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Iraq
Federalism Plan Dead, Says Iraqi Speaker
2006-09-14
The speaker of the Iraqi parliament said Tuesday that a controversial plan to partition the country into three autonomous regions is politically dead. Mahmoud al-Mashhadani said in an interview that legislation to implement a concept known as federalism, which threatened to collapse the country's fragile multi-sect government, would likely be postponed indefinitely after a meeting of political leaders on Wednesday.

The federalism plan would create a Shiite region in southern Iraq much like the autonomous zone in the north controlled by the Kurds. Sunnis have generally opposed the plan, on grounds that it would leave them only with vast swaths of desert in the country's middle, devoid of the oil reserves in the other regions. The constitution that Iraq adopted last fall allows for a form of federalism. Sunni parties supported the charter only reluctantly and joined the current government on condition of a resumption of federalism discussions, in which they hoped to kill the concept.

"If federalism is to be applied now, it will lead to the secession of the south and the establishment of an Islamist extremist state in the center of the country," said Mashhadani, an outspoken Sunni Arab who is the third-ranking official in the government. "It is not possible to venture or to start the application of federalism now. Look, Iraqi blood is more important than federalism." When asked to predict the likely outcome of Wednesday's meeting of political leaders, he said: "We could agree on the principle and then postpone the topic for four years."
Posted by:Fred

#4  Thanks, Moose.

Izzat a light at the end of the dark, dark tunnel?
Posted by: Bobby   2006-09-14 16:01  

#3  I suspect that in the long run, the Sunnis will be divided into two groups. The urban Sunni will integrate and get along with most of the Shiite, and the rural Sunni will be encouraged to emigrate to Jordan.

Already, it is the urban Sunni that "go along to get along", and have few illusions, though they are very concerned about being oppressed by the radical Shiite. They could become a "comfortable minority."

The rural Sunni are pestiferous, however, and yet would possibly be welcomed with open arms in Jordan, being ethnically closer to the ruling Jordanian bedouins than either the Iraqi Shiites or the majority Palestinians in Jordan. This would help even out the non-Paleo demographics in Jordan.

This would also free up the Euphrates Valley for a lot of unified-Iraqi development.

The urban Sunni would also have a lot to contribute, being an educated class, and would win favor from the government by becoming government and business leaders.
Posted by: Anonymoose   2006-09-14 14:28  

#2  "The United States is a federated system and it is leading the world. But this was after the Civil War," Mashhadani said. "So must we go through a civil war in order to achieve federalism?"

I just loved that statement.

I'm not sure why.
Posted by: Bobby   2006-09-14 06:15  

#1  Sunnis have generally opposed the plan, on grounds that it would leave them only with vast swaths of desert in the country's middle, devoid of the oil reserves in the other regions.

After all their boycotts and refusal to participate, it's hilarious to watch the Sunnis scramble for political position now that they realize they're about to be stuck with the fuzzy end of the lollipop. There isn't a bigger bunch of sanctimonious Arab bastards who deserve this sort of political marginalization more. Their track record in Iraq is a running joke.
Posted by: Zenster   2006-09-14 00:21  

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