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Israel-Palestine-Jordan
Crystal ball
2006-08-12
Original opinion.
I'll be concise.

Olmert is an idiot. That is apparent, his pussyfooting is now clearly visible for what it is--incompetence.

Unless IDF, by some miracle, degrades Hezbullah substantially in the next few days what happens next is fairly obvious.

Once the ceasefire sets in, HA will go for Lebanon's jugular. Nasrallah already promissed some days ago that "once we are done with Israel [in this war], we will settle the score with all the Lebanese politicians that oppose us". There is probably no need to elaborate on what "settling the score" means.

So, the next stop in this twilightzone--Hezbullystan.

By his imbecillic conduct, Olmert is being instrumental in creating this potential nightmare.
Posted by:twobyfour

#5  Redneck Jim, I think that even a fool gets lucky once a while. Olmert is just trying to salvage what time he has given the constraints.

In other words, he's a reactive type, rather than proactive.
Posted by: twobyfour   2006-08-12 16:25  

#4  Gromgoru, Hezbully being a state within state and occupying the SL was bad enough, if they took over whole Lebanon, you think that wouldn't be badder?

However, analysing latest snippets of info... there is a good chance that may not be in cards. The degrading of HA forward force may have been going on a larger scale than the released figures indicated. Also, it seems that the rats may be leaving the ship, or planning to.
Posted by: twobyfour   2006-08-12 16:18  

#3  I'm hoping Olmert is speaking as a "Good Politician," meaning out of both sides of his mouth.

To the UN, Yes, Yes, a cease fire is necessary and desirable.

To the IDF Generals, Kick their asses quickly, permanantly, and kill them all (Or as many as you can) Time is short.

I also recall the dictum, "Better your enemies think you a fool"
Posted by: Redneck Jim   2006-08-12 10:06  

#2  So, the next stop in this twilightzone--Hezbullystan.

And that's bad because?
Posted by: gromgoru   2006-08-12 05:14  

#1  That means no turning back. Whih means stick that paper where the sun does not shine, and olmert too if it comes down to it.
Posted by: newc   2006-08-12 00:38  

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