that the chief opponent of a major ground operation had been outgoing armed forces chief Dan Halutz.
Posted by:Fred

#6  so it would probably only be a rocker campaign

Oh goody - Paleo garage bands.

Posted by: Pappy   2007-02-05 21:13  

#5  "Once they finish chewing each other to bloody rags, we go in and shoot the survivors."
Posted by: mojo   2007-02-05 14:54  

#4  If the fighting gets too bad prepare for a UN pass a resolution condemning Israel for not occupying Gaza.
Posted by: mhw   2007-02-05 13:07  

#3  Good analysis as usual LH.
Posted by: odysseus   2007-02-05 10:32  

#2  We seem to forget how before the withdrawl, most suicide bombers came from the West Bank, not fenced off Gaza. For an Israeli reinsertion to make sense, FIRST Hamas would have to win the Civil War or that would have to be a deal between Fatah and Hamas that allows Hamas a free hand. THEN, despite the fence, and the international boycott, Hamas would have to manage to pull off some strategicallt meaningful attacks. I think strat meaningful suicide attacks through the Gaza fence are unlikely, so it would probably only be a rocker campaign, one more effective than past rocket attacks out of Gaza, that would do it. The intervention then would likely be short term, a raid to break up the missile assets, hurt Hamas, and, if they can, free Shalit (Lebanon done right) rather than a renewed occupation. I doubt the improved intell from occupation outweighs the material and political costs.
Posted by: liberalhawk   2007-02-05 09:49  

#1  Watching the Gazans crapping in their own house reminds me that small dogs are the hardest to house train.
Posted by: Glenmore   2007-02-05 07:27  

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