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Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Shots fired from Syrian positions in Golan??
2006-07-14
WND. Use appropriate caution. But I sure hope they did.

While Israeli military sources in the Golan Heights are reporting Syrian military gunfire directed inside the Jewish state, Lebanese political sources are telling WND they expect a provocation of some kind from Damascus. Israeli Defense Forces are attempting to determine the exact source of the gunfire. If the source cannot be determined, sources say, Israel may choose to ignore or officially deny it occurred in an effort to avoid widening what is rapidly becoming a regional conflict.

Meanwhile, Lebanese sources predict a small, limited provocation against Israel – perhaps a small skirmish or the use of Palestinian groups on the Syrian side of the border firing mortars under the direction of the Syrian army. It would not be a major attack, the sources say, just a minor provocation in conjunction with Iran to show Syria is in solidarity with Hezbollah and the Palestinians, who launched the original attacks against Israel on two fronts – Gaza and southern Lebanon.

Yesterday, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said an Israeli strike on Syria would be considered an attack on the whole Islamic world that would bring a "fierce response." "If the Zionist regime commits another stupid move and attacks Syria, this will be considered like attacking the whole Islamic world and this regime will receive a very fierce response," Ahmadinejad was quoted by Iranian state television as saying in a telephone conversation with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.
Posted by:Jackal

#18  . I think the turbans finally caught on to the fact they're gonna lose in Iraq and that their nukes won't come in time to blackmail the coalition. This is their plan B, to provoke Israel into taking action - an action that just as in AhMad's words "...would be an attack on the entire Muslim world".
I likee, makes good Muzzie sense, maybe this is why SA is getting the yips.
Posted by: 6   2006-07-14 21:09  

#17  HC, There are still some unknown variables, but in essence, that is my opinion as well, with the exception that Israel may not be required to strike mullahs.

Ahmadinutjob thought that he's setting a trap for Israel/US. His miscalculation was simple: Sunnis do not subscribe to his Mahdi mythology, nor would like to see shi'as geting more leverage in ME. That was reflected in Egypt and SA responses. In fact, they are all excited that Ahmadinutjob will have his ass handed to him. IOW, he did set the chess board, but did not notice that the table has been turned.
Posted by: twobyfour   2006-07-14 17:27  

#16  Ever the optimist, if these events continue to unfold along this path, we end up with the desirable scenario of Israel striking out directly at Iran and crippling - or at a minimum impeding - their march toward the nuclear dance.

Which makes the conspirist in me stir - is it possible these events are unfolding exactly the way we would want them to? hmmmm
Posted by: Hal Chalikeakick   2006-07-14 17:14  

#15  Iran is very comfortable with using proxies, however, such a gambit would probably mean they would either tell Sadr to launch another Mehdi revolt, or announce that the Strait of Hormuz is being shut down (just the threat will do, shipping underwriters are skittish).

Either of these things would put Iran's butt on the line, and that is a whole 'nother ball game.

In a heartbeat, the guys on Diego Garcia would be in the air and fully loaded.
Posted by: Anonymoose   2006-07-14 17:03  

#14  Don't count Syria out yet. This thing is just gettnig started, and they don't call the shots - the mullahs do. I think the turbans finally caught on to the fact they're gonna lose in Iraq and that their nukes won't come in time to blackmail the coalition. This is their plan B, to provoke Israel into taking action - an action that just as in AhMad's words "...would be an attack on the entire Muslim world". The real goal is to drive a permanent wedge between Iraq and the US, which will have to back Israel. It will take something quite distasteful to bring such an Isreali response - and that's where Syria comes in.
Posted by: Rex Mundi   2006-07-14 16:53  

#13  NickVbc, you can find the official location of all carriers that are away from home port, plus other deployed ships of the fleet here .

Right now, the Navy says, we have 3 carriers in the Pacific, one near Indonesia and one in the Atlantic.
Posted by: lotp   2006-07-14 16:35  

#12  That was not posted by me. Someone doesn't get it you don't use others names apperently. You all should have noticed they are coherent and can spell.

WND. Use appropriate caution. But I sure hope they did. That is no lie.
Posted by: Sock Puppet of Doom   2006-07-14 16:34  

#11  Syria doesn't have any good choices, only more or less bad.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2006-07-14 16:08  

#10  I doubt Syria would be that stupid, but you never know.
Posted by: DarthVader   2006-07-14 15:59  

#9  IJ does requuire the caution sign, but sucking the US into this is a prerequisite for a wide-scale regional conflict. Which IMHO is where AhMad wants to take us
Posted by: Captain America   2006-07-14 15:45  

#8  World Nut Daily ... of dubious reliability.
Posted by: Lancasters Over Dresden   2006-07-14 15:42  

#7  Hopefully we've got Patriot going to Iraq. Iran will target our presence there.

Balad AFB might be pretty full by now. Or should be.
Posted by: JAB   2006-07-14 15:41  

#6  Anyone else get a feeling this whole thing is going to end up with Israel whacking Iran with our assistance. Something along the lines of Syria attacks Israel, Israel hits back, Iran hits Israel in defense of Syria, then USA/Israel wipe out Iran's nuclear/military complex? I wonder how many of the US carriers/naval resoursces are in the ME or headed there now and how much else is going on behind the scenes that we don't know about.
Posted by: NickVtx   2006-07-14 15:38  

#5  Sock---check your email.
Posted by: Alaska Paul   2006-07-14 15:31  

#4  meh. Syria aint gonna do squat but run their mouth, just like Iran.

Syria has about 20,000 US Marines on their eastern border, the minute those guys start to crowd the broder and look interested, Syria will heel.

This is all proxie. Iran and Syria want to buy for time and change the subject, last thing they want to do is give George a valid reason to boost his poll numbers.
Posted by: Texjim   2006-07-14 15:29  

#3  Uh, count us out, there Ahmadinnerjacket. We want no part of the Joooooos and 'merican crusaders.
Posted by: Prince Bandar-baloo (Saudi)   2006-07-14 15:23  

#2  SPoD - Shuuush! The NYT might be listening!
Posted by: Laurence of the Rats   2006-07-14 15:21  

#1  Oh Boy,
Pass the popcorn
The IDF will smash Syria's army like a bug much less the Hezbollah goons who have no discipline or sense of tactics except frontal assault and suicide.
As for Iran, F@#k em, Iran wants this and Iran wants trouble throughout the middle east. Given the large numbers of Iranians that have been killed and captured in Iraq since the fall of Saddam, this is a long time coming and I think Those islamofascists in Teheran are gonna get up close and personal with a cruise missile pretty soon.
On a side bar, there has been a LOT of activity at the AFB near my home, the C-17's are loading up every day and flying out every other night and coming back about a day later. Lots of equipment......something is going on.
NOTE: this commenter is NOT Rantburg regular Sock Puppet of Doom. Please do not use the established 'nyms of regulars. Continuing to do so will result in comments being deleted and possibly IPs being banned.

Posted by: Sock Puppet of Doom   2006-07-14 15:18  

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